Toledo vs Bowling Green Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Toledo vs Bowling Green

Toledo lock horns with Bowling Green in this NCAAF Week 7 matchup at Doyt L. Perry Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday 11 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

We’re Backing Bowling Green to Cover the Line

We’ve smashed into Bowling Green +11.5 and this spread bet at -115 means we need the underdogs to avoid a big defeat against Toledo.

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Bowling Green Beat Toledo in Pair’s Previous Matchup

Toledo Rockets have suffered successive road defeats. Their most recent game was a 45-3 home win at Glass Bowl where they beat Akron Zips.

Bowling Green Falcons have suffered defeat in their last two games. Most recently, a 35-20 scoreline occurred on the road at Peden Stadium against Ohio Bobcats.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Bowling Green beat Toledo in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 41-26 scoreline at Glass Bowl. It’s been three wins for each team over the previous 6 H2H meetings.

Toledo vs Bowling Green Prediction & Picks

Explore our top Toledo vs Bowling Green betting tips, including an expert match prediction, correct score forecast and a bet builder ready to use. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

There’s a lot to like about Bowling Green +11.5 when they play this college football matchup. You can get odds of -115 and we need the underdogs to avoid a sizeable defeat.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our CFB analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our picks. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Key Toledo vs Bowling Green stats:

• The +11.5 line has been covered by Bowling Green in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +11.5 line has been covered by Bowling Green in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The +11.5 line has been covered by Bowling Green in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toledo in 7 consecutive games on the road.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toledo in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toledo in 16 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +11.5 line has been covered by Bowling Green in 3 consecutive games against Toledo.

Bowling Green +11.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this college wager.

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Best Bet

Bowling Green +11.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toledo 23 - 21 Bowling Green

We’re expecting a close battle so it might be worth going for Toledo to triumph by a 23-21 scoreline. You can get a massive price and we should hopefully get a run for our money.

Toledo vs Bowling Green Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Have Toledo as Heavy Favorites

Toledo are strong -400 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 80% chance of claiming victory. The market suggests that Bowling Green are least likely to win at +315.

There is a spread of 11.5 and total points has a line of 48.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. Those expecting a low total can back Under 48.5 at -115.

The best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Toledo

-400

BGSU

+315

Point Spread

Toledo -11.5

-105

BGSU +11.5

-115

Total Points

Under 48.5

-115

Over 48.5

-105

Player Props & Micro Betting

You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player or quarterback when it comes to number of Touchdowns, Passing or Rushing Yards.

Among the various options for wagering on college football, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as whether a touchdown will be scored within the next few minutes.

Bowling Green Have Collected Six Wins From Last Ten at Home

Bowling Green have a 6-4 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 24.90 points per contest and giving up 18.40.

Toledo have endured three consecutive losses away from home. They own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 20.90 points on offense and surrendering 19.90 on defense.

The previous meeting at Doyt L. Perry Stadium saw Toledo defeat Bowling Green 32-31. From their last 3 head-to-head matchups at Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Toledo have collected two wins and Bowling Green one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O48.5	U48.5
Bowling Green Home Stats		6-4	43.30	24.90	18.40	3	7
Toledo Away Stats		4-6	40.80	20.90	19.90	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
• U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toledo Rockets Stats

Bowling Green Falcons Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 50.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 40.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 48.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.40 pts and allowed 19.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.90 pts and allowed 19.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 47.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 45.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 48.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.10 pts and allowed 23.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 25.60 pts and allowed 20.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mid-American	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Toledo	3	2	179	62	117	3-0	0-2	1W
Buffalo	3	3	151	128	23	2-2	1-1	1W
Central Michigan	3	3	131	173	-42	2-0	1-3	1L
Ohio	3	3	158	156	2	3-0	0-3	1L
Western Michigan	3	3	118	124	-6	2-1	1-2	3W
Ball State	2	3	82	147	-65	2-0	0-3	1W
Bowling Green	2	3	106	129	-23	2-0	0-3	2L
Miami (OH)	2	3	118	117	1	1-1	1-2	2W
Akron	2	4	110	183	-73	2-1	0-3	1W
Kent State	1	4	73	220	-147	1-1	0-3	4L
Northern Illinois	1	4	55	106	-51	1-2	0-2	4L
Eastern Michigan	1	5	150	214	-64	1-1	0-4	2L
Massachusetts	0	5	52	179	-127	0-3	0-2	5L