TCU vs Kansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: TCU vs K-State
TCU clash with K-State in this NCAAF Week 7 matchup at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday, October 11. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
There’s merit in backing TCU on the Moneyline considering our prediction is that they will beat K-State. Especially as odds of -116 are available about this happening.
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Texas Christian Horned Frogs won their previous game which was at home. It was a 35-21 triumph at Amon G. Carter Stadium against Colorado Buffaloes.
Kansas State Wildcats suffered a defeat in their last game. A 35-34 scoreline occurred on the road at McLane Stadium against Baylor Bears.
Head-to-Head Statistics
K-State have won the last two meetings against TCU. They triumphed 31-28 (OT) at Amon G. Carter Stadium and then 41-3 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. The past 6 clashes between these teams have seen five K-State wins.
Quarterbacks
Josh Hoover
Avery Johnson
TCU vs Kansas State Prediction & Picks
This expert TCU vs Kansas State betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.
Game Prediction
There are lots of reasons to support the pick that TCU will win this college football matchup. Therefore, we’re heading to the Moneyline where you can get -116.
The college football picks at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant stats to confidently recommend every pick.
Key TCU vs Kansas State stats:
TCU Moneyline Probability
Based on the odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.8% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this college wager.
If you’re looking for a bet at bigger odds, then TCU are an option on the spread. The top sportsbooks have a series of lines that you can back them to cover.
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Player Prop Picks
You can back Josh Hoover (TCU) at -114 to go over 278.5 passing yards. We’re tempted to back him to cover the QB Passing Yards line, with plenty of juice on offer.
You can place a bet on Joseph Manjack IV (K-State) at -114 to go beyond 56.5 receiving yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous Player Receiving Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick includes TCU on the moneyline, Under 55.5 and Josh Hoover (TCU) to go Over 278.5 passing yards.
A same game parlay is an awesome way of cheering on different outcomes within the same football game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single wager. The odds can combine to great effect.
Correct Score Prediction
27
-
23
Kansas State
We’ll roll the dice and go for TCU to register a 27-23 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.
TCU vs Kansas State Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
You can choose Kansas State at +116 or alternatively TCU who have betting odds of -135. The sportsbooks award a 57% probability that the road team will be settled as a winning bet.
There is a spread of 2.5 and total points has a line of 54.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. There’s the chance to back Under 54.5 at -105.
The best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Joe Jackson is priced at +600 when it comes to First TD Scorer. He’s the favorite and also available at odds of -141 to score a touchdown at anytime.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
There are always opportunities to enjoy college football micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Punt, Turnover or Score Play.
K-State on Top in Recent Head-to-Heads at Bill Snyder Family Stadium
K-State own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 31.90 points scored and 19.70 points allowed.
TCU own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 32.60 points scored and 32.20 points allowed.
K-State beat TCU 41-3 in their most recent meeting at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. Over the last 3 head-to-head matchups at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, K-State have claimed victory in all of them.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O55.5 | U55.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kansas State Home Stats |
8-2 | 51.60 | 31.90 | 19.70 | 4 | 6 | |
 TCU Away Stats |
5-5 | 64.80 | 32.60 | 32.20 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O55.5 = Games Over 55.5 Points
- U55.5 = Games Under 55.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Texas Christian Horned Frogs Stats
Kansas State Wildcats Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 56.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 64.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 55.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 55.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 35.90 pts and allowed 20.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 32.60 pts and allowed 32.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 55.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 55.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 55.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 55.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.50 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 31.50 pts and allowed 23.70 pts in the last 10 home games
| Big 12 | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BYU
|
11 | 1 | 408 | 213 | 195 | 6-0 | 5-1 | 3W |
Texas Tech
|
11 | 1 | 518 | 135 | 383 | 7-0 | 4-1 | 5W |
Utah
|
10 | 2 | 493 | 224 | 269 | 5-1 | 5-1 | 5W |
Arizona
|
9 | 3 | 391 | 227 | 164 | 6-1 | 3-2 | 5W |
Houston
|
9 | 3 | 340 | 262 | 78 | 3-3 | 6-0 | 1W |
Iowa State
|
8 | 4 | 329 | 242 | 87 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 3W |
|
TCU
|
8 | 4 | 369 | 302 | 67 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 2W |
Cincinnati
|
7 | 5 | 381 | 298 | 83 | 5-3 | 2-2 | 4L |
|
Kansas State
|
6 | 6 | 353 | 320 | 33 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 1W |
Baylor
|
5 | 7 | 373 | 391 | -18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
Kansas
|
5 | 7 | 337 | 321 | 16 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 3L |
UCF
|
5 | 7 | 292 | 283 | 9 | 5-2 | 0-5 | 1L |
West Virginia
|
4 | 8 | 261 | 370 | -109 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 2L |
Colorado
|
3 | 9 | 251 | 366 | -115 | 3-4 | 0-5 | 5L |
Oklahoma State
|
1 | 11 | 170 | 400 | -230 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 11L |
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