Rice vs Texas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 02 Jan 2026
College Football Betting Preview: Rice vs Texas State
Rice battle Texas State in the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas, with kickoff scheduled for 14:00 on Friday, January 2.
Our prediction is that Texas State will get the better of Rice by a significant margin. With this in mind, let’s go for the Bobcats at -15.5 on the spread which is currently available at odds of -115.
The Rice Owls (5-7, 11th in American) have lost back-to-back games, most recently suffering a 52–3 defeat to the South Florida Bulls at Raymond James Stadium.
The Texas State Bobcats (6-6, 5th in Sun Belt - West) made it three straight wins with a 49–26 home victory over the South Alabama Jaguars at UFCU Stadium last time out.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Texas State beat Rice in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 45-21 scoreline at Rice Stadium.
Rice vs Texas State Prediction & Picks
We cover the essential Rice vs Texas State betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.
Game Prediction
There’s a case for taking the -115 that Texas State can overcome the -15.5 in the Armed Forces Bowl. They should be capable of a sizeable win and that means we’re backing the Bobcats against the spread.
Injuries can influence the outcome and our CFB handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the matchup might unfold.
Key Rice vs Texas State stats:
Texas State -15.5 Probability
Based on the odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
There are many betting alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.
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Player Prop Picks
You can place a bet on Brad Jackson (Texas State) at -114 to exceed 238.5 passing yards. We're confident in him covering the QB Passing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.
Lincoln Pare (Texas State) can be backed at -114 to rack up over 25.5 receiving yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous Player Receiving Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Texas State to cover the -15.5 spread, Over 57.5 on the total and Brad Jackson (Texas State) to go Over 238.5 passing yards.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same game, then a football same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
24
-
41
Texas State
There is a speculative bet that can be enjoyed on the Bobcats when it comes to the correct score lines. Taking them to win 41-24 should provide some entertainment.
Rice vs Texas State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
At betting odds of -833 with the sportsbooks, Texas State are regarded as 89% likely to win the Armed Forces Bowl. For those wanting to oppose the Bobcats, you can get +570 about Rice.
There is a spread of 17.5 and total points has a line of 55.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 55.5 at -115.
There are a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football matchups and we recommend visiting the best betting apps to find the wager that matches your view on the game.
Lincoln Pare is priced at +360 when it comes to First TD Scorer. He’s the favorite and also available at odds of -270 to score a touchdown at anytime.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, then college football micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on what will happen on the next snap by staking your money on the Next Play Result.
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Rice Owls Stats
Texas State Bobcats Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +15.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +15.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -15.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -15.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 55.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 57.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
- Over 57.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.50 pts and allowed 34.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 13.90 pts and allowed 30.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 64.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 65.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 57.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 57.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.80 pts and allowed 30.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 37.70 pts and allowed 27.60 pts in the last 10 home games
| Sun Belt | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
James Madison
|
12 | 1 | 485 | 206 | 279 | 7-0 | 5-1 | 11W |
Old Dominion
|
9 | 3 | 392 | 231 | 161 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 5W |
Troy
|
8 | 5 | 316 | 318 | -2 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 1L |
Southern Miss
|
7 | 5 | 358 | 329 | 29 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 3L |
Coastal Carolina
|
6 | 6 | 274 | 407 | -133 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 3L |
Arkansas State
|
6 | 6 | 293 | 328 | -35 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1W |
Louisiana
|
6 | 6 | 325 | 360 | -35 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 4W |
Georgia Southern
|
6 | 6 | 334 | 410 | -76 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 1W |
|
Texas State
|
6 | 6 | 433 | 367 | 66 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 3W |
Marshall
|
5 | 7 | 369 | 363 | 6 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 2L |
Appalachian State
|
5 | 7 | 304 | 358 | -54 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 1L |
South Alabama
|
4 | 8 | 318 | 365 | -47 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1L |
UL Monroe
|
3 | 9 | 199 | 383 | -184 | 2-3 | 1-6 | 8L |
Georgia State
|
1 | 11 | 237 | 454 | -217 | 1-5 | 0-6 | 9L |
| American Athletic | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tulane
|
11 | 2 | 378 | 294 | 84 | 7-0 | 4-2 | 5W |
North Texas
|
11 | 2 | 582 | 324 | 258 | 6-1 | 5-1 | 1L |
Navy
|
10 | 2 | 374 | 312 | 62 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 3W |
South Florida
|
9 | 3 | 516 | 280 | 236 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 2W |
East Carolina
|
8 | 4 | 402 | 244 | 158 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 1W |
Memphis
|
8 | 4 | 415 | 270 | 145 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 3L |
Army
|
6 | 6 | 269 | 265 | 4 | 2-3 | 4-3 | 1L |
UTSA
|
6 | 6 | 405 | 355 | 50 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 1L |
Temple
|
5 | 7 | 334 | 356 | -22 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4L |
|
Rice
|
5 | 7 | 238 | 387 | -149 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2L |
Florida Atlantic
|
4 | 8 | 354 | 436 | -82 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 3L |
UAB
|
4 | 8 | 317 | 459 | -142 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 1W |
Tulsa
|
4 | 8 | 278 | 347 | -69 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1L |
Charlotte
|
1 | 11 | 172 | 436 | -264 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 9L |
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