NC State vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: NC State vs Pitt Panthers

NC State lock horns with Pitt Panthers in this NCAAF Week 9 clash at Acrisure Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday 25 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Expect Pitt to Dominate NC State

Our prediction is for Pitt Panthers to cover the attractive -6.5 line in their clash against NC State. The favorites should be able to triumph by a more comfortable margin and -114 is available on the spread.

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NC State Came Out on Top in Last H2H Matchup

North Carolina State Wolfpack have been beaten in successive road games and the latest was at Notre Dame Stadium. Notre Dame Fighting Irish claimed a 36-7 win.

Pittsburgh Panthers have triumphed in their last three games. The latest of these was on the road where Syracuse Orange were beaten 30-13 at JMA Wireless Dome.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 30-29 win for NC State at Acrisure Stadium when they last played Pitt.

Quarterbacks

CJ Bailey

246.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Mason Heintschel

253.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

NC State vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Picks

Get set for NC State vs Pittsburgh with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

Pitt Panthers are available at odds of -114 when it comes to backing them against the spread in this college football battle. The -6.5 line could be covered with ease by the favorites and this looks like a value bet.

Our CFB predictions are always well-researched, starting with a combination of the latest team news and current form. Once we’ve got a solid read on the matchup, we layer in the key data to back it up.

Key NC State vs Pittsburgh stats:

• The -6.5 line has been covered by Pittsburgh in 3 of their last 4 games at home this season.
• The -6.5 line has been covered by Pittsburgh in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by NC State in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Pitt -6.5 Probability

If you go by the top betting apps, there’s a 53.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.

There are many betting alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

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Best Bet

Pitt -6.5 @ -114 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: CJ Bailey Under 246.5 Passing Yards -114

CJ Bailey (NC State) can be backed at -114 to have less than 246.5 passing yards. He is likely to fall short of the line, making this QB Passing Yards bet an appealing option.

Latest CJ Bailey Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 246.5

-114

Under 246.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

NC State 24 - 38 Pittsburgh

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a tasty potential return if you get it right. We’ll try Pittsburgh to achieve a 38-24 victory at massive odds.

NC State vs Pittsburgh Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Pitt Could Have the Edge Say the Books

Pittsburgh are -233 favorites and that means a 70% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. NC State are the underdogs at +190 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is calculated to be 6.5, while total points comes in at 55.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. There’s the chance to back Under 55.5 at -114.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game on college football, the best sportsbooks let you feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, and it’s fantastic to have so many options.

Moneyline

NC State

+190

Pitt

-233

Point Spread

NC State +6.5

-106

Pitt -6.5

-114

Total Points

Under 55.5

-114

Over 55.5

-106

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Kenny Johnson (Pitt)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Justin Joly (NC State)

Over 42.5

-114

Under 42.5

-114

Raphael Williams Jr. (Pitt)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Terrell Anderson (NC State)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Hollywood Smothers (NC State)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Hollywood Smothers (NC State)

Over 66.5

-114

Under 66.5

-114

Mason Heintschel (Pitt)

Over 24.5

-114

Under 24.5

-114

CJ Bailey (NC State)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Passing Yards

Mason Heintschel (Pitt)

Over 253.5

-114

Under 253.5

-114

CJ Bailey (NC State)

Over 246.5

-114

Under 246.5

-114

Pitt Have Won Seven of Their Last Ten Home Games

Pitt have a 7-3 record in their last 10 home games, posting 38.90 points per contest while yielding 19.40.

NC State own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 27.70 points scored and 30.90 points allowed.

NC State beat Pitt 30-29 when the teams last met at Acrisure Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O55.5	U55.5
Pittsburgh Home Stats		7-3	58.30	38.90	19.40	5	5
NC State Away Stats		5-5	58.60	27.70	30.90	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O55.5 = Games Over 55.5 Points
• U55.5 = Games Under 55.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

North Carolina State Wolfpack Stats

Pittsburgh Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 56.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 58.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 55.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 55.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.50 pts and allowed 27.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.70 pts and allowed 30.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 60.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 58.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 55.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 55.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.70 pts and allowed 26.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 38.90 pts and allowed 19.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Georgia Tech	7	0	247	144	103	4-0	3-0	7W
Virginia	6	1	280	163	117	5-0	1-1	5W
Louisville	5	1	204	126	78	3-1	2-0	1W
Miami	5	1	196	92	104	4-1	1-0	1L
California	5	2	166	153	13	3-1	2-1	1W
Pittsburgh	5	2	269	142	127	3-1	2-1	3W
SMU	5	2	239	158	81	3-1	2-1	3W
Wake Forest	4	2	174	120	54	2-2	2-0	2W
Duke	4	3	237	180	57	2-2	2-1	1L
NC State	4	3	210	186	24	3-1	1-2	1L
Clemson	3	4	182	146	36	1-3	2-1	1L
Florida State	3	4	278	158	120	3-2	0-2	4L
Stanford	3	4	133	194	-61	3-0	0-4	1W
Syracuse	3	4	187	209	-22	2-2	1-2	3L
North Carolina	2	4	112	150	-38	1-2	1-2	3L
Virginia Tech	2	5	161	205	-44	1-3	1-2	2L
Boston College	1	6	190	237	-47	1-3	0-3	6L