Pittsburgh vs Florida State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Pitt vs Florida State
Pitt go up against Florida State in this NCAAF Week 7 matchup at Doak Campbell Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, October 11. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
We’re predicting that Florida State will be superior to Pitt and that’s why we’re backing them at -10.5 on the spread. Take the -104 that the big favorites are able to cover this line.
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Pittsburgh Panthers won their previous game which was at home. It was a 48-7 triumph at Acrisure Stadium against Boston College Eagles.
Florida State Seminoles have lost in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at Doak Campbell Stadium, they were turned over 28-22 by Miami Hurricanes.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Florida State beat Pitt when the teams last met. It was a 24-7 scoreline at Acrisure Stadium.
Quarterbacks
Mason Heintschel
Tommy Castellanos
Pittsburgh vs Florida State Prediction & Picks
Discover the top Pittsburgh vs Florida State betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to the best prop plays and a customized bet builder.
Game Prediction
We strongly fancy the chances of Florida State beating the underdogs handsomely in this college football matchup. That is why we’re betting them at -10.5 on the spread at -104.
Our team of college football handicappers track current injuries closely. Combined with recent form, this helps us identify the best value odds. A data-led approach backed by key stats and the latest team news keeps our analysis sharp.
Key Pittsburgh vs Florida State stats:
FSU -10.5 Probability
According to the best betting apps, there’s a 51% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this college wager.
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Player Prop Picks
Tommy Castellanos (Florida State) is priced at -114 to surpass 218.5 passing yards. We can place a QB Passing Yards bet with confidence, as we expect him to cover the line.
You can back Raphael Williams Jr. (Florida State) at -114 to accumulate over 49.5 receiving yards. We’re happy to take him to cover the Player Receiving Yards line and bettors can place this wager with confidence.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Florida State -10.5, Over 58.5 points and Tommy Castellanos (Florida State) to go Over 218.5 passing yards.
A same game parlay is an awesome way of cheering on different outcomes within the same football game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single wager. The odds can combine to great effect.
Correct Score Prediction
24
-
41
Florida State
Should you want a wager that can land a big return, then look no further than the correct score lines. Bet on the Seminoles to win 41-24 and leverage a massive payout if this happens.
Pittsburgh vs Florida State Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Florida State as -455 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 82% likely to win. At +350, Pittsburgh are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
The spread is currently 10.5, with the total points line at 56.5. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. Those that want to back Under 56.5 can find odds of -110 available.
College football bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top sportsbooks and find the best value wagers.
Gavin Sawchuk is available at -169 when it comes to Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The favorite is now priced at odds of +500 to score the first TD.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to college football micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Drive Result. Check out the live player, score and team props and see if you can find an angle.
Florida State Have Five Wins From Past Ten Home Game
Florida State are 5-5 in their last 10 home games, putting up 29.80 points per contest and giving up 18.90.
Pitt Panthers have stumbled to five straight defeats on the road. They own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 games on the road, putting up 22.80 points on average and giving up 36.50.
The last time these teams met at Doak Campbell Stadium, Pitt came out on top 41-17 against Florida State.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O58.5 | U58.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Florida State Home Stats |
5-5 | 48.70 | 29.80 | 18.90 | 2 | 8 | |
 Pittsburgh Away Stats |
2-8 | 59.30 | 22.80 | 36.50 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O58.5 = Games Over 58.5 Points
- U58.5 = Games Under 58.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Pittsburgh Stats
Florida State Seminoles Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 58.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 59.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 58.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 58.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.20 pts and allowed 26.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.80 pts and allowed 36.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 57.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 48.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 58.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 58.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.40 pts and allowed 26.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 29.80 pts and allowed 18.90 pts in the last 10 home games
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miami
|
10 | 2 | 409 | 166 | 243 | 7-1 | 3-1 | 4W |
Virginia
|
10 | 3 | 418 | 267 | 151 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
Georgia Tech
|
9 | 3 | 397 | 300 | 97 | 5-2 | 4-1 | 2L |
|
Pittsburgh
|
8 | 4 | 421 | 299 | 122 | 4-3 | 4-1 | 1L |
SMU
|
8 | 4 | 395 | 248 | 147 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 1L |
Louisville
|
8 | 4 | 362 | 253 | 109 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1W |
Wake Forest
|
8 | 4 | 322 | 258 | 64 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 1L |
Duke
|
8 | 5 | 442 | 373 | 69 | 3-3 | 5-2 | 3W |
NC State
|
7 | 5 | 362 | 346 | 16 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 2W |
California
|
7 | 5 | 298 | 318 | -20 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 1W |
Clemson
|
7 | 5 | 344 | 245 | 99 | 3-4 | 4-1 | 4W |
|
Florida State
|
5 | 7 | 396 | 264 | 132 | 5-2 | 0-5 | 2L |
Stanford
|
4 | 8 | 226 | 350 | -124 | 4-2 | 0-6 | 1L |
North Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 231 | 294 | -63 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3L |
Virginia Tech
|
3 | 9 | 257 | 362 | -105 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4L |
Syracuse
|
3 | 9 | 242 | 419 | -177 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 8L |
Boston College
|
2 | 10 | 305 | 393 | -88 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1W |
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