North Carolina vs NC State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: North Carolina vs NC State

North Carolina battle NC State at Carter Finley Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, November 29.

We’re bullish about NC State on the spread at -7.5. They should be able to win by a comfortable margin in their clash against North Carolina and you can get odds of -100.

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North Carolina Tar Heels have suffered back-to-back defeats, recently being beaten at home by Duke Blue Devils 32-25 at Kenan Stadium.

North Carolina State Wolfpack won their last game 21-11, making it three home wins on the bounce. This was recorded at Carter Finley Stadium against Florida State Seminoles.

Head-to-Head Statistics

NC State beat North Carolina when the teams last met. It was a 35-30 scoreline at Kenan Stadium. The past 6 games between the teams have seen NC State win four times.

Quarterbacks

Gio Lopez

210.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

CJ Bailey

240.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

North Carolina vs NC State Prediction & Picks

Our expert North Carolina vs NC State tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop guidance to a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

NC State at -7.5 could be the best bet to have on the spread. Odds of -100 are available and our pick would mean a solid win for the favorites in this college football showdown.

Incoming team news often impacts the betting lines and odds in significant ways. Our college football handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each pick.

Key North Carolina vs NC State stats:

• The -7.5 line has been covered by NC State in 3 consecutive games at home.

NC State -7.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, our pick has a 50% chance of winning. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.

In the quest to secure bigger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.

Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.

Our Game Prediction

NC State -7.5 @ -100 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: CJ Bailey Over 240.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for CJ Bailey (NC State) to surpass 240.5 passing yards stand at -114. We’re happy to take him to cover the QB Passing Yards line and bettors can place this wager with confidence.

Latest CJ Bailey Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+230

First

+1300

Passing Yards

Over 240.5

-114

Under 240.5

-114

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Jordan Shipp Over 56.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can place a bet on Jordan Shipp (North Carolina) at -114 to rack up over 56.5 receiving yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous Player Receiving Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.

Latest Jordan Shipp Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+125

First

+900

Receiving Yards

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

North Carolina 21 - 34 NC State

For those wanting a big return from a small stake, consider the correct score lines. For example, NC State can be backed to win 34-21 at enormous betting odds.

North Carolina vs NC State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

NC State are -270 favorites and that means a 73% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. At +220, North Carolina are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

There is a spread of 7.5 and total points has a line of 47.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular football wagers. Those that want to back Under 47.5 can find odds of -105 available.

The top sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

UNC

+220

NC State

-270

Point Spread

UNC +7.5

-122

NC State -7.5

-100

Total Points

Under 47.5

-105

Over 47.5

-115

You will find Hollywood Smothers at +480 to be First Touchdown Scorer which makes him the favorite. There’s the opportunity to get -145 that he scores a TD at anytime.

Touchdown

Hollywood Smothers (NC State)

First TD

+480

Anytime TD

-145

Justin Joly (NC State)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+130

Demon June (UNC)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+140

Terrell Anderson (NC State)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+155

Jordan Shipp (UNC)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+125

Jayden Scott (NC State)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+210

Davion Gause (UNC)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+230

Kobe Paysour (UNC)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+210

CJ Bailey (NC State)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+230

Noah Rogers (NC State)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+330

Will Wilson (NC State)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+250

Wesley Grimes (NC State)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+300

Gio Lopez (UNC)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+250

Teddy Hoffmann (NC State)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+440

Jake Johnson (UNC)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+480

Javarius Green (UNC)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

Receiving Yards

Jordan Shipp (UNC)

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Terrell Anderson (NC State)

Over 51.5

-114

Under 51.5

-114

Justin Joly (NC State)

Over 44.5

-114

Under 44.5

-114

Kobe Paysour (UNC)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Wesley Grimes (NC State)

Over 32.5

-114

Under 32.5

-114

Noah Rogers (NC State)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Hollywood Smothers (NC State)

Over 81.5

-114

Under 81.5

-114

Jayden Scott (NC State)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Passing Yards

CJ Bailey (NC State)

Over 240.5

-114

Under 240.5

-114

Gio Lopez (UNC)

Over 210.5

-114

Under 210.5

-114

NC State Rock Solid at Home

NC State have put together three consecutive victories at Carter Finley Stadium. They have six wins and four losses in the last 10 games at home, putting up 33.00 points per matchup and giving up 24.30.

North Carolina own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 games away from home, averaging 22.20 points scored and 20.00 points allowed.

The last Carter Finley Stadium meeting saw NC State beat North Carolina 39-20. Across the past 3 head-to-head meetings at Carter Finley Stadium, NC State have recorded two wins, with North Carolina winning once.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O47.5	U47.5
NC State Home Stats		6-4	57.30	33.00	24.30	6	4
North Carolina Away Stats		5-5	42.20	22.20	20.00	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
• U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

North Carolina Tar Heels Stats

North Carolina State Wolfpack Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 40.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 42.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 47.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.80 pts and allowed 20.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.20 pts and allowed 20.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 60.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 55.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 47.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.60 pts and allowed 31.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 32.10 pts and allowed 23.50 pts in the last 10 home games

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