Bahia vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Oct 2026

Bahia vs São Paulo Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -116

Bet Now T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bahia and São Paulo might play out a low-scoring contest, with Under 2.5 looking like the best pick. We can head to the Total Goals market and secure odds of -116 for this selection.

Check out the complete Bahia vs São Paulo betting breakdown below, highlighting the logic behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Bahia vs São Paulo Preview

Bahia take on São Paulo, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Wednesday 28 October.

Bahia played Santos on the road in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw. Rogerio Ceni's men had 44% possession and two shots on target, with Luciano Juba getting the goal.

São Paulo drew 1-1 in their previous game. This took place on the road against Mirassol. Tricolor Paulista boasted 55% possession and recorded three shots on goal, while Pedro Lima found the net.

H2H: 2-2 Draw in Pair’s Previous Clash

We saw Bahia draw 2-2 away against São Paulo when the teams last went head-to-head. The previous 10 H2H matches have included six wins for São Paulo, two victories for Bahia along with two draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Bahia	32	13	11	8	45	40	5	45:40	50
9	São Paulo	32	12	7	13	37	36	1	37:36	43

View Full Table

Bahia have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts. The Squad of Steel have averaged 53.1% possession and 5.0 corners per match, conceding 1.5 goals and 6.4 corners from 5.9 shots on goal and 15.1 attempts.

Luciano Juba leads the way with 4 goals, with Erick Pulga and Alejo Veliz getting 3 apiece. Rodrigo Nestor is the leading assists maker on 2.

São Paulo have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, averaging 15.0 attempts, 4.2 shots on goal and 1.0 goals. Dorival Junior's side average 50.9% possession, 7.5 corners awarded and 5.0 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.5 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts.

Jonathan Calleri and Luciano Neves have scored 3, followed by Pedro Lima with 1. Damian Bobadilla, Pedro Lima and Iago have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Bahia predicted lineup (4-3-3): Ronaldo (GK), Marcos Victor, David Duarte, Marco Moreno, Luciano Juba, Erick Carvalho, Nicolás Acevedo, Rodrigo Nestor, Cristian Olivera, Alejo Veliz, Erick Pulga.

São Paulo predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Rafael (GK), Newton Araujo, Robert Arboleda, Luis Osorio, Pedro Lima, Djhordney Ferreira, Marcos Antônio, Wendell, Damián Bobadilla, Lucas Moura, Luciano.

Main Match Prediction

The price of -116 looks particularly appealing when it comes to wagering Under 2.5 for this Série A showdown. It’s expected that these teams could be set to play out a low-scoring clash.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Bahia games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 São Paulo games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 São Paulo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 São Paulo games on the road.

The latest Série A injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.

The top betting apps make it a 53.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

A larger price can be obtained by selecting a different bet where Under 2.5 Goals is combined with BTTS No. This wager requires at least one team to fail to score in order for the bet to land.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Under 2.5 Goals @ -116 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 27, 02:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bahia 1 - 1 São Paulo

One bet that has caught our eye is a 1-1 correct score draw. This selection is available at +475 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Erick Pulga to Score +290

Erick Pulga (Bahia) has racked up two goals in his past four Série A home games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +290.

Latest Erick Pulga Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

São Paulo Over 4.5 Corners -118

The past five São Paulo games have seen them awarded an average of 7.60 corners, while Bahia have conceded an average 7.00 corners in their last five matches. If you agree with our verdict that the São Paulo Team Corners line can be covered, then you can secure odds of -118 that this happens.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Bahia

Total

11.40 5.00 6.40

Home

11.80 6.40 5.40

Away

12.10 5.10 7.00

São Paulo

Total

12.50 7.50 5.00

Home

12.00 8.20 3.80

Away

12.20 5.80 6.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-143

Under 10.5

-100

Bahia Corners

Over 5.5

-154

Under 5.5

+104

São Paulo Corners

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-172

X

+700

2

+163

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bahia vs São Paulo Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this Série A clash, Bahia are the +104 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 49% chance of winning. São Paulo are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +245.

If you think Bahia can overcome São Paulo, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are -132 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.

You’re able to back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at roughly the same price right now. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -139.

The recommended football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Série A match and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

+104

X

+240

2

+245

Half-Time Result

1

+165

X

+116

2

+295

Double Chance

1X

-345

12

-345

X2

-135

Draw No Bet

1

-208

2

+143

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-132

2 Hcp +0.25

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-116

Over 2.5

-111

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-139

No

-100

Alejo Véliz is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +480. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +190.

Alejo Véliz (Bahia)

First

+480

Anytime

+190

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+500

Anytime

+190

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

First

+550

Anytime

+210

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

First

+650

Anytime

+240

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+700

Anytime

+250

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

First

+700

Anytime

+270

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+700

Anytime

+280

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

First

+700

Anytime

+290

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

First

+800

Anytime

+310

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+400

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+400

Luciano Juba (Bahia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+400

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+1100

Anytime

+430

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+1100

Anytime

+450

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+1200

Anytime

+450

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

First

+1200

Anytime

+480

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+480

Artur Victor Guimarães (São Paulo)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

First

+1300

Anytime

+525

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Newton Araujo da Costa Júnior (São Paulo)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Cauly Souza Oliveira (São Paulo)

First

+1800

Anytime

+700

Pedro Henrique Cardoso de Lima (São Paulo)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Marco Moreno (Bahia)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Alejo Véliz (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Artur Victor Guimarães (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Luciano Juba (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-

Newton Araujo da Costa Júnior (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Cauly Souza Oliveira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Henrique Cardoso de Lima (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-

Marco Moreno (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Alejo Véliz (Bahia)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-204

Under 2.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

-

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-233

Under 1.5

-

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Luciano Juba (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Artur Victor Guimarães (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Newton Araujo da Costa Júnior (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Cauly Souza Oliveira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Henrique Cardoso de Lima (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

It’s great to access Série A live streaming on your iPhone, iPad or Android device, with desktop also an option. Place a recent bet or have a funded sportsbook account.

It’s great to watch live sports and you’ll find a wide range of choice with the leading betting apps.

Bahia vs São Paulo Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Bahia vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

Bahia Team Page São Paulo Team Page

Where to Bet on Football Games

Top Football Pages