San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Nov 2025
College Football Betting Preview: San Diego State vs New Mexico
San Diego State go up against New Mexico at University Stadium, Albuquerque, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Friday, November 28.
San Diego State should be able to outscore New Mexico and our prediction is to side with them on the Moneyline. There is a tempting -118 should you wish to follow suit.
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San Diego State Aztecs claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 25-3 triumph against San Jose State Spartans at Snapdragon Stadium made it back-to-back wins.
New Mexico Lobos won last time out by a 20-3 scoreline. On the road against Air Force Falcons at Falcon Stadium, they made it five wins on the spin.
Head-to-Head Statistics
New Mexico triumphed 21-16 when they last played San Diego State. This head-to-head was played at Snapdragon Stadium. It’s been two San Diego State wins in the past 3 games between these teams.
San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction & Picks
Our expert San Diego State vs New Mexico betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick, standout player prop selections and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.
Game Prediction
There are lots of reasons to support the pick that San Diego State will win this college football matchup. Therefore, we’re heading to the Moneyline where you can get -118.
Injuries can influence the outcome and our CFB handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the matchup might unfold.
Key San Diego State vs New Mexico stats:
SDSU Moneyline Probability
The best sportsbooks make it a 54.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
You can choose an alternative if you want tastier odds about a win for SDSU. The Double Result lines allow you to bet on them to lead at the halfway stage too.
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Player Prop Picks
Lucky Sutton (San Diego State) is available at -114 to reach over 95.5 rushing yards. We can back him in the Player Rushing Yards market and hope the Over hits.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay has three options: San Diego State to win, Under 41.5 points and Lucky Sutton (San Diego State) to go Over 95.5 rushing yards.
We recommend a same game parlay as it’s a great way of betting on a single event. Many football bettors like to create a personalised wager which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Correct Score Prediction
24
-
14
New Mexico
There are some huge returns lying in wait if you can get the correct score right. With this in mind, we’ll have a play on the Aztecs to enjoy a 24-14 winning scoreline.
San Diego State vs New Mexico Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
The Moneyline odds about New Mexico triumphing is priced at -100 and you can get San Diego State at -118. The hosts have a 50% chance of victory in the eyes of the most popular sportsbooks.
The current spread is 1.5 and total points is 41.5. The Totals offers football bettors an alternative way of getting involved. Those expecting a low total can back Under 41.5 at -110.
The best betting apps provide tons of game lines and team props for nearly every college football matchup. Take a few moments to browse all the markets so you can place a bet that matches your insight.
Rushing Yards
Can New Mexico Keep Their Home Streak Alive?
New Mexico have put together six consecutive victories at University Stadium, Albuquerque. They have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 home games, putting up 33.40 points on average and giving up 28.90.
San Diego State own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 games on the road, putting up 20.40 points per contest and giving up 27.10.
When the teams last met at University Stadium, Albuquerque, San Diego State beat New Mexico 34-10.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O41.5 | U41.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New Mexico Home Stats |
7-3 | 62.30 | 33.40 | 28.90 | 9 | 1 | |
 San Diego State Away Stats |
4-6 | 47.50 | 20.40 | 27.10 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O41.5 = Games Over 41.5 Points
- U41.5 = Games Under 41.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
San Diego State Aztecs Stats
New Mexico Lobos Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 36.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 47.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 41.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 41.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.70 pts and allowed 12.80 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.40 pts and allowed 27.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 51.40 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 62.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 41.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
- Over 41.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.50 pts and allowed 21.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 33.40 pts and allowed 28.90 pts in the last 10 home games
| Mountain West | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
San Diego State
|
9 | 2 | 279 | 128 | 151 | 6-0 | 3-2 | 2W |
UNLV
|
9 | 2 | 404 | 320 | 84 | 5-1 | 4-1 | 3W |
|
New Mexico
|
8 | 3 | 312 | 253 | 59 | 5-0 | 3-3 | 5W |
Boise State
|
7 | 4 | 345 | 254 | 91 | 5-1 | 2-3 | 1W |
Fresno State
|
7 | 4 | 276 | 227 | 49 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 1L |
Hawaii
|
7 | 4 | 315 | 275 | 40 | 5-1 | 2-3 | 1L |
Utah State
|
6 | 5 | 357 | 314 | 43 | 5-0 | 1-5 | 1W |
Wyoming
|
4 | 7 | 185 | 219 | -34 | 3-3 | 1-4 | 3L |
Air Force
|
3 | 8 | 316 | 343 | -27 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 2L |
Nevada
|
3 | 8 | 194 | 288 | -94 | 2-3 | 1-5 | 2W |
San Jose State
|
3 | 8 | 243 | 349 | -106 | 3-2 | 0-6 | 3L |
Colorado State
|
2 | 9 | 201 | 328 | -127 | 2-4 | 0-5 | 5L |
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