Tennessee vs Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds | 22 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee vs Florida

Tennessee face Florida at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, November 22.

Get with Tennessee with a -3.5 spread. We’re backing the favorites at -120 to enjoy a solid victory when they go head-to-head with Florida.

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Tennessee Volunteers claimed a victory in their previous game. A 42-9 home win occurred against New Mexico State at Neyland Stadium.

Florida Gators lost on the road in their last game, making it three straight defeats. Ole Miss won 34-24 at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Tennessee triumphed 23-17 (OT) when they last played Florida. This head-to-head was played at Neyland Stadium. The past 6 H2H games have seen Florida land four wins.

Quarterbacks

Joey Aguilar

272.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

DJ Lagway

228.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Tennessee vs Florida Prediction & Picks

Get ready for Tennessee vs Florida with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to player props and a custom bet builder.

Game Prediction

We expect the favorites to cover the -3.5 line on the spread. This is a great number and that’s why we’re playing Tennessee at -120 for this college football battle.

Our CFB predictions are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each team. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our picks.

Key Tennessee vs Florida stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Tennessee in 2 of their last 3 games on the road this season.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Tennessee in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Florida in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Florida in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Florida in 3 consecutive games.

Tennessee -3.5 Probability

If you go by the best sportsbooks, our pick has a 54.6% prospect of winning. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the betting line, you are able to get a bigger price although you will need to take a riskier wager.

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Our Game Prediction

Tennessee -3.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Joey Aguilar Over 272.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Joey Aguilar (Tennessee) to exceed 272.5 passing yards are -114. We can back him in the QB Passing Yards market and hope the Over hits.

Latest Joey Aguilar Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 272.5

-114

Under 272.5

-114

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Star Thomas Over 26.5 Rushing Yards -114

You can back Star Thomas (Florida) at -114 surpass 26.5 rushing yards. We're confident in him covering the Player Rushing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.

Latest Star Thomas Player Prop Odds

Rushing Yards

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Tennessee 30 - 24 Florida

There are lots of different betting angles including the chance to bet on the Vols on the correct score lines. For example, a 30-24 win in their favor is available at huge odds.

Tennessee vs Florida Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

With the sportsbooks giving them a 65% probability of winning this college game, Tennessee might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -185 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +154 about Florida.

The spread is 3.5 and the total points line is currently 57.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you fancy Under 57.5, then the odds are -110.

You’ll find a great variety of team props and game lines for most college football showdowns. The best betting apps provide a strong mix of pre-game and in-game options to suit your betting style.

Moneyline

Tennessee

-185

Florida

+154

Point Spread

Tennessee -3.5

-120

Florida +3.5

-102

Total Points

Under 57.5

-110

Over 57.5

-110

Receiving Yards

Braylon Staley (Tennessee)

Over 75.5

-114

Under 75.5

-114

Chris Brazzell II (Tennessee)

Over 71.5

-114

Under 71.5

-114

Mike Matthews (Tennessee)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Miles Kitselman (Tennessee)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Jadan Baugh (Florida)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Jadan Baugh (Florida)

Over 80.5

-114

Under 80.5

-114

DeSean Bishop (Tennessee)

Over 58.5

-114

Under 58.5

-114

Star Thomas (Tennessee)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Passing Yards

Joey Aguilar (Tennessee)

Over 272.5

-114

Under 272.5

-114

DJ Lagway (Florida)

Over 228.5

-114

Under 228.5

-114

Florida on Top in Recent Head-to-Heads at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Florida own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 29.90 points scored and 15.80 points allowed.

Tennessee have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, posting 28.40 points per contest while yielding 28.10.

The last time these teams met at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Florida came out on top 29-16 against Tennessee. In their past 3 head-to-heads at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Florida have won each one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O57.5	U57.5
Florida Home Stats		8-2	45.70	29.90	15.80	1	9
Tennessee Away Stats		5-5	56.50	28.40	28.10	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O57.5 = Games Over 57.5 Points
• U57.5 = Games Under 57.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tennessee Volunteers Stats

Florida Gators Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 72.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 56.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 57.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 57.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 43.40 pts and allowed 28.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 28.40 pts and allowed 28.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 45.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 57.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 57.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.80 pts and allowed 23.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 29.90 pts and allowed 15.80 pts in the last 10 home games

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