New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky

New Mexico State go up against Western Kentucky in this NCAAF matchup at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday 1 November. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Get With WKU to Cover the Line

Back Western Kentucky with a -8.5 spread when playing New Mexico State. This is a good number and we’re confident they can cover this appealing line at odds of -115.

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WKU 41-28 Victory in Previous H2H Meeting

New Mexico State have lost three straight road games. Most recently, they lost 24-17 (OT) at home to Missouri State Bears at Aggie Memorial Stadium.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won last time out by a 28-27 scoreline. It was on the road against Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Joe Aillet Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Western Kentucky beat NM State in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 41-28 scoreline at Aggie Memorial Stadium.

New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction & Picks

Get fully prepped for New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

There’s a strong case for backing Western Kentucky on the spread in this college football matchup. The line looks really appealing considering you can get -115 when it comes to the favorites at -8.5.

Our CFB picks always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the game. From there, we dive into the most valuable stats to uncover the insights that matter most.

Key New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky stats:

• The -8.5 line has been covered by Western Kentucky in 3 of their last 4 games at home this season.
• The -8.5 line has been covered by Western Kentucky in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by New Mexico State in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +8.5 line hasn’t been covered by New Mexico State in 2 of their last 3 games on the road this season.

WKU -8.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.5% chance of delivering a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This college bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

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Best Bet

Western Kentucky -8.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

NM State 23 - 34 Western Kentucky

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score wager. A play on the Hilltoppers to achieve a 34-23 win should give bettors a good run for their money.

New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

WKU Big Favorites to Win

The Western Kentucky odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -345 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 78% chance of winning. New Mexico State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +275.

The spread is currently 8.5, with the total points line at 52.5. A wager on the Totals allows football bettors to use the latest data to good effect. Those that want to back Under 52.5 can find odds of -105 available.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for every college football game, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

NM State

+275

WKU

-345

Point Spread

NM State +8.5

-105

WKU -8.5

-115

Total Points

Under 52.5

-105

Over 52.5

-115

Player Props & Micro Betting

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Quarterback Passing Yards and First/Last Touchdown Scorer. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college football bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Scoring Play. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Western Kentucky Sitting on Eight Wins in Previous Ten at Home

Western Kentucky have gone 8-2 across their last 10 home games, putting up 29.10 points on average and giving up 15.20.

New Mexico State have suffered three defeats in a row away from home. They have one win and nine losses in the last 10 games away from home, averaging 14.70 points on offense and surrendering 38.00 on defense.

NM State beat Western Kentucky 38-29 when they last met at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O52.5	U52.5
Western Kentucky Home Stats		8-2	44.30	29.10	15.20	3	7
New Mexico State Away Stats		1-9	52.70	14.70	38.00	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O52.5 = Games Over 52.5 Points
• U52.5 = Games Under 52.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New Mexico State Stats

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 49.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 52.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 52.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 52.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.90 pts and allowed 26.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 14.70 pts and allowed 38.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 53.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 44.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 52.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 52.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.50 pts and allowed 26.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 29.10 pts and allowed 15.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Kennesaw State	6	2	210	169	41	5-0	1-2	6W
Western Kentucky	6	2	236	189	47	3-1	3-1	1W
Jacksonville State	5	3	239	207	32	3-0	2-3	3W
Missouri State	5	3	182	216	-34	2-2	3-1	3W
Delaware Blue Hens	4	3	204	198	6	3-1	1-2	1W
Louisiana Tech	4	3	174	131	43	3-1	1-2	2L
Liberty	3	4	134	151	-17	2-1	1-3	2W
New Mexico State	3	4	155	168	-13	3-1	0-3	2L
FIU	3	5	178	239	-61	2-2	1-3	2L
UTEP	2	6	167	202	-35	1-3	1-3	1L
M. Tennessee	1	7	151	232	-81	0-4	1-3	5L
Sam Houston	0	7	119	272	-153	0-3	0-4	7L