Wisconsin vs Michigan Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Wisconsin vs Michigan
Wisconsin meet Michigan in this NCAAF Week 6 matchup at Michigan Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, October 4. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
If you agree with our prediction that Michigan can be superior to Wisconsin, you can get -106 for this selection against the spread. The big favorites should be capable of covering the -17.5 line.
Confident in our spread pick? Unlock the current BetMGM promo code and take a moment to read our in-depth site review before you commit to your play.
Wisconsin Badgers have lost in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at Camp Randall Stadium, they were turned over 27-10 by Maryland Terrapins.
Michigan Wolverines made it back-to-back wins in their last game. It was a 30-27 road triumph at Memorial Stadium when meeting Nebraska Cornhuskers.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Michigan beat Wisconsin when the teams last met. It was a 38-17 scoreline at Camp Randall Stadium. Wisconsin have won two of the past 3 games that these teams have played.
Wisconsin vs Michigan Prediction & Picks
Get the edge with our Wisconsin vs Michigan betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, key player prop picks and an expert-crafted bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’re sweet on Michigan who are -17.5 on the spread. The favorites should enjoy a big win in this college football showdown and cover the line at -106.
We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our college football handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.
Key Wisconsin vs Michigan stats:
Michigan -17.5 Probability
The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 51.5% prospect of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
There are lots of ways to back Michigan and that includes the Winning Margin lines. Choose from a range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.
Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.
Player Prop Picks
Jordan Marshall (Michigan) can be backed at +105 to hit the end zone. Based on all the evidence, we're happy to back him to punch it in on the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.
You can place a bet on Bryce Underwood (Michigan) at -114 to accumulate over 175.5 passing yards. We're confident in him covering the QB Passing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Michigan -17.5, Over 43.5 and Jordan Marshall (Michigan) scoring a touchdown.
A same game parlay is an awesome way of cheering on different outcomes within the same football game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single wager. The odds can combine to great effect.
Correct Score Prediction
Wisconsin vs Michigan Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
You might not get rich backing Michigan at -1000. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 91% chance of winning this college game. Wisconsin are the underdogs at +660 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
There is a spread of 17.5 and total points has a line of 42.5. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 42.5 at -110.
There’s no shortage of betting opportunities when it comes to college football. The best betting apps offer a wide variety of team props and game lines for each game, so be sure to explore both the pre-game and in-game markets before making your pick.
Justice Haynes is the First Touchdown Scorer favorite at +290. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to score a TD anytime at -185.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college football bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Scoring Play. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.
Can Michigan Keep Their Home Streak Alive?
Michigan have posted three consecutive wins at Michigan Stadium. They own a 8-2 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 31.20 points per contest and giving up 18.80.
Wisconsin have endured three straight defeats on the road. They have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games away from home, averaging 23.30 points scored and 26.20 points allowed.
When the teams last met at Michigan Stadium, Wisconsin beat Michigan 49-11.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O43.5 | U43.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan Home Stats |
8-2 | 50.00 | 31.20 | 18.80 | 7 | 3 | |
Wisconsin Away Stats |
4-6 | 49.50 | 23.30 | 26.20 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O43.5 = Games Over 43.5 Points
- U43.5 = Games Under 43.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Wisconsin Badgers Stats
Michigan Wolverines Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +17.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +17.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road
- -17.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
- -17.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 40.60 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 43.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 43.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.40 pts and allowed 23.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.30 pts and allowed 26.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 45.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 49.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 43.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 43.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.80 pts and allowed 17.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 30.10 pts and allowed 19.10 pts in the last 10 home games
| Big Ten | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Indiana
|
12 | 0 | 532 | 131 | 401 | 7-0 | 5-0 | 12W |
Ohio State
|
12 | 0 | 444 | 93 | 351 | 7-0 | 5-0 | 12W |
Oregon
|
11 | 1 | 458 | 178 | 280 | 6-1 | 5-0 | 6W |
Michigan
|
9 | 3 | 331 | 224 | 107 | 5-1 | 4-2 | 1L |
USC
|
9 | 3 | 438 | 269 | 169 | 7-0 | 2-3 | 1W |
Iowa
|
8 | 4 | 347 | 182 | 165 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 2W |
Illinois
|
8 | 4 | 352 | 279 | 73 | 6-1 | 2-3 | 1W |
Washington
|
8 | 4 | 405 | 233 | 172 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 1L |
Minnesota
|
7 | 5 | 279 | 281 | -2 | 7-0 | 0-5 | 1W |
Nebraska
|
7 | 5 | 351 | 276 | 75 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 2L |
Northwestern
|
6 | 6 | 270 | 251 | 19 | 5-2 | 1-4 | 1L |
Penn State
|
6 | 6 | 381 | 257 | 124 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 3W |
Rutgers
|
5 | 7 | 344 | 382 | -38 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 2L |
Wisconsin
|
4 | 8 | 154 | 259 | -105 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1L |
Maryland
|
4 | 8 | 282 | 318 | -36 | 3-4 | 1-4 | 8L |
Michigan State
|
4 | 8 | 295 | 359 | -64 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1W |
UCLA
|
3 | 9 | 218 | 401 | -183 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 5L |
Purdue
|
2 | 10 | 225 | 382 | -157 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 10L |
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