Missouri State Bears
American Football NCAAF Aggie Memorial Stadium Wed 22 Oct 21:00
New Mexico State Aggies (NMSU)
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Standings

College Football Betting Preview: Missouri State vs New Mexico State

Missouri State battle New Mexico State in this NCAAF matchup at Aggie Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 21:00 on Wednesday 22 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

NM State Stand Out as a Value Pick

If you’re looking for a value bet, then -100 that New Mexico State beat Missouri State certainly stands out. We’re expecting them to triumph on the Moneyline and there are nice odds available.

Ready to back NM State? Read our comprehensive BetMGM review, then unlock the latest promo code to boost your bet.

NM State Were Defeated in Last Game

Missouri State Bears won their previous game 22-20. This victory at Floyd Stadium against Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders was their second road win on the spin.

New Mexico State have enjoyed three straight home wins. In their last game, they lost on the road to Liberty Flames 30-27 at Williams Stadium.

Missouri State vs New Mexico State Prediction & Picks

Explore our best Missouri State vs New Mexico State picks, including our main match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Game Prediction

We think that New Mexico State should prove too strong in this college football battle. Therefore, we’re confidently wagering them to win and there’s juice in the -100 available.

We keep a close eye on team news and our CFB handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Missouri State vs New Mexico State stats:

  • New Mexico State have won 3 consecutive games at home.
  • New Mexico State have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
  • New Mexico State have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
  • Missouri State have lost 7 of their last 9 games on the road.
  • Missouri State have lost 9 of their last 12 games.

NM State Moneyline Probability

The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 50% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our team of cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re looking to squeeze more juice from the odds, consider NM State on the spread. Those expecting this team to exceed expectations can bet them to cover the line.

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Best Bet

NM State Moneyline @ -100 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 03:26, 21 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Logan Fife Over 263.5 Passing Yards -114 BetMGM logo

The odds for Logan Fife (NM State) to go beyond 263.5 passing yards stand at -114. We're confident in him covering the QB Passing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.

Latest Logan Fife Player Prop Odds

Shomari Lawrence Over 51.5 Rushing Yards -114 BetMGM logo

You can place a bet on Shomari Lawrence (NM State) at -114 to surpass 51.5 rushing yards. The line for Player Rushing Yards looks attractive and we’re confident of securing a return.

Latest Shomari Lawrence Player Prop Odds

Same Game Parlay Picks

Moneyline NM State
Totals Over 51.5
Passing Yards Logan Fife Over 263.5

Check out this same game parlay which starts with New Mexico State on the moneyline. We’ve also gone for Over 51.5 points and Logan Fife (New Mexico State) to have Over 263.5 passing yards.

There are many options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the football lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised betting doesn’t come any better.

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Missouri State Missouri State logo 24 - 34 NM State logo NM State

There’s the chance to back the Aggies in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 34-24 triumph in their favor.

Missouri State vs New Mexico State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Anticipating a Close Contest

The Moneyline odds about New Mexico State triumphing is priced at -100 and you can get Missouri State at -118. The hosts have a 50% chance of victory in the eyes of the leading sportsbooks.

The spread currently stands at 1.5 and the total points line is 51.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 51.5 at -108.

When it comes to college football, the top betting apps deliver a wide variety of game lines and team props. With so many options available, it’s worth taking your time to find the wager that fits your view of the matchup.

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Donovan Faupel (NM State)
Over 54.5
-114
Under 54.5
-114
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Ronnel Johnson (Missouri State)
Over 46.5
-114
Under 46.5
-114
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Dash Luke (Missouri State)
Over 39.5
-114
Under 39.5
-114
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Rushing Yards

Kadarius Calloway (NM State)
Over 58.5
-114
Under 58.5
-114
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Shomari Lawrence (Missouri State)
Over 51.5
-114
Under 51.5
-114
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Best Betting Offers
Aggie Memorial Stadium
Aggie Memorial Stadium

Can NM State Stay Hot at Home?

New Mexico State have rattled off three consecutive victories at Aggie Memorial Stadium. They own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 28.00 points scored and 25.30 points allowed.

Missouri State own a 2-7 mark in their past 9 games away from home, putting up 17.33 points per contest and giving up 41.11.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O51.5 U51.5
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Home Stats 6-4 53.30 28.00 25.30 5 5
Missouri State logo Missouri State Away Stats 2-7 58.44 17.33 41.11 5 4
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
  • U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Missouri State Bears logo Missouri State Bears Stats
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Stats
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 2 wins and 7 defeats in the last 9 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points

NCAAF Standings Select Season

Conference USA W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Western Kentucky 5 2 208 162 46 3-1 2-1 1L
Kennesaw State 4 2 132 123 9 4-0 0-2 4W
Louisiana Tech 4 2 147 103 44 3-0 1-2 1L
Jacksonville State 4 3 215 186 29 3-0 1-3 2W
Delaware Blue Hens 3 3 173 170 3 2-1 1-2 2L
FIU 3 3 131 166 -35 2-1 1-2 1W
Missouri State 3 3 130 178 -48 1-2 2-1 1W
New Mexico State 3 3 138 144 -6 3-0 0-3 1L
Liberty 3 4 134 151 -17 2-1 1-3 2W
UTEP 2 5 147 169 -22 1-3 1-2 1W
M. Tennessee 1 5 102 177 -75 0-3 1-2 3L
Sam Houston 0 7 119 272 -153 0-3 0-4 7L