North Carolina vs UCF Prediction, Picks & Odds | 20 Sep 2025
College Football Betting Preview: North Carolina vs UCF
North Carolina meet UCF in this NCAAF Week 4 matchup at Acrisure Bounce House, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, September 20. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
We’re confident that Over 46.5 is the value play at -110. We’re expecting UCF and North Carolina to rack up the points, so we’ll have a bet on the totals.
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North Carolina Tar Heels have won their previous two games. The latest was a 41-6 home triumph at Kenan Stadium against Richmond Spiders.
UCF Knights last game was a 68-7 home win. This victory over North Carolina A&T Aggies at Acrisure Bounce House made it back-to-back victories.
North Carolina vs UCF Prediction & Picks
Get ahead of the game with our North Carolina vs UCF betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.
Game Prediction
Over 46.5 points seems like a realistic outcome for this college football showdown. We’re taking odds of -110 on the basis that the total line is too low.
Sportsgambler.com brings strong college football expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our CFB picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.
Key North Carolina vs UCF stats:
Over 46.5 Probability
The top betting apps are suggesting that our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
Want more juice from your Over wager on the Totals? Bigger odds can be found if you move the line and go for a riskier bet. You can choose from a range of options.
Our quick-access guide helps you unlock the best betting offers, generous promos, and the freshest free bets today.
Player Prop Picks
The odds for Gio Lopez (North Carolina) to reach over 177.5 passing yards stand at -114. We're confident in him covering the QB Passing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.
Myles Montgomery (North Carolina) is available at -114 to surpass 89.5 rushing yards. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this Player Rushing Yards bet.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Over 46.5 points, UCF -6.5 and Gio Lopez (North Carolina) to go Over 177.5 passing yards.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same game, then a football same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
20
-
35
UCF
Should you wish to go for a speculative bet, try UCF to triumph 35-20 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun wager which could potentially yield a huge return.
North Carolina vs UCF Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
With a 72% chance of securing victory, UCF are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -263. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, North Carolina are trading at +210.
The current spread is 7.5 and the total points line is 46.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you want to back Over 46.5, it’s -110.
The top sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Myles Montgomery is the favorite to be First Touchdown Scorer at +230. If you’re interested in backing him to score a TD at anytime, then the price is -303.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to college football micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Drive Result. Check out the live player, score and team props and see if you can find an angle.
UCF Have Collected Five Wins in Past Ten Home Games
UCF own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 33.20 points on average and giving up 20.80.
North Carolina have a 4-6 record in their last 10 road games, scoring 24.80 points per contest and conceding 25.30.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O46.5 | U46.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UCF Home Stats |
5-5 | 54.00 | 33.20 | 20.80 | 7 | 3 | |
 North Carolina Away Stats |
4-6 | 50.10 | 24.80 | 25.30 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O46.5 = Games Over 46.5 Points
- U46.5 = Games Under 46.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
North Carolina Tar Heels Stats
UCF Knights Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 53.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 50.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 46.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 46.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.10 pts and allowed 25.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 24.80 pts and allowed 25.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 53.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 54.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 46.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 46.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.20 pts and allowed 24.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 33.20 pts and allowed 20.80 pts in the last 10 home games
| Big 12 | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BYU
|
11 | 1 | 408 | 213 | 195 | 6-0 | 5-1 | 3W |
Texas Tech
|
11 | 1 | 518 | 135 | 383 | 7-0 | 4-1 | 5W |
Utah
|
10 | 2 | 493 | 224 | 269 | 5-1 | 5-1 | 5W |
Arizona
|
9 | 3 | 391 | 227 | 164 | 6-1 | 3-2 | 5W |
Houston
|
9 | 3 | 340 | 262 | 78 | 3-3 | 6-0 | 1W |
Iowa State
|
8 | 4 | 329 | 242 | 87 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 3W |
TCU
|
8 | 4 | 369 | 302 | 67 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 2W |
Cincinnati
|
7 | 5 | 381 | 298 | 83 | 5-3 | 2-2 | 4L |
Kansas State
|
6 | 6 | 353 | 320 | 33 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 1W |
Baylor
|
5 | 7 | 373 | 391 | -18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
Kansas
|
5 | 7 | 337 | 321 | 16 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 3L |
|
UCF
|
5 | 7 | 292 | 283 | 9 | 5-2 | 0-5 | 1L |
West Virginia
|
4 | 8 | 261 | 370 | -109 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 2L |
Colorado
|
3 | 9 | 251 | 366 | -115 | 3-4 | 0-5 | 5L |
Oklahoma State
|
1 | 11 | 170 | 400 | -230 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 11L |
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia
|
10 | 2 | 398 | 240 | 158 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 2W |
Miami
|
10 | 2 | 409 | 166 | 243 | 7-1 | 3-1 | 4W |
Georgia Tech
|
9 | 3 | 397 | 300 | 97 | 5-2 | 4-1 | 2L |
Pittsburgh
|
8 | 4 | 421 | 299 | 122 | 4-3 | 4-1 | 1L |
SMU
|
8 | 4 | 395 | 248 | 147 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 1L |
Louisville
|
8 | 4 | 362 | 253 | 109 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1W |
Wake Forest
|
8 | 4 | 322 | 258 | 64 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 1L |
Duke
|
7 | 5 | 415 | 353 | 62 | 3-3 | 4-2 | 2W |
NC State
|
7 | 5 | 362 | 346 | 16 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 2W |
Clemson
|
7 | 5 | 344 | 245 | 99 | 3-4 | 4-1 | 4W |
California
|
7 | 5 | 298 | 318 | -20 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 1W |
Florida State
|
5 | 7 | 396 | 264 | 132 | 5-2 | 0-5 | 2L |
Stanford
|
4 | 8 | 226 | 350 | -124 | 4-2 | 0-6 | 1L |
|
North Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 231 | 294 | -63 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3L |
Virginia Tech
|
3 | 9 | 257 | 362 | -105 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4L |
Syracuse
|
3 | 9 | 242 | 419 | -177 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 8L |
Boston College
|
2 | 10 | 305 | 393 | -88 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1W |
Troy State
James Madison
Kennesaw State
Jacksonville State
North Texas
Tulane
UNLV
Boise State
Perth Wildcats
Melbourne United
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