Toledo Rockets
American Football NCAAF Doyt L. Perry Stadium Sat 11 Oct 12:00
Bowling Green Falcons (BGSU)
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Standings

College Football Betting Preview: Toledo vs Bowling Green

Toledo lock horns with Bowling Green in this NCAAF Week 7 matchup at Doyt L. Perry Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, October 11. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

We’re Backing Bowling Green to Cover the Line

We’ve smashed into Bowling Green +11.5 and this spread bet at -115 means we need the underdogs to avoid a big defeat against Toledo.

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Bowling Green Beat Toledo in Pair’s Previous Matchup

Toledo Rockets have suffered successive road defeats. Their most recent game was a 45-3 home win at Glass Bowl where they beat Akron Zips.

Bowling Green Falcons have suffered defeat in their last two games. Most recently, a 35-20 scoreline occurred on the road at Peden Stadium against Ohio Bobcats.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Bowling Green beat Toledo in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 41-26 scoreline at Glass Bowl. It’s been three wins for each team over the previous 6 H2H meetings.

Toledo vs Bowling Green Prediction & Picks

Step into Toledo vs Bowling Green with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Game Prediction

There’s a lot to like about Bowling Green +11.5 when they play this college football matchup. You can get odds of -115 and we need the underdogs to avoid a sizeable defeat.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our CFB analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our picks. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Key Toledo vs Bowling Green stats:

  • The +11.5 line has been covered by Bowling Green in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
  • The +11.5 line has been covered by Bowling Green in 16 of their last 20 games.
  • The +11.5 line has been covered by Bowling Green in 3 consecutive games at home.
  • The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toledo in 7 consecutive games on the road.
  • The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toledo in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
  • The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toledo in 16 of their last 20 games on the road.
  • The +11.5 line has been covered by Bowling Green in 3 consecutive games against Toledo.

Bowling Green +11.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this college wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Looking for more juice from your point spread pick? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger odds although you will need to take a riskier bet.

Ready to boost your bet? Explore a huge selection of welcome bonuses in our regularly updated betting offers guide.

Our Game Prediction
Bowling Green +11.5 @ -115 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 18:27, 09 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tucker Gleason Under 212.5 Passing Yards -114 BetMGM logo

You can place a bet on Tucker Gleason (Toledo) at -114 to finish with fewer than 212.5 passing yards. He may fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, making this prop bet a strong pick.

Latest Tucker Gleason Player Prop Odds

Junior Vandeross III Under 70.5 Receiving Yards -114 BetMGM logo

The odds for Junior Vandeross III (Toledo) to have less than 70.5 receiving yards are -114. He could struggle to reach the Player Receiving Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.

Latest Junior Vandeross III Player Prop Odds

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread BGSU +11.5
Totals Under 48.5
Passing Yards Tucker Gleason Under 212.5

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: BGSU +11.5, Under 48.5 points and Tucker Gleason (Toledo) to have Under 212.5 passing yards.

A same game parlay is a fantastic option for bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single football game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.

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Correct Score Prediction

Toledo Toledo logo 23 - 21 Bowling Green logo Bowling Green

We’re expecting a close battle so it might be worth going for Toledo to triumph by a 23-21 scoreline. You can get a massive price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

Toledo vs Bowling Green Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Have Toledo as Heavy Favorites

Toledo are strong -435 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 81% chance of claiming victory. The market suggests that Bowling Green are least likely to win at +340.

There is a spread of 10.5 and total points has a line of 45.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. Those expecting a low total can back Under 45.5 at -104.

The best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Chip Trayanum Favorite to Be First TD Scorer

Those interested in favorite Chip Trayanum to score the first touchdown are able to get +360. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is -175.

Touchdown

Chip Trayanum (Toledo)
First TD
+360
Anytime TD
-175
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Junior Vandeross III (Toledo)
First TD
+550
Anytime TD
-125
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Kenji Christian (Toledo)
First TD
+900
Anytime TD
+125
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Kaderris Roberts (BGSU)
First TD
+1300
Anytime TD
+200
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Receiving Yards

Junior Vandeross III (Toledo)
Over 70.5
-112
Under 70.5
-112
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Rushing Yards

Chip Trayanum (Toledo)
Over 83.5
-112
Under 83.5
-112
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Chris McMillian (BGSU)
Over 40.5
-112
Under 40.5
-112
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Micro Betting

Among the various options for wagering on college football, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as whether a touchdown will be scored within the next few minutes.

Best Betting Offers
Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Bowling Green Have Collected Six Wins From Last Ten at Home

Bowling Green have a 6-4 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 24.90 points per contest and giving up 18.40.

Toledo have endured three consecutive losses away from home. They own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 20.90 points on offense and surrendering 19.90 on defense.

The previous meeting at Doyt L. Perry Stadium saw Toledo defeat Bowling Green 32-31. From their last 3 head-to-head matchups at Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Toledo have collected two wins and Bowling Green one.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O48.5 U48.5
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Home Stats 6-4 43.30 24.90 18.40 3 7
Toledo logo Toledo Away Stats 4-6 40.80 20.90 19.90 3 7
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
  • U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toledo Rockets logo Toledo Rockets Stats
Bowling Green Falcons logo Bowling Green Falcons Stats
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
NCAAF Standings Select Season
Mid-American W L PF PA N. Pts Home Away Strk
Western Michigan 8 4 284 224 60 5-1 3-3 4W
Ohio 8 4 344 275 69 6-0 2-4 2W
Toledo 8 4 379 146 233 6-0 2-4 4W
Miami (OH) 7 5 313 263 50 4-2 3-3 2W
Central Michigan 7 5 286 272 14 4-1 3-4 1L
Akron 5 7 267 329 -62 3-3 2-4 1W
Buffalo 5 7 288 282 6 2-5 3-2 3L
Kent State 5 7 255 403 -148 3-2 2-5 1W
Ball State 4 8 190 358 -168 4-1 0-7 3L
Eastern Michigan 4 8 289 357 -68 3-3 1-5 1L
Bowling Green 4 8 246 291 -45 3-3 1-5 1W
Northern Illinois 3 9 205 292 -87 2-4 1-5 2L
UMass 0 12 133 463 -330 0-6 0-6 12L