UCF vs Kansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Sep 2025
College Football Betting Preview: UCF vs K-State
UCF meet K-State in this NCAAF Week 5 matchup at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, September 27. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
There are odds of -110 about Over 49.5 points and this looks generous when K-State face UCF. The bar might have been set too low in terms of total.
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UCF Knights beat North Carolina Tar Heels in their previous game, making it three straight victories. It was a 34-9 home win at Acrisure Bounce House.
Kansas State Wildcats have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road, they recently suffered a 23-17 loss against Arizona Wildcats at Arizona Stadium.
Head-to-Head Statistics
K-State won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 44-31 victory was registered against UCF at Bill Snyder Family Stadium.
Quarterbacks
Tayven Jackson
Avery Johnson
UCF vs Kansas State Prediction & Picks
Our UCF vs Kansas State betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, scoreline advice, standout player props and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.
Game Prediction
The two teams should be able to accumulate enough points for our pick to win. We’re forecasting Over 49.5 and odds of -110 are available for this college football matchup.
Sportsgambler.com brings strong college football expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our CFB picks and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.
Key UCF vs Kansas State stats:
Over 49.5 Probability
According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
There are several ways to increase the odds if you’re wanting to wager on Overs and one of them is betting on the Result & Total lines where you also predict a team to win.
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Player Prop Picks
The odds for Avery Johnson (K-State) to score a TD are +120. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
Duane Thomas Jr. (UCF) can be backed at -114 to rack up over 30.5 receiving yards. We can back him in the Player Receiving Yards market and hope the Over hits.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Over 49.5, along with UCF +5.5 on the spread and a touchdown to be scored by Avery Johnson (Kansas State).
A football same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular game. Should a bettor get these picks correct, then they can achieve a big return from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
31
-
28
Kansas State
We’ll throw a dart when it comes to UCF landing a 31-28 win. This correct score pick is available at huge odds and could be an entertaining bet to place.
UCF vs Kansas State Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Kansas State are -204 favorites and that means a 67% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, UCF are trading at +168.
There is a spread of 5.5 and total points has a line of 49.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 49.5, the odds are -105.
If you’re betting on college football, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.
Myles Montgomery is priced at +550 when it comes to First TD Scorer. He’s the favorite and also available at odds of -130 to score a touchdown at anytime.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college football and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.
K-State Hold Seven Wins From Last Ten at Home
K-State have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 home games, averaging 32.00 points on offense and surrendering 21.90 on defense.
UCF have taken four consecutive losses away from home. They have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 road games, posting 26.80 points per matchup while yielding 33.80.
The most recent Bill Snyder Family Stadium meeting saw K-State claim a 44-31 win over UCF.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O49.5 | U49.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kansas State Home Stats |
7-3 | 53.90 | 32.00 | 21.90 | 5 | 5 | |
 UCF Away Stats |
2-8 | 60.60 | 26.80 | 33.80 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
- U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
UCF Knights Stats
Kansas State Wildcats Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road
- -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
- -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 53.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 60.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 49.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.30 pts and allowed 22.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 26.80 pts and allowed 33.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 53.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 54.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 49.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.50 pts and allowed 26.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 32.20 pts and allowed 22.30 pts in the last 10 home games
| Big 12 | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Tech
|
12 | 1 | 552 | 142 | 410 | 8-0 | 4-1 | 6W |
BYU
|
11 | 2 | 415 | 247 | 168 | 6-0 | 5-2 | 1L |
Utah
|
10 | 2 | 493 | 224 | 269 | 5-1 | 5-1 | 5W |
Arizona
|
9 | 3 | 391 | 227 | 164 | 6-1 | 3-2 | 5W |
Houston
|
9 | 3 | 340 | 262 | 78 | 3-3 | 6-0 | 1W |
Iowa State
|
8 | 4 | 329 | 242 | 87 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 3W |
TCU
|
8 | 4 | 369 | 302 | 67 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 2W |
Cincinnati
|
7 | 5 | 381 | 298 | 83 | 5-3 | 2-2 | 4L |
|
Kansas State
|
6 | 6 | 353 | 320 | 33 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 1W |
Baylor
|
5 | 7 | 373 | 391 | -18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
Kansas
|
5 | 7 | 337 | 321 | 16 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 3L |
|
UCF
|
5 | 7 | 292 | 283 | 9 | 5-2 | 0-5 | 1L |
West Virginia
|
4 | 8 | 261 | 370 | -109 | 3-3 | 1-5 | 2L |
Colorado
|
3 | 9 | 251 | 366 | -115 | 3-4 | 0-5 | 5L |
Oklahoma State
|
1 | 11 | 170 | 400 | -230 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 11L |
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