North Texas vs San Diego State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Dec 2025
College Football Betting Preview: North Texas vs San Diego State
No. 25 North Texas go up against San Diego State in the Isleta New Mexico Bowl at University Stadium, Albuquerque, with kickoff scheduled for 18:45 on Saturday, December 27.
We’re excited to see North Texas at -5.5 on the spread and think it’s a really good number for the Mean Green to cover in their meeting with San Diego State at odds of -105.
The North Texas Mean Green (11-2, 2nd in American) were beaten 34–21 by the Tulane Green Wave in their previous game, suffering a road loss at Soldier Field.
The San Diego State Aztecs (9-3, 1st in Mountain West) have won six straight at home, but they lost 23–17 in overtime on the road against the New Mexico Lobos at University Stadium last time out.
North Texas vs San Diego State Prediction & Picks
Be ready for North Texas vs San Diego State with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.
Game Prediction
There’s a case for backing North Texas against the spread in the New Mexico Bowl. The line looks attractive considering you can get odds of -105 when it comes to the favorites at -5.5.
Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert predictions, our college football handicappers also analyze the latest stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.
Key North Texas vs San Diego State stats:
North Texas -5.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, there’s a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.
We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your wager in the process.
Elevate your wagering experience with the latest free bets, promos and top betting offers listed in our comprehensive bonus guide.
Player Prop Picks
Drew Mestemaker (North Texas) can be backed at -114 to go beyond 275.5 passing yards. We're confident in him covering the QB Passing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.
Bert Emanuel Jr. (North Texas) can be backed at -114 to surpass 74.5 rushing yards. There’s an opportunity to place a Player Rushing Yards bet, with him capable of covering an appealing line.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Take a same game parlay that incorporates North Texas to cover the -5.5 spread along with Over 53.5 points. We’ve also gone for Drew Mestemaker (North Texas) to go Over 275.5 passing yards.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same game, then a football same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
38
-
23
San Diego State
There’s the chance to land massive odds when it comes to a North Texas correct score win. We’ll try a 38-23 victory in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.
North Texas vs San Diego State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Sportsbooks’ favorites North Texas are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -278 about the Mean Green triumphing means a 74% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +225 about San Diego State.
The spread is 7.5 and the total points line is currently 52.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular football wagers. If you want to bet Under 52.5, there are odds of -110.
Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game on college football, the best sportsbooks let you feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, and it’s fantastic to have so many options.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
North Texas Mean Green Stats
San Diego State Aztecs Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 72.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 70.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 53.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
- Over 53.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 43.90 pts and allowed 28.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 38.50 pts and allowed 31.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 35.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 42.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 53.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 53.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.10 pts and allowed 11.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.60 pts and allowed 14.60 pts in the last 10 home games
| Mountain West | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UNLV
|
10 | 3 | 467 | 375 | 92 | 5-1 | 5-2 | 1L |
New Mexico
|
9 | 3 | 335 | 270 | 65 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 6W |
|
San Diego State
|
9 | 3 | 296 | 151 | 145 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 1L |
Boise State
|
9 | 4 | 408 | 299 | 109 | 6-1 | 3-3 | 3W |
Fresno State
|
8 | 4 | 317 | 241 | 76 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 1W |
Hawaii
|
8 | 4 | 342 | 282 | 60 | 6-1 | 2-3 | 1W |
Utah State
|
6 | 6 | 381 | 339 | 42 | 5-1 | 1-5 | 1L |
Air Force
|
4 | 8 | 358 | 364 | -6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1W |
Wyoming
|
4 | 8 | 192 | 246 | -54 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 4L |
Nevada
|
3 | 9 | 211 | 330 | -119 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 1L |
San Jose State
|
3 | 9 | 257 | 390 | -133 | 3-3 | 0-6 | 4L |
Colorado State
|
2 | 10 | 222 | 370 | -148 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 6L |
| American Athletic | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tulane
|
11 | 2 | 378 | 294 | 84 | 7-0 | 4-2 | 5W |
|
North Texas
|
11 | 2 | 582 | 324 | 258 | 6-1 | 5-1 | 1L |
Navy
|
10 | 2 | 374 | 312 | 62 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 3W |
South Florida
|
9 | 3 | 516 | 280 | 236 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 2W |
East Carolina
|
8 | 4 | 402 | 244 | 158 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 1W |
Memphis
|
8 | 4 | 415 | 270 | 145 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 3L |
Army
|
6 | 6 | 269 | 265 | 4 | 2-3 | 4-3 | 1L |
UTSA
|
6 | 6 | 405 | 355 | 50 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 1L |
Temple
|
5 | 7 | 334 | 356 | -22 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4L |
Rice
|
5 | 7 | 238 | 387 | -149 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2L |
Florida Atlantic
|
4 | 8 | 354 | 436 | -82 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 3L |
UAB
|
4 | 8 | 317 | 459 | -142 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 1W |
Tulsa
|
4 | 8 | 278 | 347 | -69 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1L |
Charlotte
|
1 | 11 | 172 | 436 | -264 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 9L |
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