Navy vs Memphis Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Nov 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Navy vs Memphis
Navy face Memphis at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Thursday, November 27.
Our prediction is for Memphis to cover the attractive -5.5 line in their clash against Navy. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -110 is available on the spread.
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Navy Midshipmen have suffered successive road defeats. Their most recent game was a 41-38 home win at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium where they beat South Florida.
Memphis Tigers have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road, they recently suffered a 31-27 loss against East Carolina Pirates at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Navy won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 56-44 victory was registered against Memphis at Navy Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. In the past 6 H2H meetings, Memphis have won five.
Quarterbacks
Blake Horvath
Brendon Lewis
Navy vs Memphis Prediction & Picks
We cover the key Navy vs Memphis betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
We’re confident of backing the favorites to cover the -5.5 spread in this college football matchup. This is a generous betting line and Memphis look a value bet at odds of -110.
We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our college football handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.
Key Navy vs Memphis stats:
Memphis -5.5 Probability
The top betting apps are suggesting that our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college bet.
If you’re looking for an option to wagering Memphis on the spread, then consider the Winning Margin lines. You can choose from a wide range of fixed intervals and prices.
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Player Prop Picks
The odds for Brendon Lewis (Memphis) to exceed 256.5 passing yards stand at -114. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous QB Passing Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.
Greg Desrosiers Jr. (Navy) can be backed at -114 to rack up over 47.5 rushing yards. We feel confident that he’ll cover the Player Rushing Yards line, which looks generous.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Memphis -5.5, Over 58.5 and Brendon Lewis (Memphis) to have Over 256.5 passing yards.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a great way of betting on a single event. Many football bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
30
-
38
Memphis
There are stacks of correct score lines available and we’re looking at Memphis to achieve a winning scoreline of 38-30 where a massive potential return is on the cards.
Navy vs Memphis Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
With a 68% chance of securing victory, Memphis are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -208. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +176 about Navy.
The spread is 5.5 and the total points line is currently 58.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you want to bet Under 58.5, there are odds of -115.
The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college football clashes. The top betting sites offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Memphis Sitting on Nine Wins in Previous Ten at Home
Memphis have gone 9-1 across their last 10 home games, putting up 37.70 points per contest and giving up 23.40.
Navy have gone 7-3 across their last 10 games away from home, averaging 27.90 points on offense and surrendering 22.30 on defense.
In their most recent matchup at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis got the better of Navy 28-24. In their past 3 head-to-heads at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis have won each one.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O58.5 | U58.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Memphis Home Stats |
9-1 | 61.10 | 37.70 | 23.40 | 6 | 4 | |
 Navy Away Stats |
7-3 | 50.20 | 27.90 | 22.30 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O58.5 = Games Over 58.5 Points
- U58.5 = Games Under 58.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Navy Midshipmen Stats
Memphis Tigers Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 60.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 50.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 58.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
- Over 58.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.90 pts and allowed 27.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.90 pts and allowed 22.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 58.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 61.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 58.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 58.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 35.30 pts and allowed 23.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 37.70 pts and allowed 23.40 pts in the last 10 home games
| American Athletic | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Texas
|
10 | 1 | 509 | 265 | 244 | 5-1 | 5-0 | 5W |
Tulane
|
9 | 2 | 317 | 273 | 44 | 5-0 | 4-2 | 3W |
|
Navy
|
8 | 2 | 329 | 279 | 50 | 6-0 | 2-2 | 1W |
South Florida
|
8 | 3 | 464 | 277 | 187 | 5-0 | 3-3 | 1W |
|
Memphis
|
8 | 3 | 398 | 242 | 156 | 4-1 | 4-2 | 2L |
East Carolina
|
7 | 4 | 360 | 241 | 119 | 5-1 | 2-3 | 1L |
UTSA
|
6 | 5 | 381 | 328 | 53 | 4-1 | 2-4 | 2W |
Army
|
5 | 5 | 226 | 224 | 2 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 1L |
Temple
|
5 | 6 | 309 | 304 | 5 | 2-4 | 3-2 | 3L |
Rice
|
5 | 6 | 235 | 335 | -100 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1L |
Florida Atlantic
|
4 | 7 | 351 | 394 | -43 | 3-2 | 1-5 | 2L |
Tulsa
|
4 | 7 | 254 | 316 | -62 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 2W |
UAB
|
3 | 8 | 286 | 435 | -149 | 3-3 | 0-5 | 4L |
Charlotte
|
1 | 10 | 172 | 409 | -237 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 8L |
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