Western Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Aug 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Western Michigan vs Michigan State

Western Michigan square off against Michigan State in this NCAAF Week 1 matchup at Spartan Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Friday, August 29. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Our prediction is that Western Michigan might not be beaten heavily by Michigan State. The underdogs have been afforded a generous +21 and we recommend backing them at odds of -110.

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Western Michigan Broncos lost when they last took to the field. At Waldo Stadium, they were turned over 30-23 at home to South Alabama Jaguars.

Michigan State Spartans were beaten 41-14 at Spartan Stadium in their last game, being turned over at home to Rutgers Scarlet Knights.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 35-13 in favor of Michigan State when they last played Western Michigan, with the matchup taking place at Spartan Stadium.

Western Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks

This Western Michigan vs Michigan State betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight, expert player prop picks and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Western Michigan can avoid a big loss in this college football matchup, with bettors able to back them against the spread. The underdogs should be able to cover +21 which have been made available at -110.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our CFB handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the matchup might unfold.

Key Western Michigan vs Michigan State stats:

• The +21 line has been covered by Western Michigan in 11 consecutive games.
• The +21 line has been covered by Western Michigan in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The -21 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan State in 9 consecutive games.
• The -21 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan State in 19 of their last 20 games.

WMU +21 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.

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Our Game Prediction

Western Michigan +21 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aidan Chiles Under 228.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Aidan Chiles (Michigan State) to end with fewer than 228.5 passing yards are -114. The line looks too high and we’re confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards total.

Latest Aidan Chiles Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 233.5

-114

Under 233.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Western Michigan 20 - 38 Michigan State

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a tasty potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Spartans to achieve a 38-20 victory at massive odds.

Western Michigan vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Michigan State are massive -2500 favorites. They are regarded as 96% likely to win this college game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. The market suggests that Western Michigan are least likely to win at +1060.

The spread is 21.5 and the total points line is currently 49.5. A wager on the Totals allows football bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you want to back Over 49.5, it’s -110.

The top sportsbooks offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most college football games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

WMU

+1060

MSU

-2500

Point Spread

WMU +21.5

-110

MSU -21.5

-110

Total Points

Under 49.5

-110

Over 49.5

-110

Receiving Yards

Nick Marsh (MSU)

Over 63.5

-114

Under 63.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Aidan Chiles (MSU)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Michigan State Have Won Five of Their Last Ten Home Games

Michigan State have a 5-5 record in their last 10 home games, averaging 16.30 points scored and 28.10 points allowed.

Western Michigan have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 games away from home, averaging 21.60 points scored and 30.60 points allowed.

Michigan State defeated Western Michigan 35-13 in their last meeting at Spartan Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O49.5	U49.5
Michigan State Home Stats		5-5	44.40	16.30	28.10	3	7
Western Michigan Away Stats		3-7	52.20	21.60	30.60	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
• U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Western Michigan Broncos Stats

Michigan State Spartans Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +21 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +21 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -21 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -21 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 59.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 52.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 49.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 30.30 pts and allowed 29.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.60 pts and allowed 30.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 44.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 49.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 18.90 pts and allowed 27.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 16.30 pts and allowed 28.10 pts in the last 10 home games

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