UCLA vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: UCLA vs Michigan State
UCLA clash with Michigan State in this NCAAF Week 7 matchup at Spartan Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, October 11. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
Michigan State should secure a comfortable win and a bet on the spread could be the best way forward. Back this selection off -8.5 to cover the line against UCLA at -115.
UCLA Bruins have suffered successive road defeats. Their most recent game was a 42-37 home win at Rose Bowl where they beat Penn State Nittany Lions.
Michigan State Spartans have won their last three home games. Most recently, they lost 38-27 on the road at Memorial Stadium against Nebraska Cornhuskers.
UCLA vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks
Our UCLA vs Michigan State betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.
Game Prediction
There’s a strong case for backing Michigan State on the spread in this college football matchup. The line looks really appealing considering you can get -115 when it comes to the favorites at -8.5.
Our expert CFB handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our analysis.
Key UCLA vs Michigan State stats:
Michigan State -8.5 Probability
The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team of cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This college wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
The sportsbooks give you the chance to buy or sell points, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.
Before you place your next wager, browse our guide for top betting offers including the latest free bets and welcome bonuses.
Player Prop Picks
Nico Iamaleava (UCLA) is priced at -114 to have less than 213.5 passing yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the QB Passing Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.
The odds for Kwazi Gilmer (UCLA) to have less than 60.5 receiving yards stand at -114. Several factors suggest he will fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line, making this an appealing wager.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Take a same game parlay that incorporates Michigan State to cover the -8.5 spread along with Under 55.5 points. We’ve also gone for Nico Iamaleava (UCLA) to have Under 213.5 passing yards.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same game, then a football same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
UCLA vs Michigan State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the sportsbooks giving them a 72% probability of winning this college game, Michigan State might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -263 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that UCLA are least likely to win at +215.
The current spread is 7.5 and total points is 52.5. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you fancy Under 52.5, then the odds are -115.
College football fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the top betting sites and find the best value picks.
Those interested in favorite Makhi Frazier to score the first touchdown are able to get +500. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is -161.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college football and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether a player will make or miss a field goal.
Can Michigan State Keep Their Home Streak Alive?
Michigan State have strung together three consecutive wins at Spartan Stadium. They have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 home games, putting up 24.90 points per contest and giving up 24.30.
UCLA have been beaten in three straight games away from home. They have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, averaging 23.50 points on offense and surrendering 24.60 on defense.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O55.5 | U55.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan State Home Stats |
7-3 | 49.20 | 24.90 | 24.30 | 3 | 7 | |
UCLA Away Stats |
5-5 | 48.10 | 23.50 | 24.60 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O55.5 = Games Over 55.5 Points
- U55.5 = Games Under 55.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
UCLA Bruins Stats
Michigan State Spartans Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 46.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 55.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
- Over 55.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.80 pts and allowed 26.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.50 pts and allowed 24.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 56.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 49.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 55.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 55.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.50 pts and allowed 32.00 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.90 pts and allowed 24.30 pts in the last 10 home games
| Big Ten | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Illinois
|
1 | 0 | 42 | 23 | 19 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1W |
Oregon
|
1 | 0 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1W |
Rutgers
|
0 | 1 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1L |
Washington
|
1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1W |
USC
|
2 | 0 | 81 | 26 | 55 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2W |
UCLA
|
1 | 0 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1W |
Purdue
|
1 | 0 | 44 | 19 | 25 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1W |
Penn State
|
1 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 45 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1W |
Ohio State
|
1 | 0 | 56 | 3 | 53 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1W |
Indiana
|
1 | 0 | 52 | 16 | 36 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1W |
Northwestern
|
1 | 0 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1W |
Nebraska
|
1 | 0 | 49 | 21 | 28 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1W |
Minnesota
|
1 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1W |
Michigan
|
1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1W |
Michigan State
|
1 | 0 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1W |
Maryland
|
1 | 0 | 62 | 0 | 62 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1W |
Iowa
|
1 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 40 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 1W |
Wisconsin
|
0 | 1 | 13 | 41 | -28 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
Rutgers
Boston College
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Michigan State Home Stats
UCLA Away Stats
Illinois
Oregon
Rutgers
Washington
USC
Purdue
Penn State
Ohio State
Indiana
Northwestern
Nebraska
Minnesota
Michigan
Maryland
Iowa
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