Alianza Lima vs Melgar Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 09 Mar 2026

Liga 1 Betting Preview: Alianza Lima vs Melgar

Alianza Lima take on Melgar, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Monday 9 March.

We can back Alianza Lima at -167 to get the better of Melgar and this looks like a standout price. The Full-Time Result market gives us the chance to grab a slice of value for this selection.

Alianza Lima won their previous league game 1-0. This away victory against UTC Cajamarca made it two Liga 1 wins on the spin.

Melgar have been defeated in back-to-back Liga 1 games. The latest was a 2-1 loss against Los Chankas.

Four days ago, Melgar suffered a penalty shootout defeat (1-1 AET) in the Copa Sudamericana qualifier away to Club Cienciano.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Alianza are unbeaten in the past three games against Melgar, with the last clash ending in a 2-2 draw. The past 10 H2H games have featured four triumphs for Melgar, three for Alianza and three draws.

Liga 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Alianza Lima	11	8	2	1	21	5	16	21:5	26
5	Melgar	11	5	2	4	18	15	3	18:15	17

View Full Table

Alianza Lima vs Melgar Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover our expert Alianza Lima vs Melgar betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, correct score suggestion, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Alianza Lima with a fair degree of confidence for this Liga 1 clash. This looks a value pick at -167 which means we can secure a healthy return if they’re able to win.

The football recommendations are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant Liga 1 stats to get the full picture.

Key Alianza Lima vs Melgar league stats:

• Alianza have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Alianza have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Alianza have won 2 consecutive games.
• Melgar have lost their last 2 games.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 62.5% chance of landing a return. However, we think that the probability is close to 70% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

As an alternative, you could consider the Asian Handicap where you can back Alianza to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.

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Our Match Prediction

Alianza To Win @ -167 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Alianza 2 - 0 Melgar

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Alianza to win by a 2-0 scoreline. At odds of +480, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Paolo Guerrero To Score +170

Paolo Guerrero (Alianza) is available to score at +170. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Paolo Guerrero Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+380

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Alianza Lima vs Melgar Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Alianza Lima odds are -167 which leads to them being favourites in this Liga 1 clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 63% prospect of securing a victory. At +440, Melgar are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

Taking Alianza -0.75 against Melgar means a full Asian Handicap payout at -137 if they win by 2+ goals. The second prize is a half-stake payout and half-stake refund if they win by one.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. A viable alternative is betting the BTTS market and opting for the -130 about Both Teams to Score No.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Liga 1 game. The best football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-167

X

+285

2

+440

Half-Time Result

1

+116

X

+128

2

+450

Double Chance

1X

-833

12

-476

X2

+116

Draw No Bet

1

-455

2

+275

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-137

2 Hcp +0.75

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-132

Over 2.5

-108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-109

No

-130

Luis Ramos is priced at +370 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +163 to find the net anytime.

Luis Ramos (Alianza)

First

+163

Anytime

+370

Paolo Guerrero (Alianza)

First

+170

Anytime

+380

Federico Girotti (Alianza)

First

+190

Anytime

+450

Pablo Erustes (Melgar)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Gaspar Gentile (Alianza)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Kevin Quevedo (Alianza)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Eryc Castillo (Alianza)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Johnny Vidales (Melgar)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Bernardo Cuesta (Melgar)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Alan Cantero (Alianza)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

José Ryu Yabiku Sánchez (Melgar)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Fernando Gaibor (Alianza)

First

+425

Anytime

+950

Cristian Bordacahar (Melgar)

First

+460

Anytime

+1000

Jean Pierre Archimbaud (Alianza)

First

+475

Anytime

+1050

Pedro Aquino (Alianza)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Josué Estrada (Alianza)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Jhamir D'Arrigo (Melgar)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Abraham Aguinaga (Melgar)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Luis Advíncula (Alianza)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Gian García (Melgar)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Cristian Carbajal (Alianza)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Jesús Castillo (Alianza)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Cesar Adriano Doy (Melgar)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Andersson Pumacajia (Melgar)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Jhoao Velásquez Chumpitazi (Alianza)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Rait Danilo Alarcón Matta (Alianza)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Marco Huamán (Alianza)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

D'Alessandro Montenegro (Alianza)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Gianfranco Chávez (Alianza)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Juan Luis Muñoz (Melgar)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Alianza Lima vs Melgar Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Alianza vs Melgar team news before betting. Expect the confirmed Liga 1 lineups and all current injury developments from us.

Alianza Lima Team Page Melgar Team Page

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