Toledo vs Miami (OH) Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Toledo vs Miami-Ohio

Toledo go up against Miami-Ohio at Fred Yager Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, November 12. Our betting preview features expert NCAAF predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Back Miami-Ohio to Run the Favorites Close

If you agree that Miami-Ohio can push Toledo to the wire, then back the underdogs against the spread here. The +3.5 makes lots of appeal at -104.

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Toledo Won When They Last Played Miami-Ohio

Toledo Rockets have lost four straight road games. In their previous appearance, they recorded a 42-3 home win over Northern Illinois Huskies at Glass Bowl.

Miami-Ohio Redhawks have won three home games on the spin. On the road at Peden Stadium in their last game, they were beaten 24-20 by Ohio Bobcats.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 30-20 in favor of Toledo when they last played Miami-Ohio, with the matchup taking place at Glass Bowl. Toledo have triumphed in two of the previous 3 clashes between these teams.

Quarterbacks

Tucker Gleason

225.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Dequan Finn

191.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Toledo vs Miami (OH) Prediction & Picks

Get set for Toledo vs Miami (OH) with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re happy to get with Miami-Ohio against the spread in this college football matchup. -104 is available that they are able to cover +3.5 and that looks more than reasonable.

The CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our picks.

Key Toledo vs Miami-Ohio stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Miami (OH) in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Miami (OH) in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Miami (OH) in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toledo in 6 consecutive games on the road.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toledo in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Toledo in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.

Miami-Ohio +3.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks make it a 51% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Those wanting an alternative to the spread can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on Miami-Ohio and their performance.

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Best Bet

Miami-Ohio +3.5 @ -104 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tucker Gleason Under 225.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Tucker Gleason (Toledo) at -114 to have less than 225.5 passing yards. Several factors suggest he will fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, making this an appealing wager.

Latest Tucker Gleason Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 225.5

-114

Under 225.5

-114

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Kam Perry Under 55.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can back Kam Perry (Miami-Ohio) at -114 to have less than 55.5 receiving yards. There’s a strong case for opting for him to fall short of the required total in the Player Receiving Yards market.

Latest Kam Perry Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 55.5

-114

Under 55.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Toledo 24 - 27 Miami (OH)

A close battle could be on the cards. We’ll bet on Miami (OH) to claim a 27-24 victory at huge odds and this correct score pick should hopefully be a fun one.

Toledo vs Miami (OH) Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Make Toledo Moneyline Favorites

Toledo have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 65% probability due to their -189 Moneyline betting odds. Miami-Ohio are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +158.

The current spread is 3.5 and the total points line is 44.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 44.5 at -110.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for every college football game, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Toledo

-189

Miami (OH)

+158

Point Spread

Toledo -3.5

-118

Miami (OH) +3.5

-104

Total Points

Under 44.5

-110

Over 44.5

-110

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Junior Vandeross III (Toledo)

Over 81.5

-114

Under 81.5

-114

Kam Perry (Miami (OH))

Over 55.5

-114

Under 55.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Chip Trayanum (Toledo)

Over 83.5

-114

Under 83.5

-114

Jordan Brunson (Miami (OH))

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Dequan Finn (Miami (OH))

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Passing Yards

Tucker Gleason (Toledo)

Over 225.5

-114

Under 225.5

-114

Dequan Finn (Miami (OH))

Over 191.5

-114

Under 191.5

-114

Can Miami-Ohio Keep Their Home Streak Alive?

Miami-Ohio have posted three consecutive wins at Fred Yager Stadium. They own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 home games, scoring 31.50 points per contest and conceding 17.80.

Toledo have suffered five defeats in a row away from home. They have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 road games, averaging 19.20 points on offense and surrendering 22.20 on defense.

Toledo earned a 21-17 win over Miami-Ohio the last time they played at Fred Yager Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O44.5	U44.5
Miami (OH) Home Stats		8-2	49.30	31.50	17.80	4	6
Toledo Away Stats		3-7	41.40	19.20	22.20	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O44.5 = Games Over 44.5 Points
• U44.5 = Games Under 44.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toledo Rockets Stats

Miami-Ohio Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 52.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 41.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 44.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.40 pts and allowed 17.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.20 pts and allowed 22.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 49.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 44.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.10 pts and allowed 21.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 30.20 pts and allowed 18.90 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mid-American	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Ohio	6	3	258	218	40	5-0	1-3	3W
Buffalo	5	4	223	176	47	2-3	3-1	1W
Miami (OH)	5	4	228	195	33	3-1	2-3	1L
Western Michigan	5	4	201	171	30	4-1	1-3	1W
Central Michigan	5	4	217	216	1	3-0	2-4	1L
Toledo	5	4	296	131	165	5-0	0-4	1W
Ball State	4	5	148	251	-103	4-0	0-5	1W
Akron	4	6	213	271	-58	3-2	1-4	2W
Kent State	3	6	162	309	-147	3-1	0-5	1L
Eastern Michigan	3	7	244	317	-73	3-2	0-5	1W
Bowling Green	3	7	185	258	-73	3-2	0-5	4L
Northern Illinois	2	7	110	219	-109	2-2	0-5	1L
UMass	0	9	102	331	-229	0-4	0-5	9L