North Carolina Tar Heels (UNC)
American Football NCAAF California Memorial Stadium Fri 17 Oct 22:30
California Golden Bears
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Standings

College Football Betting Preview: North Carolina vs California Golden Bears

North Carolina face off against California Golden Bears in this NCAAF Week 8 matchup at California Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 22:30 on Friday 17 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Back Cal For a Convincing Win

California Golden Bears can cover the -9.5 line on the spread. This is a good number and that’s why we’re playing them at -123 to get the better of North Carolina.

Like the look of our spread pick? See how BetMGM rates in our expert review, then grab the latest promo code to add extra value to your bet.

Both Teams Lost Last Time Out

North Carolina Tar Heels have suffered back-to-back defeats, recently being beaten at home by Clemson Tigers 38-10 at Kenan Stadium.

Cal lost their last game, being beaten at home to Duke Blue Devils 45-21 at California Memorial Stadium.

North Carolina vs Cal Prediction & Picks

We’ve got your North Carolina vs Cal bets covered, including our expert match prediction, top correct score pick, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Game Prediction

California Golden Bears should be able to cover the -9.5 betting line. We’re confident of a strong showing in this college football matchup and a wager on the spread is the best play at odds of -123.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our CFB handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the matchup might unfold.

Key North Carolina vs Cal stats:

  • The -9.5 line has been covered by California in 2 of their last 3 games at home this season.
  • The +9.5 line hasn’t been covered by North Carolina in 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The +9.5 line hasn’t been covered by North Carolina in 2 consecutive games.

Cal -9.5 Probability

The top betting apps are suggesting that our pick has a 55.2% chance of delivering a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you want to secure a bigger possible payout on your bet, there’s the option to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which line you think will be covered.

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Best Bet

Cal -9.5 @ -123 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 05:26, 16 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Over 261.5 Passing Yards -114 BetMGM logo

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Cal) is available at -114 to record more than 261.5 passing yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous QB Passing Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.

Latest Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Player Prop Odds

Kendrick Raphael Over 70.5 Rushing Yards -114 BetMGM logo

You can place a bet on Kendrick Raphael (Cal) at -114 to go over 70.5 rushing yards. We can back him in the Player Rushing Yards market and hope the Over hits.

Latest Kendrick Raphael Player Prop Odds

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Cal -9.5
Totals Under 47.5
Passing Yards Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Over 261.5

Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Cal -9.5. We’ve also gone for Under 47.5 points and Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Cal) to have Over 261.5 passing yards.

The same game parlay option is fantastic for football bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong opinion on the likely outcomes and the odds for each selection are combined.

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Correct Score Prediction

North Carolina North Carolina logo 14 - 30 California logo California

There is a speculative bet that can be enjoyed on California when it comes to the correct score lines. Taking them to win 30-14 should provide some entertainment.

North Carolina vs Cal Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Have Cal as Heavy Favorites

At betting odds of -417 with the sportsbooks, California are regarded as 81% likely to win this college game. North Carolina are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +330.

The current spread is 9.5 and total points is 47.5. Football fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you fancy Under 47.5, then the odds are -110.

The good news is that you can access a huge selection of team props and game lines for most college football matchups. The top sportsbooks have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Rushing Yards

Best Betting Offers
California Memorial Stadium
California Memorial Stadium

Cal Have Collected Six Wins in Past Ten Home Games

Cal own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, posting 29.90 points per contest while yielding 20.90.

North Carolina have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games away from home, averaging 21.50 points scored and 24.10 points allowed.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O47.5 U47.5
Cal logo Cal Home Stats 6-4 50.80 29.90 20.90 4 6
North Carolina logo North Carolina Away Stats 4-6 45.60 21.50 24.10 4 6
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
  • U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

North Carolina Tar Heels logo North Carolina Tar Heels Stats
Cal logo Cal Stats
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points

NCAAF Standings Select Season

Atlantic Coast W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Georgia Tech 6 0 220 126 94 4-0 2-0 6W
Miami 5 0 175 68 107 4-0 1-0 5W
Virginia 5 1 258 143 115 4-0 1-1 4W
Louisville 4 1 180 105 75 3-1 1-0 1L
SMU 4 2 204 134 70 3-1 1-1 2W
Wake Forest 4 2 174 120 54 2-2 2-0 2W
Pittsburgh 4 2 239 129 110 3-1 1-1 2W
Duke 4 2 219 153 66 2-1 2-1 3W
California 4 2 145 135 10 2-1 2-1 1L
NC State 4 3 210 186 24 3-1 1-2 1L
Clemson 3 3 158 111 47 1-2 2-1 2W
Florida State 3 3 265 138 127 3-2 0-1 3L
Syracuse 3 3 174 179 -5 2-1 1-2 2L
North Carolina 2 3 94 129 -35 1-2 1-1 2L
Stanford 2 4 113 181 -68 2-0 0-4 1L
Virginia Tech 2 5 161 205 -44 1-3 1-2 2L
Boston College 1 5 167 199 -32 1-2 0-3 5L