Missouri State vs New Mexico State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 22 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Missouri State vs New Mexico State
Missouri State battle New Mexico State in this NCAAF Week 9 matchup at Aggie Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 21:00 on Wednesday, October 22. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
If you’re looking for a value bet, then -100 that New Mexico State beat Missouri State certainly stands out. We’re expecting them to triumph on the Moneyline and there are nice odds available.
Ready to back NM State? Read our comprehensive BetMGM review, then unlock the latest promo code to boost your bet.
Missouri State Bears won their previous game 22-20. This victory at Floyd Stadium against Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders was their second road win on the spin.
New Mexico State have enjoyed three straight home wins. In their last game, they lost on the road to Liberty Flames 30-27 at Williams Stadium.
Quarterbacks
Jacob Clark
Logan Fife
Missouri State vs New Mexico State Prediction & Picks
Explore our best Missouri State vs New Mexico State picks, including our main match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.
Game Prediction
We think that New Mexico State should prove too strong in this college football battle. Therefore, we’re confidently wagering them to win and there’s juice in the -100 available.
We keep a close eye on team news and our CFB handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.
Key Missouri State vs New Mexico State stats:
NM State Moneyline Probability
The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 50% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our team of cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
If you’re looking to squeeze more juice from the odds, consider NM State on the spread. Those expecting this team to exceed expectations can bet them to cover the line.
Claim exclusive offers now—our guide features top betting promo codes, the latest sign-up bonuses, and free bets.
Player Prop Picks
The odds for Logan Fife (NM State) to go beyond 263.5 passing yards stand at -114. We're confident in him covering the QB Passing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.
You can place a bet on Shomari Lawrence (NM State) at -114 to surpass 51.5 rushing yards. The line for Player Rushing Yards looks attractive and we’re confident of securing a return.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Check out this same game parlay which starts with New Mexico State on the moneyline. We’ve also gone for Over 51.5 points and Logan Fife (New Mexico State) to have Over 263.5 passing yards.
There are many options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the football lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised betting doesn’t come any better.
Correct Score Prediction
24
-
34
NM State
There’s the chance to back the Aggies in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 34-24 triumph in their favor.
Missouri State vs New Mexico State Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
The Moneyline odds about New Mexico State triumphing is priced at +116 and you can get Missouri State at -135. The hosts have a 46% chance of victory in the eyes of the leading sportsbooks.
The spread currently stands at 2.5 and the total points line is 51.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 51.5 at -115.
When it comes to college football, the top betting apps deliver a wide variety of game lines and team props. With so many options available, it’s worth taking your time to find the wager that fits your view of the matchup.
There is -179 available that Shomari Lawrence scores a TD at any stage. He is available at +430 to register the first touchdown which makes him favorite.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Among the various options for wagering on college football, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as whether a touchdown will be scored within the next few minutes.
Can NM State Stay Hot at Home?
New Mexico State have rattled off three consecutive victories at Aggie Memorial Stadium. They own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 28.00 points scored and 25.30 points allowed.
Missouri State own a 2-7 mark in their past 9 games away from home, putting up 17.33 points per contest and giving up 41.11.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O51.5 | U51.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New Mexico State Home Stats |
6-4 | 53.30 | 28.00 | 25.30 | 5 | 5 | |
 Missouri State Away Stats |
2-7 | 58.44 | 17.33 | 41.11 | 5 | 4 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
- U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Missouri State Bears Stats
New Mexico State Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 2 wins and 7 defeats in the last 9 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 9 games on the road
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 55.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 58.44 pts in the previous 9 games on the road
- Over 51.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 9 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.40 pts and allowed 32.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.33 pts and allowed 41.11 pts in the last 9 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 52.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 53.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 51.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.00 pts and allowed 28.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 28.00 pts and allowed 25.30 pts in the last 10 home games
| Conference USA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kennesaw State
|
10 | 3 | 368 | 316 | 52 | 6-0 | 4-3 | 3W |
Western Kentucky
|
8 | 4 | 357 | 281 | 76 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 2L |
Jacksonville State
|
8 | 5 | 377 | 340 | 37 | 5-1 | 3-4 | 1L |
FIU
|
7 | 5 | 351 | 333 | 18 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 4W |
Louisiana Tech
|
7 | 5 | 332 | 256 | 76 | 5-1 | 2-4 | 2W |
|
Missouri State
|
7 | 5 | 305 | 340 | -35 | 3-3 | 4-2 | 2L |
Delaware Blue Hens
|
6 | 6 | 357 | 390 | -33 | 5-1 | 1-5 | 1W |
Liberty
|
4 | 8 | 307 | 318 | -11 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 4L |
|
New Mexico State
|
4 | 8 | 259 | 331 | -72 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 1L |
M. Tennessee
|
3 | 9 | 269 | 371 | -102 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2W |
Sam Houston
|
2 | 10 | 213 | 454 | -241 | 1-4 | 1-6 | 2L |
UTEP
|
2 | 10 | 280 | 365 | -85 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 5L |
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