Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Oct 2026
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Predictions
Aston Villa +0.25 at -120 on the Asian Handicap could be the bet to have. We’re expecting them to avoid defeat against Bournemouth, with our stake divided equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope the away team can land a win.
Explore our full Bournemouth vs Aston Villa betting preview, which features the complete write-up for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Preview
Premier League teams Bournemouth and Aston Villa square off at Vitality Stadium, with kick-off set for 15:45 on Wednesday 28 October.
Bournemouth got the win in their last game. It was a 3-0 Premier League away triumph at Old Trafford when meeting Manchester United. The Cherries had just 38% possession and recorded four shots on target, with Rayan, Marcus Tavernier and Evanilson scoring one goal apiece.
Aston Villa claimed a 2-1 Premier League home win over Manchester City at Villa Park in their previous game. Unai Emery's team recorded just 37% possession and had two shots on goal, while Nicolas Jackson netted twice.
In the last round of the EFL Cup, Bournemouth triumphed 4-0 when hosting Lincoln City, while Villa visited Coventry City and landed a 3-1 victory.
H2H: 1-1 Draw in Pair’s Previous Clash
Villa haven’t lost to Bournemouth in their past seven matches, with the last encounter seeing a 1-1 Premier League draw played out at Vitality Stadium. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with four Villa wins, three Bournemouth victories and three draws.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  Aston Villa |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 13 |  Bournemouth |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12:13 | 9 |
Bournemouth have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 16.7 attempts. Marco Rose's side have averaged 51.3% possession and 5.0 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.4 goals from 3.3 shots on goal, 9.8 attempts and 3.8 corners.
Marcus Tavernier leads the way with 6 goals, with Evanilson and Ryan Christie scoring 3 each. Evanilson has the most assists with 4, while goalies Djordje Petrovic and Michele Di Gregorio collectively have 3 clean sheets.
Villa have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.4 goals from 12.1 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. The Birmingham outfit average 47.4% possession, 3.9 corners in their favour and 4.8 corners against, while conceding 1.4 goals from 15.7 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.
Nicolas Jackson has scored 4, followed by Johan Manzambi, Tammy Abraham and Ollie Watkins with 2 goals apiece. John McGinn has been chief assist maker on 4, with Zion Suzuki recording 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Main Match Prediction
When Aston Villa kick off this EFL Cup match, we will wager them at -120 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. Avoiding defeat seems well within their capability and a win could be on the cards.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league and EFL Cup matches):
We only create the football betting tips after consulting the latest EFL Cup team news along with the form of both sides. There are also stats that can be mined to good effect to come up with predictions.
According to the latest odds, there’s a 54.6% likelihood of our pick winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you want to back Villa without taking them on the Asian Handicap, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.
Unlock top value before betting. Our guide lists the latest offers and welcome bonuses you won’t want to miss.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
2
Aston Villa
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Aston Villa winning 2-1. Odds of +850 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Johan Manzambi (Villa) is available at -111 to record at least one shot on goal. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.
Nicolas Jackson (Villa) has racked up four goals in his past five games. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +180 which will hopefully see him find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in five consecutive Bournemouth matches. There are odds of -114 when it comes to this Total Corners bet and we can see the teams fall short of the line here.
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder can be a fun wager and we’ve gone for Aston Villa on the Asian Handicap at +0.25, at least three goals in total as well as Johan Manzambi (Villa) to have a minimum of one shot on target.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Bournemouth are the shortest price to win this EFL Cup clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 45% probability due to their +123 betting odds. Aston Villa are the +195 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Bournemouth at -164 and Villa at +112.
Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -167.
The leading betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every EFL Cup match. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.
The First Goalscorer favourite is Nicolas Jackson at +450, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.
- Premier League: 07/02 2026 Bournemouth 1 Aston Villa 1
- Premier League: 09/11 2025 Aston Villa 4 Bournemouth 0
- Premier League: 10/05 2025 Bournemouth 0 Aston Villa 1
- Premier League: 26/10 2024 Aston Villa 1 Bournemouth 1
- Premier League: 21/04 2024 Aston Villa 3 Bournemouth 1
- Premier League: 03/12 2023 Bournemouth 2 Aston Villa 2
- Premier League: 18/03 2023 Aston Villa 3 Bournemouth 0
- Premier League: 06/08 2022 Bournemouth 2 Aston Villa 0
- Premier League: 01/02 2020 Bournemouth 2 Aston Villa 1
- Premier League: 17/08 2019 Aston Villa 1 Bournemouth 2
Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Bournemouth Stats
Aston Villa Stats
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 1 defeat and 6 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
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Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News
Previous Bournemouth Lineups
Previous Aston Villa Lineups
Bournemouth Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Marco Rose
Aston Villa Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Man United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Nott’m Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Man City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:1 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 6 | Everton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 7 | Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Leeds | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | Hull | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 13 | Fulham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Man United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 15 | Aston Villa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Coventry | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Nott’m Forest | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:3 | 1 |
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