Texas Tech vs Houston Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Texas Tech vs Houston
Texas Tech meet Houston in this NCAAF Week 6 matchup at TDECU Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
Back Texas Tech to Overpower Houston
Our bet is Texas Tech on the spread. Back them off -11.5 at odds of -110 and be confident that the market leaders can cover the line against Houston.
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Texas Tech Too Good for Houston in Last H2H
Texas Tech Red Raiders have won four on the spin, triumphing 34-10 in their previous game. This was on the road against Utah Utes at Rice-Eccles Stadium.
Houston Cougars got a fourth straight win in their last game. It was a 27-24 (OT) road triumph at Reser Stadium when meeting Oregon State Beavers.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Texas Tech won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 49-28 triumph when facing Houston at Jones AT&T Stadium. We’ve seen a Texas Tech win for each of the past 3 games between the teams.
Quarterbacks
Behren Morton
Conner Weigman
Texas Tech vs Houston Prediction & Picks
Dive into our full Texas Tech vs Houston betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, top player prop bets and a bet builder designed for value.
Game Prediction
There’s a strong case to be made for Texas Tech against the spread in this college football matchup. Our prediction is that the favorites can cover the -11.5 line at -110 considering they should be superior.
The CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any picks. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our predictions.
Key Texas Tech vs Houston stats:
Texas Tech -11.5 Probability
Based on the odds from the top betting apps, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability close to 60%. It's why we think it’s worth placing this college wager.
There’s the opportunity to sell points and that means moving the line until you’re happy with the bet. It means a riskier wager but a bigger return on the odds available.
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Best Bet
Texas Tech -11.5 @ -110
Player Prop Picks
The odds for Conner Weigman (Houston) to record fewer than 201.5 passing yards stand at -114. He could struggle to reach the QB Passing Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.
Terrance Carter Jr. (Houston) can be backed at -114 to have less than 41.5 receiving yards. He may fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line, making this prop bet a strong pick.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Our same game parlay pick is Texas Tech -11.5 on the spread, Over 51.5 and Conner Weigman (Houston) to have Under 201.5 passing yards.
A same game parlay is an awesome way of cheering on different outcomes within the same football game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single wager. The odds can combine to great effect.
Correct Score Prediction
35
-
21
Houston
A 35-21 win for Texas Tech is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a massive potential return.
Texas Tech vs Houston Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Texas Tech Heavy Favorites to Win
The latest Moneyline betting odds give Texas Tech a 82% chance of winning this college game which means they’re overwhelming -455 favorites with the sportsbooks. Houston are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +360.
The spread currently stands at 11.5 and the total points line is 51.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. Those who wager Under 51.5 can get -105.
The top sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Cameron Dickey Favorite to Score First Touchdown
There is -164 available that Cameron Dickey scores a TD at any stage. He is available at +440 to register the first touchdown which makes him favorite.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Houston With Five Wins in Past Ten Home Games
Houston own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, posting 19.80 points per contest while yielding 19.40.
Texas Tech have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, scoring 25.40 points per contest and conceding 31.00.
Texas Tech beat Houston 38-21 when they last met at TDECU Stadium.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O51.5 | U51.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Houston Home Stats |
5-5 | 39.20 | 19.80 | 19.40 | 2 | 8 | |
 Texas Tech Away Stats |
5-5 | 56.40 | 25.40 | 31.00 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
- U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Stats
Houston Cougars Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road
- +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 67.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 56.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 51.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 42.60 pts and allowed 24.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 25.40 pts and allowed 31.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 41.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 39.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 51.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.10 pts and allowed 20.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 19.80 pts and allowed 19.40 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAF Standings Select Season
| Big 12 | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BYU
|
4 | 0 | 154 | 37 | 117 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 4W |
|
Houston
|
4 | 0 | 125 | 53 | 72 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 4W |
Iowa State
|
5 | 0 | 158 | 71 | 87 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 5W |
|
Texas Tech
|
4 | 0 | 208 | 45 | 163 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 4W |
Utah
|
4 | 1 | 195 | 73 | 122 | 1-1 | 3-0 | 1W |
Arizona
|
3 | 1 | 125 | 65 | 60 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
Cincinnati
|
3 | 1 | 158 | 74 | 84 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 3W |
TCU
|
3 | 1 | 149 | 86 | 63 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 1L |
UCF
|
3 | 1 | 139 | 60 | 79 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
Baylor
|
3 | 2 | 183 | 144 | 39 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1W |
Kansas
|
3 | 2 | 183 | 103 | 80 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 1L |
Colorado
|
2 | 3 | 129 | 114 | 15 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1L |
Kansas State
|
2 | 3 | 131 | 126 | 5 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1W |
West Virginia
|
2 | 3 | 110 | 133 | -23 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2L |
Oklahoma State
|
1 | 3 | 69 | 140 | -71 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3L |
Charlotte
South Florida
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22:00 - Fri 03 Oct
NCAAF
New Mexico
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22:30 - Fri 03 Oct
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West Virginia
BYU
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22:30 - Fri 03 Oct
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Colorado State
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12:00 - Sat 04 Oct
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Wisconsin
Michigan
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12:00 - Sat 04 Oct
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13:00 - Sat 04 Oct
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13:00 - Sat 04 Oct
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