Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Oct 2026
Manchester City vs Brighton Predictions
We have a strong reason to back Brighton on the Asian Handicap, with the outsiders being given a +0.75 start at odds of -109 against Man City. With the stake divided between +0.5 and +1.0, we’re confident of a payout.
Read our in-depth Man City vs Brighton betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Manchester City vs Brighton Preview
Premier League sides Manchester City and Brighton battle it out at Etihad Stadium, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Wednesday 28 October.
Manchester City were beaten in their last game. Away from home at Villa Park, Aston Villa claimed a 2-1 win in the Premier League. Enzo Maresca's side had most of the ball recording 63% possession and seven shots on target, while Erling Haaland registered the goal.
Brighton were beaten in their previous game and this was away from home at Anfield. Liverpool claimed a 2-0 Premier League win. The Seagulls dominated possession with 64% of the ball but recorded just one shot on goal.
In their most recent EFL Cup engagements, City claimed a 5-0 win when hosting Norwich City, while Brighton triumphed 3-2 away to Manchester United.
H2H: 1-1 Draw in Last Head-to-Head Battle
Brighton are unbeaten in the past four games against City, with the last clash seeing a 1-1 Premier League draw played out at Etihad Stadium. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved five City wins, two Brighton victories and three draws.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Man City |
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 20:9 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 7 | 16 | 23:7 | 16 |
City have 8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 2.6 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts. The Citizens have averaged 63.2% possession and 5.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.1 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 10.3 attempts and 4.0 corners.
Erling Haaland is the top scorer with 9 goals, while Rayan Cherki has 5 and Antoine Semenyo 3. Josko Gvardiol and Antoine Semenyo have the most assists with 3, while goalie Gianluigi Donnarumma has recorded 3 clean sheets.
Brighton have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.6 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 17.2 attempts. The Sussex outfit have averaged 58.4% possession, 4.5 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts.
Charalampos Kostoulas and Pascal Gross have scored 4 goals, followed by Jack Hinshelwood with 3. Pascal Gross is top assists provider with 4, while Bart Verbruggen has kept 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Main Match Prediction
We’re sweet on Brighton +0.75 when it comes to the Asian Handicap at odds of -109. We’re hopeful that the underdogs are able to win or draw in this EFL Cup encounter for a nice payout.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league and EFL Cup matches):
The football tipsters at Sportsgambler.com regularly look at the injury situatuation along with the EFL Cup form guide. We have a wide range of stats at our disposal which means we can illustrate the key data to readers.
If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 52.1% chance of delivering a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
Wanting bigger odds when it comes to your pick? With the line being moved, you can secure a larger price although the wager is a more risky one.
Ready to boost your bet? Explore a huge selection of welcome bonuses in our regularly updated betting offers guide.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Brighton
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +700 and it involves the game ending in a 1-1 scoreline. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.
Player Prop Picks
Rayan Cherki (City) has recorded a minimum of one shot on goal in four consecutive matches. We’re expecting him to produce a high level of performance and cover the Shots on Target line, with odds of -147 on offer.
Erling Haaland (City) has been on the scoresheet in his past seven games. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of -133.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average 8.20 corners in the past five City home games. We’re anticipating the sides to fall short of the line, with this Total Corners bet on offer at -135.
Man City
Brighton
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a bet builder including these picks: Brighton with an Asian Handicap of +0.75, both teams to score together with under 10.5 corners to be awarded.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Manchester City vs Brighton Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have Manchester City as -149 favourites for this EFL Cup encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 60% likely to triumph. Brighton are the outsiders at +330 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.
If you fancy City to be leading at the interval, then you can secure odds of +116. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Brighton at +325 on the Half-Time Result, with the draw trading at +155.
You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -192 on the Both Teams to Score market.
You’ll be blown away by the hundreds of markets available for EFL Cup games. Head to one of our recommended betting sites and take your pick from the various football options available.
Favourite Erling Haaland is +265 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
- Premier League: 07/01 2026 Man City 1 Brighton 1
- Premier League: 31/08 2025 Brighton 2 Man City 1
- Premier League: 15/03 2025 Man City 2 Brighton 2
- Premier League: 09/11 2024 Brighton 2 Man City 1
- Premier League: 25/04 2024 Brighton 0 Man City 4
- Premier League: 21/10 2023 Man City 2 Brighton 1
- Premier League: 24/05 2023 Brighton 1 Man City 1
- Premier League: 22/10 2022 Man City 3 Brighton 1
- Premier League: 20/04 2022 Man City 3 Brighton 0
- Premier League: 23/10 2021 Brighton 1 Man City 4
Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Manchester City Stats
Brighton Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 63.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 64.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches
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Manchester City vs Brighton Lineups & Team News
Previous Manchester City Lineups
Previous Brighton Lineups
Manchester City Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Enzo Maresca
Brighton Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Man United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Nott’m Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Man City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:1 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 6 | Everton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 7 | Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Leeds | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | Hull | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 13 | Fulham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Man United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 15 | Aston Villa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Coventry | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Nott’m Forest | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:3 | 1 |
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