Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs Texas A&M
Mississippi State lock horns with Texas A&M in this NCAAF Week 6 matchup at Kyle Field, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
Can Mississippi State Avoid a Heavy Defeat?
Mississippi State have been given a huge number on the spread. We recommend taking the -106 that they cover a more than generous +14.5 line against Texas A&M.
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Texas A&M Won 34-24 When Teams Last Met
Mississippi State Bulldogs lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Tennessee Volunteers 41-34 at Davis Wade Stadium.
Texas A&M Aggies last game was a 16-10 home win. This victory over Auburn Tigers at Kyle Field was their fourth successive victory.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Texas A&M have won the last two meetings against Mississippi State. They triumphed 51-10 at Kyle Field and then 34-24 at Davis Wade Stadium. In the past 6 H2H meetings, Texas A&M have won four.
Quarterbacks
Blake Shapen
Marcel Reed
Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Prediction & Picks
Be ready for Mississippi State vs Texas A&M with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.
Game Prediction
There’s everything to like about the underdogs at +14.5 when they play this college football battle. You can get odds of -106 and we need Mississippi State to avoid a big loss.
The CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest stats to support every prediction.
Key Mississippi State vs Texas A&M stats:
Mississippi State +14.5 Probability
Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.5% chance of winning. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
If you’re looking for a good alternative to betting on Mississippi State on the spread, then consider the Winning Margin lines. You can choose from a range of fixed intervals and odds.
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Best Bet
Mississippi State +14.5 @ -106
Player Prop Picks
KC Concepcion (Texas A&M) is available at -105 to score a TD. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
You can back Brenen Thompson (Mississippi State) at -114 to finish with fewer than 42.5 receiving yards. He could struggle to reach the Player Receiving Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Mississippi State +14.5 on the spread, combined with Under 55.5 and KC Concepcion (Texas A&M) to be a touchdown scorer.
The same game parlay option is fantastic for football bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong opinion on the likely outcomes and the odds for each selection are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
23
-
28
Texas A&M
Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where Texas A&M can be backed speculatively to achieve a 28-23 victory.
Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Texas A&M Heavy Favorites to Win
According to the Moneyline betting odds, Texas A&M are red-hot -714 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 88% chance of winning this college game. The market suggests that Mississippi State are least likely to win at +520.
14.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 55.5 right now. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you fancy Under 55.5, then the odds are -106.
There’s no shortage of betting opportunities when it comes to college football. The best betting apps offer a wide variety of team props and game lines for each game, so be sure to explore both the pre-game and in-game markets before making your pick.
Le'Veon Moss Favorite to Score First Touchdown
Le'Veon Moss is available at -189 when it comes to Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The favorite is now priced at odds of +420 to score the first TD.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Texas A&M Rolling at Home
Texas A&M have rattled off three consecutive victories at Kyle Field. They are 9-1 in their last 10 home games, putting up 32.50 points per contest and giving up 15.60.
Mississippi State have a 2-8 record in their last 10 games on the road, averaging 18.90 points on offense and surrendering 30.00 on defense.
In their most recent matchup at Kyle Field, Texas A&M got the better of Mississippi State 51-10. Over the previous 3 head-to-head clashes at Kyle Field, Texas A&M have collected two victories, while Mississippi State have one.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O55.5 | U55.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Texas A&M Home Stats |
9-1 | 48.10 | 32.50 | 15.60 | 4 | 6 | |
 Mississippi State Away Stats |
2-8 | 48.90 | 18.90 | 30.00 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O55.5 = Games Over 55.5 Points
- U55.5 = Games Under 55.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
- NCAAF: 19/10 2024 Texas A&M 34 Mississippi State 24
- NCAAF: 12/11 2023 Mississippi State 10 Texas A&M 51
- NCAAF: 01/10 2022 Texas A&M 24 Mississippi State 42
- NCAAF: 03/10 2021 Mississippi State 26 Texas A&M 22
- NCAAF: 17/10 2020 Texas A&M 28 Mississippi State 14
- NCAAF: 26/10 2019 Mississippi State 30 Texas A&M 49
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats
Texas A&M Aggies Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +14.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +14.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -14.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -14.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 57.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 55.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 55.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.10 pts and allowed 26.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.90 pts and allowed 30.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 57.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 48.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 55.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 55.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.80 pts and allowed 26.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 32.50 pts and allowed 15.60 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAF Standings Select Season
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Missouri
|
5 | 0 | 226 | 73 | 153 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 5W |
Oklahoma
|
4 | 0 | 125 | 36 | 89 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 4W |
Ole Miss
|
5 | 0 | 203 | 94 | 109 | 4-0 | 1-0 | 5W |
|
Texas A&M
|
4 | 0 | 143 | 96 | 47 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 4W |
Vanderbilt
|
5 | 0 | 245 | 86 | 159 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 5W |
LSU
|
4 | 1 | 135 | 61 | 74 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 1L |
|
Mississippi State
|
4 | 1 | 193 | 88 | 105 | 3-1 | 1-0 | 1L |
Tennessee
|
4 | 1 | 255 | 145 | 110 | 3-1 | 1-0 | 2W |
Alabama
|
3 | 1 | 152 | 66 | 86 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 3W |
Georgia
|
3 | 1 | 138 | 78 | 60 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1L |
Texas
|
3 | 1 | 127 | 31 | 96 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3W |
Auburn
|
3 | 2 | 138 | 82 | 56 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2L |
South Carolina
|
3 | 2 | 124 | 94 | 30 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 1W |
Kentucky
|
2 | 2 | 108 | 104 | 4 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 3 | 187 | 150 | 37 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3L |
Florida
|
1 | 3 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3L |
Charlotte
South Florida
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