North Carolina vs NC State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Nov 2025
College Football Betting Preview: North Carolina vs NC State
North Carolina battle NC State at Carter Finley Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, November 29.
We’re bullish about NC State on the spread at -7.5. They should be able to win by a comfortable margin in their clash against North Carolina and you can get odds of -100.
Riding with our spread recommendation? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code and read our full review of the platform before locking in your pick.
North Carolina Tar Heels have suffered back-to-back defeats, recently being beaten at home by Duke Blue Devils 32-25 at Kenan Stadium.
North Carolina State Wolfpack won their last game 21-11, making it three home wins on the bounce. This was recorded at Carter Finley Stadium against Florida State Seminoles.
Head-to-Head Statistics
NC State beat North Carolina when the teams last met. It was a 35-30 scoreline at Kenan Stadium. The past 6 games between the teams have seen NC State win four times.
Quarterbacks
Gio Lopez
CJ Bailey
North Carolina vs NC State Prediction & Picks
Our expert North Carolina vs NC State tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
NC State at -7.5 could be the best bet to have on the spread. Odds of -100 are available and our pick would mean a solid win for the favorites in this college football showdown.
Incoming team news often impacts the betting lines and odds in significant ways. Our college football handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each pick.
Key North Carolina vs NC State stats:
NC State -7.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 50% chance of winning. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.
In the quest to secure bigger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.
Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.
Player Prop Picks
The odds for CJ Bailey (NC State) to surpass 240.5 passing yards stand at -114. We’re happy to take him to cover the QB Passing Yards line and bettors can place this wager with confidence.
You can place a bet on Jordan Shipp (North Carolina) at -114 to rack up over 56.5 receiving yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous Player Receiving Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are NC State to cover the -7.5 spread, Over 47.5 on the total and CJ Bailey (NC State) to go Over 240.5 passing yards.
A football same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big return from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
21
-
34
NC State
For those wanting a big return from a small stake, consider the correct score lines. For example, NC State can be backed to win 34-21 at enormous betting odds.
North Carolina vs NC State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
NC State are -139 favorites and that means a 58% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. At +115, North Carolina are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
There is a spread of 2.5 and total points has a line of 53.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular football wagers. Those that want to back Under 53.5 can find odds of -110 available.
The top sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
You will find Hollywood Smothers at +500 to be First Touchdown Scorer which makes him the favorite. There’s the opportunity to get -145 that he scores a TD at anytime.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to college football micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Drive Result. Check out the live player, score and team props and see if you can find an angle.
NC State Rock Solid at Home
NC State have put together three consecutive victories at Carter Finley Stadium. They have six wins and four losses in the last 10 games at home, putting up 33.00 points per matchup and giving up 24.30.
North Carolina own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 games away from home, averaging 22.20 points scored and 20.00 points allowed.
The last Carter Finley Stadium meeting saw NC State beat North Carolina 39-20. Across the past 3 head-to-head meetings at Carter Finley Stadium, NC State have recorded two wins, with North Carolina winning once.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O47.5 | U47.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NC State Home Stats |
6-4 | 57.30 | 33.00 | 24.30 | 6 | 4 | |
 North Carolina Away Stats |
5-5 | 42.20 | 22.20 | 20.00 | 2 | 8 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
- U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
North Carolina Tar Heels Stats
North Carolina State Wolfpack Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 40.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 42.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 47.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.80 pts and allowed 20.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.20 pts and allowed 20.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 60.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 55.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 47.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.60 pts and allowed 31.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 32.10 pts and allowed 23.50 pts in the last 10 home games
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miami
|
10 | 2 | 409 | 166 | 243 | 7-1 | 3-1 | 4W |
Virginia
|
10 | 3 | 418 | 267 | 151 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
Georgia Tech
|
9 | 3 | 397 | 300 | 97 | 5-2 | 4-1 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
8 | 4 | 421 | 299 | 122 | 4-3 | 4-1 | 1L |
SMU
|
8 | 4 | 395 | 248 | 147 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 1L |
Louisville
|
8 | 4 | 362 | 253 | 109 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1W |
Wake Forest
|
8 | 4 | 322 | 258 | 64 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 1L |
Duke
|
8 | 5 | 442 | 373 | 69 | 3-3 | 5-2 | 3W |
|
NC State
|
7 | 5 | 362 | 346 | 16 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 2W |
California
|
7 | 5 | 298 | 318 | -20 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 1W |
Clemson
|
7 | 5 | 344 | 245 | 99 | 3-4 | 4-1 | 4W |
Florida State
|
5 | 7 | 396 | 264 | 132 | 5-2 | 0-5 | 2L |
Stanford
|
4 | 8 | 226 | 350 | -124 | 4-2 | 0-6 | 1L |
|
North Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 231 | 294 | -63 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3L |
Virginia Tech
|
3 | 9 | 257 | 362 | -105 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4L |
Syracuse
|
3 | 9 | 242 | 419 | -177 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 8L |
Boston College
|
2 | 10 | 305 | 393 | -88 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1W |
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