Toledo vs Bowling Green Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Toledo vs Bowling Green
Toledo lock horns with Bowling Green in this NCAAF Week 7 matchup at Doyt L. Perry Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, October 11. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
We’ve smashed into Bowling Green +11.5 and this spread bet at -115 means we need the underdogs to avoid a big defeat against Toledo.
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Toledo Rockets have suffered successive road defeats. Their most recent game was a 45-3 home win at Glass Bowl where they beat Akron Zips.
Bowling Green Falcons have suffered defeat in their last two games. Most recently, a 35-20 scoreline occurred on the road at Peden Stadium against Ohio Bobcats.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Bowling Green beat Toledo in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 41-26 scoreline at Glass Bowl. It’s been three wins for each team over the previous 6 H2H meetings.
Toledo vs Bowling Green Prediction & Picks
Step into Toledo vs Bowling Green with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.
Game Prediction
There’s a lot to like about Bowling Green +11.5 when they play this college football matchup. You can get odds of -115 and we need the underdogs to avoid a sizeable defeat.
Tracking injury updates is a big part of our CFB analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our picks. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.
Key Toledo vs Bowling Green stats:
Bowling Green +11.5 Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this college wager.
Looking for more juice from your point spread pick? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger odds although you will need to take a riskier bet.
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Player Prop Picks
You can place a bet on Tucker Gleason (Toledo) at -114 to finish with fewer than 212.5 passing yards. He may fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, making this prop bet a strong pick.
The odds for Junior Vandeross III (Toledo) to have less than 70.5 receiving yards are -114. He could struggle to reach the Player Receiving Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: BGSU +11.5, Under 48.5 points and Tucker Gleason (Toledo) to have Under 212.5 passing yards.
A same game parlay is a fantastic option for bettors who want to focus their wagering on a single football game. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Correct Score Prediction
Toledo vs Bowling Green Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Toledo are strong -435 favorites to win this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 81% chance of claiming victory. The market suggests that Bowling Green are least likely to win at +340.
There is a spread of 10.5 and total points has a line of 45.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. Those expecting a low total can back Under 45.5 at -104.
The best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Those interested in favorite Chip Trayanum to score the first touchdown are able to get +360. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is -175.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Among the various options for wagering on college football, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as whether a touchdown will be scored within the next few minutes.
Bowling Green Have Collected Six Wins From Last Ten at Home
Bowling Green have a 6-4 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 24.90 points per contest and giving up 18.40.
Toledo have endured three consecutive losses away from home. They own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 20.90 points on offense and surrendering 19.90 on defense.
The previous meeting at Doyt L. Perry Stadium saw Toledo defeat Bowling Green 32-31. From their last 3 head-to-head matchups at Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Toledo have collected two wins and Bowling Green one.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O48.5 | U48.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bowling Green Home Stats |
6-4 | 43.30 | 24.90 | 18.40 | 3 | 7 | |
Toledo Away Stats |
4-6 | 40.80 | 20.90 | 19.90 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
- U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Toledo Rockets Stats
Bowling Green Falcons Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -11.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road
- +11.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +11.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 50.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 40.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 48.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.40 pts and allowed 19.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.90 pts and allowed 19.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 47.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 45.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 48.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.10 pts and allowed 23.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 25.60 pts and allowed 20.10 pts in the last 10 home games
| Mid-American | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Western Michigan
|
8 | 4 | 284 | 224 | 60 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 4W |
Ohio
|
8 | 4 | 344 | 275 | 69 | 6-0 | 2-4 | 2W |
Toledo
|
8 | 4 | 379 | 146 | 233 | 6-0 | 2-4 | 4W |
Miami (OH)
|
7 | 5 | 313 | 263 | 50 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 2W |
Central Michigan
|
7 | 5 | 286 | 272 | 14 | 4-1 | 3-4 | 1L |
Akron
|
5 | 7 | 267 | 329 | -62 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 1W |
Buffalo
|
5 | 7 | 288 | 282 | 6 | 2-5 | 3-2 | 3L |
Kent State
|
5 | 7 | 255 | 403 | -148 | 3-2 | 2-5 | 1W |
Ball State
|
4 | 8 | 190 | 358 | -168 | 4-1 | 0-7 | 3L |
Eastern Michigan
|
4 | 8 | 289 | 357 | -68 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 1L |
Bowling Green
|
4 | 8 | 246 | 291 | -45 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 1W |
Northern Illinois
|
3 | 9 | 205 | 292 | -87 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 2L |
UMass
|
0 | 12 | 133 | 463 | -330 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 12L |
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