Vanderbilt vs Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

By Peter Taylor, NCAAF Analyst | Published: 2 hours ago | 4 min read

Vanderbilt Commodores

American Football NCAAF Bryant-Denny Stadium Sat 4 Oct 15:30

Alabama Crimson Tide

Prediction
Bet Builder
Odds
Player Props
Stats
Standings

College Football Betting Preview: Vanderbilt vs Alabama

Vanderbilt battle Alabama in this NCAAF Week 6 matchup at Bryant-Denny Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 15:30 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Bet Against Points

The Unders looks the way to go when Alabama meet Vanderbilt. The line looks too high at 55.5 and odds of -110 could favor bettors who go below that total.

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Teams’ Last Matchup Saw 40-35 Vandy Win

Vanderbilt Commodores beat Utah State Aggies in their previous game, making it five straight victories. It was a 55-35 home win at FirstBank Stadium.

Alabama Crimson Tide won last time out by a 24-21 scoreline. On the road against Georgia Bulldogs at Sanford Stadium, they made it three wins on the spin.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Vanderbilt and Alabama saw the former win. It was a 40-35 scoreline at FirstBank Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Diego Pavia

Ty Simpson

Vanderbilt vs Alabama Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top Vanderbilt vs Alabama betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

When the teams line up in this college football matchup, we’re not sure that the total points will go over the line. Based on this pick, you can land odds of -110 for Under 55.5 and this looks worth taking.

We only publish our CFB predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every pick we make.

Key Vanderbilt vs Alabama stats:

The 55.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Vanderbilt games on the road.
The 55.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Vanderbilt games on the road.
The 55.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Alabama games.
The 55.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Alabama games.
The 55.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Alabama games.

Under 55.5 Probability

If you go by the best sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this college wager.

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Those looking for larger odds can include an Under pick with other selections when they place a Bet Builder. A bigger potential payout could be on the cards with this bet.

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Best Bet

Under 55.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Published 22:26, 02 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ty Simpson Under 299.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Ty Simpson (Alabama) at -114 to finish with fewer than 299.5 passing yards. If you agree with our verdict that the line is too high, this QB Passing Yards wager is worth backing.

Latest Ty Simpson Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Passing Yards

Rushing Yards

Ryan Williams Under 64.5 Receiving Yards -114

The odds for Ryan Williams (Vanderbilt) to finish with fewer than 64.5 receiving yards stand at -114. If you agree with our verdict that the line is too high, this Player Receiving Yards wager is worth backing.

Latest Ryan Williams Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Receiving Yards

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 55.5

Spread Alabama -10.5

Passing Yards Ty Simpson Under 299.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Under 55.5, along with Alabama -10.5 on the spread and Ty Simpson (Alabama) to have Under 299.5 passing yards.

A same game parlay is an awesome way of cheering on different outcomes within the same football game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single wager. The odds can combine to great effect.

Bet Boosts

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Correct Score Prediction

Vanderbilt Vanderbilt logo

17 - 35 Alabama logo

Alabama

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. the Crimson Tide to achieve a 35-17 victory is on offer at massive odds.

Vanderbilt vs Alabama Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Bama Big Favorites to Win

The latest Moneyline betting odds give Alabama a 80% chance of winning this college game which means they’re overwhelming -400 favorites with the sportsbooks. The market suggests that Vanderbilt are least likely to win at +315.

The current spread is 10.5 and total points is 55.5. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. Those that want to back Under 55.5 can find odds of -110 available.

You can find a nice selection of game lines and team props for every college football game, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total Points

Germie Bernard Favorite to Score First Touchdown

Germie Bernard is favorite to be First Touchdown Scorer at +600. If you want to back him to score the last TD, you can get similar odds.

Touchdown

Germie Bernard (Alabama)

Jam Miller (Alabama)

Ryan Williams (Alabama)

Kevin Riley (Alabama)

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Receiving Yards

Ryan Williams (Alabama)

Germie Bernard (Alabama)

Eli Stowers (Vanderbilt)

Isaiah Horton (Alabama)

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Rushing Yards

Diego Pavia (Vanderbilt)

Jam Miller (Alabama)

Sedrick Alexander (Vanderbilt)

Kevin Riley (Alabama)

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Passing Yards

Ty Simpson (Alabama)

Diego Pavia (Vanderbilt)

Best Betting Offers

Bryant-Denny Stadium

Can Alabama Make It Another Home Victory?

Alabama own a 10-0 mark in their past 10 home games, posting 42.50 points per contest while yielding 13.40.

Vanderbilt have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games away from home, averaging 22.50 points scored and 26.50 points allowed.

Alabama beat Vanderbilt 55-3 in their most recent meeting at Bryant-Denny Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O55.5	U55.5
Alabama Home Stats		10-0	55.90	42.50	13.40	5	5
Vanderbilt Away Stats		4-6	49.00	22.50	26.50	4	6

W-L = Wins-Losses
P = Avg. Points
PF = Avg. Points For
PA = Avg. Points Against
O55.5 = Games Over 55.5 Points
U55.5 = Games Under 55.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

All
Home
Away

Last 5 Games

Vanderbilt

NCAAF: 27/09 Utah State35 Vanderbilt 55
NCAAF: 21/09 Georgia State21 Vanderbilt 70
NCAAF: 14/09 Vanderbilt31 South Carolina 7
NCAAF: 07/09 Vanderbilt44 Virginia Tech 20
NCAAF: 31/08 Charleston Southern3 Vanderbilt 45

Alabama

NCAAF: 28/09 Alabama24 Georgia 21
NCAAF: 13/09 Wisconsin14 Alabama 38
NCAAF: 07/09 UL Monroe0 Alabama 73
NCAAF: 30/08 Alabama17 Florida State 31
NCAAF Bowls: 31/12 Alabama13 Michigan 19

Head to Head

Vanderbilt vs Alabama

NCAAF: 05/10 2024 Alabama 35 Vanderbilt 40
NCAAF: 25/09 2022 Vanderbilt 3 Alabama 55

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Vanderbilt Commodores Stats

Alabama Crimson Tide Stats

Moneyline

7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

+10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
+10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

-10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
-10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 55.20 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 55.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 55.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 34.40 pts and allowed 20.80 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.50 pts and allowed 26.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 46.70 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 55.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 55.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
Over 55.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.40 pts and allowed 14.30 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 42.50 pts and allowed 13.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season

Southeastern	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Missouri	5	0	226	73	153	5-0	0-0	5W
Oklahoma	4	0	125	36	89	3-0	1-0	4W
Ole Miss	5	0	203	94	109	4-0	1-0	5W
Texas A&M	4	0	143	96	47	3-0	1-0	4W
Vanderbilt	5	0	245	86	159	3-0	2-0	5W
LSU	4	1	135	61	74	3-0	1-1	1L
Mississippi State	4	1	193	88	105	3-1	1-0	1L
Tennessee	4	1	255	145	110	3-1	1-0	2W
Alabama	3	1	152	66	86	2-0	1-1	3W
Georgia	3	1	138	78	60	2-1	1-0	1L
Texas	3	1	127	31	96	3-0	0-1	3W
Auburn	3	2	138	82	56	2-0	1-2	2L
South Carolina	3	2	124	94	30	3-1	0-1	1W
Kentucky	2	2	108	104	4	2-1	0-1	1L
Arkansas	2	3	187	150	37	2-1	0-2	3L
Florida	1	3	88	64	24	1-1	0-2	3L