Utah State vs New Mexico Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Utah State vs New Mexico

Utah State lock horns with New Mexico in this NCAAF Week 9 matchup at University Stadium, Albuquerque, with kickoff scheduled for 15:00 on Saturday 25 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

We’re Predicting New Mexico to Cover the Line

New Mexico at -2.5 could be the best bet to have on the spread. Odds of -122 are available and our prediction is a solid win when they play against Utah State.

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Utah State Have 5 Wins in Last 6 H2H Battles

Utah State Aggies have lost three straight road games. In their previous appearance, they recorded a 30-25 home win over San Jose State Spartans at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium.

New Mexico Lobos last game was a 24-22 victory over Nevada Wolf Pack at University Stadium, Albuquerque. That means it’s now been three home wins on the spin.

Head-to-Head Statistics

New Mexico won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 50-45 victory was registered against Utah State at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium. The past 6 H2H games have seen Utah State land five wins.

Utah State vs New Mexico Prediction & Picks

Get ahead of the game with our Utah State vs New Mexico betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, most likely correct score outcome and a fully loaded bet builder.

Game Prediction

Don’t miss the opportunity to side with New Mexico on the spread at -2.5. On the face of it, this seems a generous line and odds of -122 can be backed for this college football matchup.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making CFB predictions. Up-to-date team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Utah State vs New Mexico stats:

• The -2.5 line has been covered by New Mexico in 2 of their last 3 games at home this season.
• The -2.5 line has been covered by New Mexico in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Utah State in 5 consecutive games on the road.
• The +2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Utah State in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Utah State in 14 of their last 20 games on the road.

New Mexico -2.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 54.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you want to secure a bigger possible payout on your bet, there’s the option to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which line you think will be covered.

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Best Bet

New Mexico -2.5 @ -122 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Utah State 27 - 38 New Mexico

You don’t need a big stake to enjoy a massive return by getting this correct score right. We’re going for New Mexico to achieve a 38-27 win and hopefully this goes close.

Utah State vs New Mexico Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

New Mexico Could Have the Edge Say the Books

With a 60% chance of securing victory, New Mexico are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -147. Utah State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +126.

The spread is calculated to be 2.5, while total points comes in at 61.5. Football fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you’re going for Under 61.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

The best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Utah State

+126

UNM

-147

Point Spread

Utah State +2.5

-100

UNM -2.5

-122

Total Points

Under 61.5

-110

Over 61.5

-110

Player Props & Micro Betting

There is regularly value to be found from betting the quarterback and player props with the best online gambling sites. You can find lots of ways to back for or against a specific player lining up for one of the two teams.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college football and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether a player will make or miss a field goal.

Will New Mexico Extend Their Home Winning Streak?

New Mexico have stacked up four straight victories at University Stadium, Albuquerque. They have a 5-5 record in their last 10 home games, posting 33.60 points per contest while yielding 35.80.

Utah State have come up short in five consecutive away outings. They own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 games on the road, scoring 27.80 points per contest and conceding 45.50.

Utah State beat New Mexico 44-41 in their most recent meeting at University Stadium, Albuquerque. From 3 head-to-head games at University Stadium, Albuquerque, Utah State have been victorious in all.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O61.5	U61.5
New Mexico Home Stats		5-5	69.40	33.60	35.80	6	4
Utah State Away Stats		2-8	73.30	27.80	45.50	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O61.5 = Games Over 61.5 Points
• U61.5 = Games Under 61.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Utah State Aggies Stats

New Mexico Lobos Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 66.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 73.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 61.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 61.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 37.10 pts and allowed 29.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.80 pts and allowed 45.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 56.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 69.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 61.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 61.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.80 pts and allowed 27.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 33.60 pts and allowed 35.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mountain West	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UNLV	6	1	260	234	26	3-0	3-1	1L
San Diego State	5	1	184	73	111	3-0	2-1	4W
Hawaii	6	2	229	186	43	4-1	2-1	3W
Boise State	5	2	258	183	75	4-0	1-2	2W
Fresno State	5	2	205	166	39	3-0	2-2	1L
New Mexico	4	3	199	184	15	3-0	1-3	1W
Utah State	4	3	238	221	17	4-0	0-3	1W
Wyoming	3	4	140	158	-18	2-2	1-2	1L
Air Force	2	5	254	261	-7	2-2	0-3	1W
Colorado State	2	5	153	189	-36	2-3	0-2	1L
San Jose State	2	5	169	205	-36	2-1	0-4	2L
Nevada	1	6	109	196	-87	1-2	0-4	5L