TCU vs Kansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: TCU vs Kansas State

TCU clash with Kansas State in this NCAAF Week 7 matchup at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday 11 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

TCU to Get the Better of K-State

There’s merit in backing TCU on the Moneyline considering our prediction is that they will beat Kansas State. Especially as odds of -116 are available about this happening.

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5 Wins for K-State in Last 6 H2H Encounters

Texas Christian Horned Frogs won their previous game which was at home. It was a 35-21 triumph at Amon G. Carter Stadium against Colorado Buffaloes.

Kansas State Wildcats suffered a defeat in their last game. A 35-34 scoreline occurred on the road at McLane Stadium against Baylor Bears.

Head-to-Head Statistics

K-State have won the last two meetings against TCU. They triumphed 31-28 (OT) at Amon G. Carter Stadium and then 41-3 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. The past 6 clashes between these teams have seen five K-State wins.

Quarterbacks

Josh Hoover

278.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Avery Johnson

240.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

TCU vs Kansas State Prediction & Picks

This expert TCU vs Kansas State betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

There are lots of reasons to support the pick that TCU will win this college football matchup. Therefore, we’re heading to the Moneyline where you can get -116.

The college football picks at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant stats to confidently recommend every pick.

Key TCU vs Kansas State stats:

• TCU have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• TCU have won 4 of their last 5 games this season.
• Kansas State have lost 4 of their last 6 games this season.
• Kansas State have lost 6 of their last 10 games.

TCU Moneyline Probability

Based on the odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.8% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this college wager.

If you’re looking for a bet at bigger odds, then TCU are an option on the spread. The top sportsbooks have a series of lines that you can back them to cover.

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Best Bet

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Josh Hoover Over 278.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Josh Hoover (TCU) at -114 to go over 278.5 passing yards. We’re tempted to back him to cover the QB Passing Yards line, with plenty of juice on offer.

Latest Josh Hoover Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 278.5

-114

Under 278.5

-114

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Joseph Manjack IV Over 56.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can place a bet on Joseph Manjack IV (K-State) at -114 to go beyond 56.5 receiving yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous Player Receiving Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.

Latest Joseph Manjack IV Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

TCU 27 - 23 Kansas State

We’ll roll the dice and go for TCU to register a 27-23 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.

TCU vs Kansas State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Latest Odds Suggest a Close Encounter

You can choose Kansas State at -100 or alternatively TCU who have betting odds of -118. The sportsbooks award a 54% probability that the road team will be settled as a winning bet.

There is a spread of 1.5 and total points has a line of 55.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. There’s the chance to back Under 55.5 at -105.

The best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

TCU

-118

K-State

-100

Point Spread

TCU -1.5

-110

K-State +1.5

-110

Total Points

Under 55.5

-105

Over 55.5

-115

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Jayce Brown (K-State)

Over 73.5

-114

Under 73.5

-114

Eric McAlister (TCU)

Over 64.5

-114

Under 64.5

-114

Jaron Tibbs (K-State)

Over 59.5

-114

Under 59.5

-114

Joseph Manjack IV (TCU)

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Jordan Dwyer (TCU)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Garrett Oakley (K-State)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

DJ Rogers (TCU)

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

Passing Yards

Josh Hoover (TCU)

Over 278.5

-114

Under 278.5

-114

Avery Johnson (K-State)

Over 240.5

-114

Under 240.5

-114

K-State on Top in Recent Head-to-Heads at Bill Snyder Family Stadium

K-State own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 31.90 points scored and 19.70 points allowed.

TCU own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 32.60 points scored and 32.20 points allowed.

K-State beat TCU 41-3 in their most recent meeting at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. Over the last 3 head-to-head matchups at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, K-State have claimed victory in all of them.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O55.5	U55.5
Kansas State Home Stats		8-2	51.60	31.90	19.70	4	6
TCU Away Stats		5-5	64.80	32.60	32.20	7	3

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O55.5 = Games Over 55.5 Points
• U55.5 = Games Under 55.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Texas Christian Horned Frogs Stats

Kansas State Wildcats Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 56.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 64.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 55.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 55.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 35.90 pts and allowed 20.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 32.60 pts and allowed 32.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 55.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 55.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 55.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 55.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.50 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 31.50 pts and allowed 23.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big 12	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
BYU	5	0	192	61	131	3-0	2-0	5W
Texas Tech	5	0	243	56	187	3-0	2-0	5W
Iowa State	5	1	188	109	79	3-0	2-1	1L
Arizona	4	1	166	78	88	4-0	0-1	1W
Cincinnati	4	1	196	104	92	3-1	1-0	4W
Houston	4	1	136	88	48	2-1	2-0	1L
TCU	4	1	184	107	77	3-0	1-1	1W
Utah	4	1	195	73	122	1-1	3-0	1W
Baylor	4	2	218	178	40	2-2	2-0	2W
Kansas	4	2	210	123	87	3-1	1-1	1W
UCF	3	2	159	87	72	3-1	0-1	2L
Colorado	2	4	150	149	1	2-2	0-2	2L
Kansas State	2	4	165	161	4	2-2	0-2	1L
West Virginia	2	4	134	171	-37	2-1	0-3	3L
Oklahoma State	1	4	82	181	-99	1-2	0-2	4L