Toledo vs Kentucky Prediction, Picks & Odds | 30 Aug 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Toledo vs Kentucky

Toledo square off against Kentucky in this NCAAF matchup at Kroger Field, with kickoff scheduled for 12:45 on Saturday 30 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Are Toledo +10.5 a Value Bet?

Toledo can avoid a big loss against Kentucky, with bettors able to back them against the spread. The underdogs should be able to cover +10.5 which have been made available at -118.

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Teams’ Last Matchup Saw 38-24 Kentucky Win

Toledo Rockets claimed a victory in their previous game. A 48-46 win occurred against Pittsburgh Panthers at Ford Field.

Kentucky Wildcats lost when they last took to the field. At Kroger Field, they were turned over 41-14 at home to Louisville Cardinals.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Kentucky won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 38-24 victory was registered against Toledo at Commonwealth Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Tucker Gleason

205.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Zach Calzada

223.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Toledo vs Kentucky Prediction & Picks

Get fully prepped for Toledo vs Kentucky with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

Toledo look capable of avoiding a heavy defeat in this college football battle and we’re happy to bet them against the spread. The underdogs can comfortably cover +10.5 and this can be backed at -118.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our CFB handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the matchup might unfold.

Key Toledo vs Kentucky stats:

• The +10.5 line has been covered by Toledo in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +10.5 line has been covered by Toledo in 18 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +10.5 line has been covered by Toledo in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The -10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -10.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kentucky in 2 consecutive games.

Toledo +10.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 54.1% likelihood of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability close to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you are looking for bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling points. Choose how many to sell until you are happy with the juice available.

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Best Bet

Toledo +10.5 @ -118 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toledo 17 - 23 Kentucky

Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where the Cats can be backed speculatively to achieve a 23-17 victory.

Toledo vs Kentucky Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Make Kentucky Big Favorites

With a 79% chance of securing victory, Kentucky are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -370. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +285 about Toledo.

The current spread is 10.5 and the total points line is 47.5. The Totals offers football bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you fancy Under 47.5, then the odds are -110.

The best betting apps provide tons of game lines and team props for nearly every college football matchup. Take a few moments to browse all the markets so you can place a bet that matches your insight.

Moneyline

Toledo

+285

Kentucky

-370

Point Spread

Toledo +10.5

-118

Kentucky -10.5

-104

Total Points

Under 47.5

-110

Over 47.5

-110

Player Odds

Passing Yards

Zach Calzada (Kentucky)

Over 223.5

-114

Under 223.5

-114

Tucker Gleason (Toledo)

Over 205.5

-114

Under 205.5

-114

Kentucky Have Seven Defeats Across Their Last Ten Home Outings

Kentucky have gone 3-7 across their last 10 home games, scoring 23.10 points per contest and conceding 22.80.

Toledo are 6-4 in their last 10 games away from home, putting up 23.30 points per contest and giving up 20.90.

The most recent Kroger Field meeting saw Kentucky claim a 38-24 win over Toledo.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O47.5	U47.5
Kentucky Home Stats		3-7	45.90	23.10	22.80	4	6
Toledo Away Stats		6-4	44.20	23.30	20.90	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
• U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toledo Rockets Stats

Kentucky Wildcats Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 49.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 47.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.00 pts and allowed 25.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.30 pts and allowed 20.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 45.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 47.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.00 pts and allowed 23.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.10 pts and allowed 22.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Missouri	1	0	61	6	55	1-0	0-0	1W
Alabama	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Arkansas	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Auburn	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Florida	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Georgia	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Kentucky	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
LSU	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Mississippi State	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Oklahoma	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Ole Miss	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
South Carolina	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Tennessee	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Texas A&M	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Texas	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Vanderbilt	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-

Mid-American	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Bowling Green	1	0	26	7	19	1-0	0-0	1W
Akron	0	1	0	10	-10	0-1	0-0	1L
Ball State	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Buffalo	0	1	10	23	-13	0-0	0-1	1L
Central Michigan	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Eastern Michigan	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Kent State	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Massachusetts	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Miami (OH)	0	1	0	17	-17	0-0	0-1	1L
Northern Illinois	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Ohio	0	1	31	34	-3	0-0	0-1	1L
Toledo	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-
Western Michigan	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	-