Pittsburgh vs Florida State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Pitt Panthers vs Florida State

Pitt Panthers go up against Florida State in this NCAAF Week 7 matchup at Doak Campbell Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday 11 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Big Win on the Cards for FSU?

We’re predicting that Florida State will be superior to Pitt Panthers and that’s why we’re backing them at -10.5 on the spread. Take the -104 that the big favorites are able to cover this line.

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24-7 Victory for FSU in Previous H2H Clash

Pittsburgh Panthers won their previous game which was at home. It was a 48-7 triumph at Acrisure Stadium against Boston College Eagles.

Florida State Seminoles have lost in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at Doak Campbell Stadium, they were turned over 28-22 by Miami Hurricanes.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Florida State beat Pitt when the teams last met. It was a 24-7 scoreline at Acrisure Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Mason Heintschel

241.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Tommy Castellanos

218.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Pittsburgh vs Florida State Prediction & Picks

Discover the top Pittsburgh vs Florida State betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to the best prop plays and a customized bet builder.

Game Prediction

We strongly fancy the chances of Florida State beating the underdogs handsomely in this college football matchup. That is why we’re betting them at -10.5 on the spread at -104.

Our team of college football handicappers track current injuries closely. Combined with recent form, this helps us identify the best value odds. A data-led approach backed by key stats and the latest team news keeps our analysis sharp.

Key Pittsburgh vs Florida State stats:

• The -10.5 line has been covered by Florida State in 3 of their last 4 games at home this season.
• The -10.5 line has been covered by Florida State in 3 of their last 5 games this season.
• The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Pittsburgh in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Pittsburgh in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

FSU -10.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, there’s a 51% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this college wager.

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Best Bet

Florida State -10.5 @ -104 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tommy Castellanos Over 218.5 Passing Yards -114

Tommy Castellanos (Florida State) is priced at -114 to surpass 218.5 passing yards. We can place a QB Passing Yards bet with confidence, as we expect him to cover the line.

Latest Tommy Castellanos Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 218.5

-114

Under 218.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 65.5

-114

Under 65.5

-114

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Raphael Williams Jr. Over 49.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can back Raphael Williams Jr. (Florida State) at -114 to accumulate over 49.5 receiving yards. We’re happy to take him to cover the Player Receiving Yards line and bettors can place this wager with confidence.

Latest Raphael Williams Jr. Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 49.5

-114

Under 49.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Pittsburgh 24 - 41 Florida State

Should you want a wager that can land a big return, then look no further than the correct score lines. Bet on the Seminoles to win 41-24 and leverage a massive payout if this happens.

Pittsburgh vs Florida State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

FSU Win on the Cards According to the Books

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Florida State as -370 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 79% likely to win. At +295, Pittsburgh are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is currently 10.5, with the total points line at 58.5. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. Those that want to back Under 58.5 can find odds of -115 available.

College football bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top sportsbooks and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Pitt

+295

FSU

-370

Point Spread

Pitt +10.5

-118

FSU -10.5

-104

Total Points

Under 58.5

-115

Over 58.5

-105

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Duce Robinson (FSU)

Over 65.5

-114

Under 65.5

-114

Raphael Williams Jr. (Pitt)

Over 49.5

-114

Under 49.5

-114

Kenny Johnson (Pitt)

Over 43.5

-114

Under 43.5

-114

Cataurus Hicks (Pitt)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Tommy Castellanos (FSU)

Over 65.5

-114

Under 65.5

-114

Gavin Sawchuk (FSU)

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Passing Yards

Mason Heintschel (Pitt)

Over 241.5

-114

Under 241.5

-114

Tommy Castellanos (FSU)

Over 218.5

-114

Under 218.5

-114

Florida State Have Five Wins From Past Ten Home Game

Florida State are 5-5 in their last 10 home games, putting up 29.80 points per contest and giving up 18.90.

Pitt Panthers have stumbled to five straight defeats on the road. They own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 games on the road, putting up 22.80 points on average and giving up 36.50.

The last time these teams met at Doak Campbell Stadium, Pitt came out on top 41-17 against Florida State.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O58.5	U58.5
Florida State Home Stats		5-5	48.70	29.80	18.90	2	8
Pittsburgh Away Stats		2-8	59.30	22.80	36.50	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O58.5 = Games Over 58.5 Points
• U58.5 = Games Under 58.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Pittsburgh Stats

Florida State Seminoles Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 58.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 59.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 58.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 58.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.20 pts and allowed 26.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.80 pts and allowed 36.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 57.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 48.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 58.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 58.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.40 pts and allowed 26.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 29.80 pts and allowed 18.90 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Georgia Tech	5	0	185	106	79	3-0	2-0	5W
Miami	5	0	175	68	107	4-0	1-0	5W
Virginia	5	1	258	143	115	4-0	1-1	4W
Louisville	4	1	180	105	75	3-1	1-0	1L
California	4	2	145	135	10	2-1	2-1	1L
Duke	4	2	219	153	66	2-1	2-1	3W
NC State	4	2	203	150	53	3-1	1-1	1W
Wake Forest	3	2	135	106	29	2-2	1-0	1W
Pittsburgh	3	2	205	98	107	3-1	0-1	1W
SMU	3	2	170	124	46	2-1	1-1	1W
Florida State	3	2	234	104	130	3-1	0-1	2L
Syracuse	3	3	174	179	-5	2-1	1-2	2L
Clemson	2	3	117	101	16	1-2	1-1	1W
North Carolina	2	3	94	129	-35	1-2	1-1	2L
Stanford	2	3	103	147	-44	2-0	0-3	1W
Virginia Tech	2	4	141	170	-29	1-3	1-1	1L
Boston College	1	4	157	158	-1	1-1	0-3	4L