South Florida vs Miami Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Sep 2025

College Football Betting Preview: South Florida vs Miami

South Florida face Miami in this NCAAF matchup at Hard Rock Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:30 on Saturday 13 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Should We Go Over or Under the Total?

The best betting angle could be wagering on the totals when Miami clash with South Florida. Our prediction is for Over 56.5 points to be scored at odds of -110.

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Miami Beat USF in Pair’s Last Matchup

South Florida have won two on the spin, triumphing 18-16 in their previous game. This was on the road against Florida Gators at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.

Miami Hurricanes won their last game 45-3, making it successive victories. This was a home win at Hard Rock Stadium against Bethune Cookman Wildcats.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 50-15 win for Miami at Raymond James Stadium when they last played South Florida.

Quarterbacks

Byrum Brown

195.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Carson Beck

282.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

South Florida vs Miami Prediction & Picks

Get the full betting picture for South Florida vs Miami, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Game Prediction

We think the best betting angle can be found with the totals for this college football matchup. Our pick is that there will be Over 56.5 points and that is available at -110.

The CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our picks.

Key South Florida vs Miami stats:

• The 56.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 South Florida games on the road.
• The 56.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 South Florida games on the road.
• The 56.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Miami games.

Over 56.5 Probability

The top betting apps are suggesting that our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this college wager.

The sportsbooks give you the option to get bigger odds for your Overs pick by combining this selection on the Result & Total lines. Predict a team to win as part of the deal.

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Best Bet

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Byrum Brown Over 195.5 Passing Yards -114

Byrum Brown (South Florida) can be backed at -114 to accumulate over 195.5 passing yards. We feel confident that he’ll cover the QB Passing Yards line, which looks generous.

Latest Byrum Brown Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 195.5

-114

Under 195.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

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Chas Nimrod Over 34.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can back Chas Nimrod (South Florida) at -114 to go over 34.5 receiving yards. There’s an opportunity to place a Player Receiving Yards bet, with him capable of covering an appealing line.

Latest Chas Nimrod Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

South Florida 28 - 38 Miami

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score wager on Miami. Backing them to win 38-28 means you can land a potential monster return.

South Florida vs Miami Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Running Scared of Miami Win

The favorites are 88% likely to win according to the sportsbooks’ latest Money Line odds, with Miami priced at -769 to triumph in this college game. At +530, South Florida are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

17.5 is the spread and 56.5 is the total points line. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you fancy Over 56.5, this outcome can be backed at -110. 

Make sure to explore all angles before placing your college football bets. The top sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the matchup.

Moneyline

USF

+530

Miami

-769

Point Spread

USF +17.5

-115

Miami -17.5

-105

Total Points

Under 56.5

-110

Over 56.5

-110

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

CJ Daniels (Miami)

Over 50.5

-114

Under 50.5

-114

Keshaun Singleton (USF)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Chas Nimrod (USF)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Keelan Marion (Miami)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Mudia Reuben (USF)

Over 24.5

-114

Under 24.5

-114

Elija Lofton (Miami)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Mark Fletcher Jr. (Miami)

Over 74.5

-114

Under 74.5

-114

CharMar Brown (Miami)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Byrum Brown (USF)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Cartevious Norton (USF)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Passing Yards

Carson Beck (Miami)

Over 282.5

-114

Under 282.5

-114

Byrum Brown (USF)

Over 195.5

-114

Under 195.5

-114

Miami Tough to Crack at Home

Miami have run off eight straight victories at Hard Rock Stadium. They own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 41.40 points per contest and giving up 19.80.

South Florida have six wins and four losses in the last 10 road games, averaging 33.10 points on offense and surrendering 29.50 on defense.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O56.5	U56.5
Miami Home Stats		8-2	61.20	41.40	19.80	5	5
South Florida Away Stats		6-4	62.60	33.10	29.50	7	3

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O56.5 = Games Over 56.5 Points
• U56.5 = Games Under 56.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

South Florida Stats

Miami Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +17.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +17.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -17.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -17.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 57.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 62.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 56.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 56.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.20 pts and allowed 24.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 33.10 pts and allowed 29.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 67.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 62.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 56.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 56.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 39.60 pts and allowed 28.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 42.40 pts and allowed 20.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
California	2	0	69	18	51	1-0	1-0	2W
Georgia Tech	2	0	86	32	54	1-0	1-0	2W
Louisville	2	0	79	31	48	2-0	0-0	2W
Miami	2	0	72	27	45	2-0	0-0	2W
NC State	3	0	93	72	21	2-0	1-0	3W
Pittsburgh	2	0	106	26	80	2-0	0-0	2W
Florida State	2	0	108	20	88	2-0	0-0	2W
Wake Forest	2	1	76	53	23	2-1	0-0	1L
SMU	1	1	87	61	26	1-1	0-0	1L
Virginia	1	1	79	42	37	1-0	0-1	1L
Syracuse	1	1	53	65	-12	1-0	0-1	1W
Boston College	1	1	106	52	54	1-0	0-1	1L
North Carolina	1	1	34	51	-17	0-1	1-0	1W
Duke	1	1	64	62	2	1-1	0-0	1L
Clemson	1	1	37	33	4	1-1	0-0	1W
Stanford	0	2	23	50	-27	0-0	0-2	2L
Virginia Tech	0	2	31	68	-37	0-1	0-1	2L

American Athletic	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Memphis	2	0	83	26	57	1-0	1-0	2W
Navy	2	0	90	31	59	2-0	0-0	2W
North Texas	2	0	84	30	54	1-0	1-0	2W
South Florida	2	0	52	23	29	1-0	1-0	2W
Temple	2	0	97	17	80	1-0	1-0	2W
Tulane	2	0	56	34	22	1-0	1-0	2W
Army	1	1	51	51	0	0-1	1-0	1W
East Carolina	1	1	73	27	46	1-0	0-1	1W
Florida Atlantic	1	1	63	53	10	1-0	0-1	1W
Rice	1	1	23	47	-24	0-1	1-0	1L
Tulsa	1	1	49	28	21	1-0	0-1	1L
UAB	1	1	76	80	-4	1-0	0-1	1L
Charlotte	0	2	14	54	-40	0-2	0-0	2L
UTSA	0	2	60	85	-25	0-1	0-1	2L