Texas vs Kentucky Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Oct 2025

By Patrick Jones, NCAAF Analyst | Published: 22 hours ago | 4 min read

Texas Longhorns

American Football NCAAF Kroger Field Sat 18 Oct 19:00

Kentucky Wildcats

Prediction
SGP Picks
Odds
Player Props
Stats
Standings

College Football Betting Preview: Texas vs Kentucky

Texas face Kentucky in this NCAAF Week 8 clash at Kroger Field, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Side With Texas to Win Big

There are odds of -115 that Texas cover the -12.5 spread against Kentucky. We're confident this is a good betting line for this pick where there should be lots of value available.

Following our advice? Secure the latest BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the sportsbook before deciding where to put your money.

Texas 31-14 Winners in Previous H2H Matchup

Texas Longhorns previous game saw them claim a 23-6 win over Oklahoma Sooners at Cotton Bowl Stadium.

Kentucky Wildcats have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road at Sanford Stadium, Georgia Bulldogs recently beat them 35-14.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 31-14 in favor of Texas when they last played Kentucky, with the matchup taking place at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Arch Manning

Cutter Boley

Texas vs Kentucky Prediction & Picks

Dive into our full Texas vs Kentucky betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, top player prop bets and a bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

We really fancy the chances of Texas beating the underdogs handsomely in this college football showdown. That is why we are wagering them at -12.5 on the spread at -115.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible CFB predictions. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key numbers that truly make a difference.

Key Texas vs Kentucky stats:

The -12.5 line has been covered by Texas in 4 of their last 5 games.
The -12.5 line has been covered by Texas in 4 of their last 6 games this season.
The +12.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 2 consecutive games.

Texas -12.5 Probability

According to the best betting apps, there’s a 53.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

In the hunt for tastier odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. This allows you to shoot for a team to perform better than expected by the sportsbooks.

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Best Bet

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Published 01:26, 17 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cutter Boley Under 160.5 Passing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Cutter Boley (Kentucky) at -114 to have less than 160.5 passing yards. It’s reasonable to expect he may fall short, making the QB Passing Yards line appealing.

Latest Cutter Boley Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Passing Yards

Quintrevion Wisner Under 86.5 Rushing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Quintrevion Wisner (Kentucky) at -114 to record fewer than 86.5 rushing yards. We’re confident he’ll fall short of the Player Rushing Yards line, as the total looks too high.

Latest Quintrevion Wisner Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Rushing Yards

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Texas -12.5

Totals Over 43.5

Passing Yards Cutter Boley Under 160.5

We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Texas -12.5, Over 43.5 and Cutter Boley (Kentucky) to have Under 160.5 passing yards.

The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored football bet on the event which interests them most.

Bet Boosts

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Correct Score Prediction

Texas

34 - 17 Kentucky logo

Kentucky

Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where Texas can be backed speculatively to achieve a 34-17 victory.

Texas vs Kentucky Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Make Texas Big Favorites

Texas have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -556 favorites for this college game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 85% chance of winning. Kentucky are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +410.

The spread is currently 12.5, with the total points line at 43.5. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 43.5 at -110.

Make sure to explore all angles before placing your college football bets. The top sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the matchup.

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total Points

Quintrevion Wisner Favorite to Score First TD

Favorite Quintrevion Wisner is now available at +360 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last TD.

Touchdown

Quintrevion Wisner (Texas)

Arch Manning (Texas)

Seth McGowan (Kentucky)

Ryan Wingo (Texas)

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Receiving Yards

Ryan Wingo (Texas)

DeAndre Moore Jr. (Texas)

Parker Livingstone (Texas)

Kendrick Law (Kentucky)

View More View Less

Rushing Yards

Quintrevion Wisner (Texas)

Seth McGowan (Kentucky)

Arch Manning (Texas)

Dante Dowdell (Kentucky)

Passing Yards

Arch Manning (Texas)

Cutter Boley (Kentucky)

Best Betting Offers

Kroger Field

Past Ten Kentucky Home Games Feature Six Losses

Kentucky have four wins and six losses in the last 10 home games, posting 23.90 points per contest while yielding 21.00.

Texas have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games away from home, putting up 25.30 points per contest and giving up 18.30.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O43.5	U43.5
Kentucky Home Stats		4-6	44.90	23.90	21.00	5	5
Texas Away Stats		7-3	43.60	25.30	18.30	4	6

W-L = Wins-Losses
P = Avg. Points
PF = Avg. Points For
PA = Avg. Points Against
O43.5 = Games Over 43.5 Points
U43.5 = Games Under 43.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

All
Home
Away

Last 5 Games

Texas

NCAAF: 11/10 Oklahoma6 Texas 23
NCAAF: 04/10 Texas21 Florida 29
NCAAF: 21/09 Sam Houston0 Texas 55
NCAAF: 13/09 UTEP10 Texas 27
NCAAF: 06/09 San Jose State7 Texas 38

Kentucky

NCAAF: 04/10 Kentucky14 Georgia 35
NCAAF: 28/09 Kentucky13 South Carolina 35
NCAAF: 14/09 Eastern Michigan23 Kentucky 48
NCAAF: 06/09 Ole Miss30 Kentucky 23
NCAAF: 30/08 Toledo16 Kentucky 24

Head to Head

Texas vs Kentucky

NCAAF: 23/11 2024 Kentucky 14 Texas 31

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Texas Longhorns Stats

Kentucky Wildcats Stats

Moneyline

6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

-12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
-12.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

+12.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
+12.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 45.20 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 43.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 43.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 43.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.10 pts and allowed 17.10 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 25.30 pts and allowed 18.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 49.50 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 44.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 43.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
Over 43.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.60 pts and allowed 26.90 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.90 pts and allowed 21.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season

Southeastern	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Ole Miss	6	0	227	115	112	5-0	1-0	6W
Texas A&M	6	0	208	122	86	5-0	1-0	6W
Alabama	5	1	209	104	105	3-0	2-1	5W
Georgia	5	1	193	102	91	3-1	2-0	2W
LSU	5	1	155	71	84	4-0	1-1	1W
Missouri	5	1	250	100	150	5-1	0-0	1L
Oklahoma	5	1	175	59	116	4-0	1-1	1L
Tennessee	5	1	289	176	113	4-1	1-0	3W
Vanderbilt	5	1	259	116	143	3-0	2-1	1L
Mississippi State	4	2	202	119	83	3-1	1-1	2L
Texas	4	2	171	66	105	4-0	0-2	1W
Auburn	3	3	148	102	46	2-1	1-2	3L
South Carolina	3	3	134	114	20	3-1	0-2	1L
Kentucky	2	3	122	139	-17	2-1	0-2	2L
Arkansas	2	4	218	184	34	2-1	0-3	4L
Florida	2	4	134	119	15	2-1	0-3	1L