Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Oct 2026
Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Predictions
Our prediction is that New Mexico State will cover the line and prove to be competitive. It’s currently set at +3.5 against Jacksonville State and that makes plenty of appeal, with -122 available.
Get our preferred Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State betting predictions, highlighting our Best Bet, Player Props, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Pick. Browse the dedicated segments below for a complete breakdown of each play.
Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Preview
Jacksonville State square off against New Mexico State at Aggie Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:00 on Wednesday, October 28.
Jacksonville State have won their previous four games. The latest was a 27-24 home triumph at Burgess Snow Field at AmFirst Stadium against Florida International Panthers.
New Mexico State won last time out by a 30-24 scoreline. It was on the road against Sam Houston Bearkats at Bowers Stadium.
H2H: Teams’ Last H2H Saw 54-13 Jax State Win
Jax State won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 54-13 victory was registered against NM State at Burgess Snow Field at AmFirst Stadium.
Best Bet
There’s the chance to back New Mexico State to cover the +3.5 line in this college football matchup. Betting the underdogs on the spread seems the logical play and there is -122 now available.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making college football predictions. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our picks.
NM State +3.5 Probability
According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 54.9% likelihood of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our team of cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college bet.
There are lots of ways to back NM State and that includes the Winning Margin lines. Choose from a range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.
Looking for the best betting promos? Our expert guide includes a wide range of welcome bonuses just for you.
Player Prop Picks
You can back Caden Creel (Jax State) at -114 to finish with fewer than 227.5 passing yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the QB Passing Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.
Deondre Johnson (Jax State) is available at -114 to have less than 55.5 receiving yards. It’s reasonable to expect he may fall short, making the Player Receiving Yards line appealing.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Pick
Take a same game parlay that incorporates New Mexico State to cover the +3.5 spread along with Over 49.5 points. We’ve also gone for Caden Creel (Jax State) to go Under 227.5 passing yards.
Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual football game. It means that you can create a personalised wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of picks.
Correct Score Prediction
Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this college game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Jacksonville State are -156 favorites to win and that means a 61% chance of landing a victory. The market suggests that New Mexico State are least likely to win at +130.
The current spread is 3.5 and total points is 49.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you fancy Under 49.5, then the odds are -110.
There’s no shortage of betting opportunities when it comes to college football. The best betting apps offer a wide variety of team props and game lines for each game, so be sure to explore both the pre-game and in-game markets before making your pick.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
NM State Have Taken Five Wins From Last Ten Home Outings
NM State have gone 5-5 across their last 10 home games, putting up 27.70 points per contest and giving up 21.70.
Jax State are 4-6 in their last 10 road games, averaging 23.40 points scored and 29.00 points allowed.
The last time the teams met at Aggie Memorial Stadium, NM State defeated Jax State 20-17.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O49.5 | U49.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Mexico State Home Stats |
5-5 | 49.40 | 27.70 | 21.70 | 4 | 6 | |
Jacksonville State Away Stats |
4-6 | 52.40 | 23.40 | 29.00 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
- U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Jacksonville State Stats
New Mexico State Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games on the road
- +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 48.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 52.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 49.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.00 pts and allowed 22.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.40 pts and allowed 29.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 52.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 49.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 49.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.90 pts and allowed 28.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 27.70 pts and allowed 21.70 pts in the last 10 home games
| Conference USA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberty
|
6 | 1 | 221 | 98 | 123 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 6W |
Jacksonville State
|
5 | 2 | 191 | 159 | 32 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 4W |
Mid Tenn
|
4 | 3 | 163 | 193 | -30 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2W |
New Mexico State
|
3 | 4 | 172 | 178 | -6 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 1W |
Western Kentucky
|
3 | 4 | 149 | 214 | -65 | 2-0 | 1-4 | 2W |
Delaware
|
3 | 4 | 198 | 199 | -1 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 1W |
FIU
|
3 | 4 | 141 | 114 | 27 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2L |
Missouri State
|
2 | 5 | 171 | 244 | -73 | 2-1 | 0-4 | 1L |
Kennesaw State
|
1 | 6 | 140 | 175 | -35 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 6L |
Sam Houston
|
1 | 6 | 141 | 177 | -36 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 4L |
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New Mexico State Home Stats
Jacksonville State Away Stats
Liberty
Mid Tenn
Western Kentucky
Delaware
FIU
Missouri State
Kennesaw State
Sam Houston
Delaware
Western Kentucky
Sam Houston
Missouri State
Kennesaw State
Mid Tenn