Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Nov 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Ole Miss vs Mississippi State
Ole Miss go up against Mississippi State at Davis Wade Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Friday, November 28.
Don’t miss out on the chance to side with Ole Miss against the spread at -7.5. On the face of it, this seems a more than generous line and -102 can be backed against Mississippi State.
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Ole Miss beat Florida Gators in their previous game, making it four straight victories. It was a 34-24 home win at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
Mississippi State Bulldogs have suffered defeat in their last three home games. Most recently, they lost 49-27 on the road at Faurot Field against Missouri Tigers.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Ole Miss have won the last two meetings against Mississippi State. They triumphed 17-7 at Davis Wade Stadium and then 26-14 at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Ole Miss have won four of the previous 6 H2H meetings.
Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks
Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Ole Miss vs Mississippi State, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.
Game Prediction
Our pick is that Ole Miss will gain the upper hand in this college football showdown. This leads us to backing them against the spread at -102, with the -7.5 line offering lots of appeal.
Our expert CFB handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our analysis.
Key Ole Miss vs Mississippi State stats:
Ole Miss -7.5 Probability
If you go by the top betting apps, there’s a 50.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
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Player Prop Picks
Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss) is priced at -114 to go beyond 269.5 passing yards. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this QB Passing Yards bet.
You can back Cayden Lee (Ole Miss) at -114 to rack up over 40.5 receiving yards. We’re happy to take him to cover the Player Receiving Yards line and bettors can place this wager with confidence.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Ole Miss -7.5 on the spread, Under 62.5 and Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss) to have Over 269.5 passing yards.
Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual football game. It means that you can create a personalised wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of picks.
Correct Score Prediction
34
-
23
MS State
We’re going for the Rebels to claim a 34-23 victory and the good news is that there are huge odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.
Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Ole Miss have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 74% probability due to their -278 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Mississippi State are least likely to win at +225.
7.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 62.5 right now. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you’re going for Under 62.5, this outcome can be backed at -114.
If you’re wagering on college football, we recommend heading to the best betting sites and scanning through the huge selection of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Mississippi State Run Includes Three Consecutive Home Losses
Mississippi State have endured three straight losses at Davis Wade Stadium. They have a 4-6 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 33.20 points on average and giving up 30.80.
Ole Miss have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games on the road, averaging 32.70 points scored and 21.70 points allowed.
Ole Miss defeated Mississippi State 17-7 in their last meeting at Davis Wade Stadium. Over the last 3 head-to-head clashes at Davis Wade Stadium, Ole Miss have recorded two wins, while Mississippi State have one to their name.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O62.5 | U62.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mississippi State Home Stats |
4-6 | 64.00 | 33.20 | 30.80 | 5 | 5 | |
 Ole Miss Away Stats |
7-3 | 54.40 | 32.70 | 21.70 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O62.5 = Games Over 62.5 Points
- U62.5 = Games Under 62.5 Points
- NCAAF: 29/11 2024 Mississippi State 14 Ole Miss 26
- NCAAF: 24/11 2023 Ole Miss 17 Mississippi State 7
- NCAAF: 25/11 2022 Mississippi State 24 Ole Miss 22
- NCAAF: 26/11 2021 Ole Miss 31 Mississippi State 21
- NCAAF: 28/11 2020 Mississippi State 24 Ole Miss 31
- NCAAF: 29/11 2019 Ole Miss 20 Mississippi State 21
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Ole Miss Stats
Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 56.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 54.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 62.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 62.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.60 pts and allowed 21.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 32.70 pts and allowed 21.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 60.80 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 64.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 62.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 62.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.30 pts and allowed 29.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 33.20 pts and allowed 30.80 pts in the last 10 home games
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas A&M
|
11 | 0 | 419 | 236 | 183 | 7-0 | 4-0 | 11W |
Georgia
|
10 | 1 | 371 | 191 | 180 | 6-1 | 4-0 | 7W |
|
Ole Miss
|
10 | 1 | 409 | 222 | 187 | 8-0 | 2-1 | 4W |
Alabama
|
9 | 2 | 372 | 178 | 194 | 6-1 | 3-1 | 1W |
Oklahoma
|
9 | 2 | 300 | 154 | 146 | 5-1 | 4-1 | 3W |
Vanderbilt
|
9 | 2 | 428 | 239 | 189 | 7-0 | 2-2 | 2W |
Texas
|
8 | 3 | 328 | 220 | 108 | 6-0 | 2-3 | 1W |
Tennessee
|
8 | 3 | 465 | 300 | 165 | 5-2 | 3-1 | 2W |
LSU
|
7 | 4 | 249 | 203 | 46 | 6-1 | 1-3 | 2W |
Missouri
|
7 | 4 | 355 | 216 | 139 | 6-2 | 1-2 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
5 | 6 | 276 | 276 | 0 | 4-3 | 1-3 | 1L |
Auburn
|
5 | 6 | 301 | 221 | 80 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 1W |
|
Mississippi State
|
5 | 6 | 347 | 312 | 35 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 2L |
South Carolina
|
4 | 7 | 258 | 237 | 21 | 4-3 | 0-4 | 1W |
Florida
|
3 | 8 | 219 | 267 | -48 | 3-3 | 0-5 | 4L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 9 | 378 | 375 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-5 | 9L |
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