UCLA vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: UCLA vs Michigan State

UCLA clash with Michigan State in this NCAAF Week 7 matchup at Spartan Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday 11 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Back Michigan State For a Convincing Win

Michigan State should secure a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward. Back this selection off -8.5 to cover the line against UCLA at -115.

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Michigan State Were Defeated in Last Game

UCLA Bruins have suffered successive road defeats. Their most recent game was a 42-37 home win at Rose Bowl where they beat Penn State Nittany Lions.

Michigan State Spartans have won their last three home games. Most recently, they lost 38-27 on the road at Memorial Stadium against Nebraska Cornhuskers.

UCLA vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks

Our UCLA vs Michigan State betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Game Prediction

There’s a strong case for backing Michigan State on the spread in this college football matchup. The line looks really appealing considering you can get -115 when it comes to the favorites at -8.5.

Our expert CFB handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our analysis.

Key UCLA vs Michigan State stats:

• The -8.5 line has been covered by Michigan State in 2 of their last 3 games at home this season.

Michigan State -8.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team of cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This college wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

The sportsbooks give you the chance to buy or sell points, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.

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Best Bet

Michigan State -8.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nico Iamaleava Under 213.5 Passing Yards -114

Nico Iamaleava (UCLA) is priced at -114 to have less than 213.5 passing yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the QB Passing Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Nico Iamaleava Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 213.5

-114

Under 213.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

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Kwazi Gilmer Under 60.5 Receiving Yards -114

The odds for Kwazi Gilmer (UCLA) to have less than 60.5 receiving yards stand at -114. Several factors suggest he will fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line, making this an appealing wager.

Latest Kwazi Gilmer Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

UCLA 20 - 30 Michigan State

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a tasty potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Spartans to achieve a 30-20 victory at massive odds.

UCLA vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Michigan State Big Favorites According to Latest Odds

With the sportsbooks giving them a 77% probability of winning this college game, Michigan State might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -333 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that UCLA are least likely to win at +265.

The current spread is 8.5 and total points is 54.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you fancy Under 54.5, then the odds are -110.

College football fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the top betting sites and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

UCLA

+265

MSU

-333

Point Spread

UCLA +8.5

-110

MSU -8.5

-110

Total Points

Under 54.5

-110

Over 54.5

-110

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Kwazi Gilmer (UCLA)

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

Rico Flores Jr. (UCLA)

Over 39.5

-114

Under 39.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Makhi Frazier (MSU)

Over 65.5

-114

Under 65.5

-114

Nico Iamaleava (UCLA)

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Can Michigan State Keep Their Home Streak Alive?

Michigan State have strung together three consecutive wins at Spartan Stadium. They have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 home games, putting up 24.90 points per contest and giving up 24.30.

UCLA have been beaten in three straight games away from home. They have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, averaging 23.50 points on offense and surrendering 24.60 on defense.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O55.5	U55.5
Michigan State Home Stats		7-3	49.20	24.90	24.30	3	7
UCLA Away Stats		5-5	48.10	23.50	24.60	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O55.5 = Games Over 55.5 Points
• U55.5 = Games Under 55.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

UCLA Bruins Stats

Michigan State Spartans Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 55.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 55.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.80 pts and allowed 26.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.50 pts and allowed 24.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 56.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 49.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 55.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 55.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.50 pts and allowed 32.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.90 pts and allowed 24.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Indiana	5	0	239	48	191	4-0	1-0	5W
Oregon	5	0	233	61	172	3-0	2-0	5W
Ohio State	5	0	187	25	162	4-0	1-0	5W
Illinois	5	1	222	144	78	3-0	2-1	2W
Maryland	4	1	150	67	83	3-1	1-0	1L
Michigan	4	1	164	81	83	3-0	1-1	3W
Nebraska	4	1	212	81	131	3-1	1-0	1W
USC	4	1	242	115	127	3-0	1-1	1L
Washington	4	1	197	99	98	2-1	2-0	1W
Penn State	3	2	193	89	104	3-1	0-1	2L
Rutgers	3	2	195	127	68	3-1	0-1	2L
Iowa	3	2	147	78	69	2-1	1-1	1L
Northwestern	3	2	118	85	33	3-1	0-1	2W
Minnesota	3	2	137	107	30	3-0	0-2	1L
Michigan State	3	2	164	153	11	3-0	0-2	2L
Purdue	2	3	139	149	-10	2-2	0-1	3L
Wisconsin	2	3	93	99	-6	2-1	0-2	3L
UCLA	1	4	99	162	-63	1-2	0-2	1W