TCU vs Arizona State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Sep 2025
College Football Betting Preview: TCU vs Arizona State
TCU battle Arizona State in this NCAAF Week 5 matchup at Mountain America Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 21:00 on Friday, September 26. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
We’re sweet on TCU putting up a fight against Arizona State and that compels us to back the underdogs against the spread. You can get +102 when it comes to the +2.5 that is available.
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Texas Christian Horned Frogs claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 35-24 triumph against SMU Mustangs at Amon G. Carter Stadium made it three straight wins.
Arizona State Sun Devils won last time out by a 27-24 scoreline. On the road against Baylor Bears at McLane Stadium, they made it back-to-back wins.
Quarterbacks
Josh Hoover
Sam Leavitt
TCU vs Arizona State Prediction & Picks
Explore our best TCU vs Arizona State picks, including our main match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.
Game Prediction
Let’s back TCU in this college football matchup. The underdogs have been given a generous +2.5 on the spread and we think +102 can be taken with confidence that they cover the line.
Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making CFB predictions. We also put strong emphasis on stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter picks.
Key TCU vs Arizona State stats:
TCU +2.5 Probability
Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 49.5% chance of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It's why we think it’s worth placing this college wager.
If you want to get an odds boost when it comes to TCU covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder where multiple picks can be combined together.
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Player Prop Picks
You can back Josh Hoover (TCU) at -114 to reach over 285.5 passing yards. We believe it makes sense to stick with him on the Over and bettors can be confident in this QB Passing Yards pick.
You can back Eric McAlister (Arizona State) at -114 to reach over 70.5 receiving yards. The line for him on the Overs is highly appealing, with Player Receiving Yards bettors able to get plenty of juice.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is TCU +2.5 on the spread, Under 54.5 and Josh Hoover (TCU) to have Over 285.5 passing yards.
A same game parlay is a fantastic option for bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single football game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Correct Score Prediction
24
-
21
Arizona State
We’re expecting this to be a close matchup and we’ll take TCU to win 24-21. This is available at massive odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.
TCU vs Arizona State Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
With a 60% chance of securing victory, Arizona State are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -149. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +125 about TCU.
The spread is calculated to be 2.5, while total points comes in at 54.5. Football fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you fancy Under 54.5, then the odds are -110.
College football bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top sportsbooks and find the best value wagers.
The First TD Scorer favorite is Jordyn Tyson at +500. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to record the last touchdown.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
There are always opportunities to enjoy college football micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Punt, Turnover or Score Play.
Arizona State Looking to Extend Strong Home Form
Arizona State have posted eight consecutive wins at Mountain America Stadium. They have eight wins and two losses in the last 10 home games, scoring 31.10 points per contest and conceding 27.60.
TCU own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 games away from home, putting up 30.50 points per contest and giving up 33.60.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O54.5 | U54.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arizona State Home Stats |
8-2 | 58.70 | 31.10 | 27.60 | 6 | 4 | |
 TCU Away Stats |
5-5 | 64.10 | 30.50 | 33.60 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O54.5 = Games Over 54.5 Points
- U54.5 = Games Under 54.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Texas Christian Horned Frogs Stats
Arizona State Sun Devils Stats
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
- +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 54.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 64.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 54.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 54.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.80 pts and allowed 19.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 30.50 pts and allowed 33.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 54.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 57.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 54.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 54.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.10 pts and allowed 21.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 35.10 pts and allowed 22.60 pts in the last 10 home games
| W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|
| Big 12 | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Tech
|
12 | 1 | 552 | 142 | 410 | 8-0 | 4-1 | 6W |
BYU
|
11 | 2 | 415 | 247 | 168 | 6-0 | 5-2 | 1L |
Utah
|
10 | 2 | 493 | 224 | 269 | 5-1 | 5-1 | 5W |
Arizona
|
9 | 3 | 391 | 227 | 164 | 6-1 | 3-2 | 5W |
Houston
|
9 | 3 | 340 | 262 | 78 | 3-3 | 6-0 | 1W |
Iowa State
|
8 | 4 | 329 | 242 | 87 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 3W |
|
TCU
|
8 | 4 | 369 | 302 | 67 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 2W |
Cincinnati
|
7 | 5 | 381 | 298 | 83 | 5-3 | 2-2 | 4L |
Kansas State
|
6 | 6 | 353 | 320 | 33 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 1W |
Baylor
|
5 | 7 | 373 | 391 | -18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
Kansas
|
5 | 7 | 337 | 321 | 16 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 3L |
UCF
|
5 | 7 | 292 | 283 | 9 | 5-2 | 0-5 | 1L |
West Virginia
|
4 | 8 | 261 | 370 | -109 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 2L |
Colorado
|
3 | 9 | 251 | 366 | -115 | 3-4 | 0-5 | 5L |
Oklahoma State
|
1 | 11 | 170 | 400 | -230 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 11L |
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