Steelers vs Browns Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Dec 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Steelers vs Browns

The Pittsburgh Steelers battle the Cleveland Browns at Huntington Bank Field, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, December 28.

The Browns and the Steelers should be able to accumulate enough points for our pick to win. We’re predicting Over 34.5 and odds of -104 are available for this outcome.

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Pittsburgh Steelers have triumphed in their previous three games. The latest was on the road where Detroit Lions were beaten 29-24 at Ford Field. The Steelers put up 481 total yards, made up of 251 through the air and 230 on the ground. The offense moved the chains 23 times and scored 3 touchdowns, one coming through the air and 2 on the ground.

Cleveland Browns were beaten 23-20 at Huntington Bank Field in their last game. This loss at home to Buffalo Bills was their fourth straight defeat. The Browns totaled 294 yards, split between 134 passing and 160 rushing yards. They produced 22 first downs and found the end zone twice, combining a passing score with one on the ground.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Steelers have claimed consecutive wins over the Browns. Both wins were achieved at Acrisure Stadium, with a 27-14 followed by a 23-9 scoreline. The Steelers have triumphed in six of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

Quarterbacks

Aaron Rodgers

187.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Shedeur Sanders

177.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Steelers vs Browns Prediction & Picks

Our Steelers vs Browns tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

Over 34.5 points seems like a realistic outcome for this NFL matchup. We’re taking odds of -104 considering that the total line looks to be too low here.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making NFL picks. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our predictions.

Key Steelers vs Browns stats:

• The 34.5 line has been covered in the last 15 Steelers games on the road.
• The 34.5 line has been covered in 18 of the last 20 Steelers games.
• The 34.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Browns games at home.
• The 34.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Browns games at home.
• The 34.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Browns games at home.

Over 34.5 Probability

The top betting sites imply that our pick has a 51% prospect of winning. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

There’s a chance to secure larger odds when you bet on the Totals. The sportsbooks allow you to move the line for an Over pick until you’re happy with the potential return.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 34.5 Points @ -104 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aaron Rodgers Over 187.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Aaron Rodgers (Steelers) to accumulate over 187.5 passing yards are -114. The line for him on the Overs looks attractive and bettors can get plenty of juice from this QB Passing Yards wager.

Latest Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 187.5

-114

Under 187.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Steelers 24 - 17 Browns

Let’s roll the dice and try the Steelers to enjoy a 24-17 winning scoreline here. There are massive odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of wager to enjoy.

Steelers vs Browns Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

The sportsbooks have Pittsburgh Steelers at -175 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the market leaders are 64% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Cleveland Browns are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +146.

There is a spread of 3 and total points has a line of 34.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. The Over 34.5 selection is available to back at -104.

There’s a wide variety of game lines and team props available and we recommend checking out the best NFL betting sites to find the markets that align with your take on the matchup.

Moneyline

Steelers

-175

Browns

+146

Point Spread

Steelers -3

-115

Browns +3

-105

Total Points

Under 34.5

-118

Over 34.5

-104

Passing Yards

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

Over 187.5

-114

Under 187.5

-114

Shedeur Sanders (Browns)

Over 177.5

-114

Under 177.5

-114

Browns Home Record Stands at Four Straight Losses

The Browns have suffered four defeats in a row at Huntington Bank Field. They have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 home games, scoring 16.70 points per contest and conceding 19.60.

The Steelers have gone 4-6 across their last 10 games games on the road, scoring 22.40 points per contest and conceding 27.00.

The Browns beat the Steelers 24-19 in their most recent meeting at Huntington Bank Field. In the last 6 head-to-head games at Huntington Bank Field, the Browns have won five, while the Steelers have one victory.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O34.5	U34.5
Browns Home Stats		3-7	36.30	16.70	19.60	5	5
Steelers Away Stats		4-6	49.40	22.40	27.00	10	0

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O34.5 = Games Over 34.5 Points
• U34.5 = Games Under 34.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Pittsburgh Steelers Stats

Cleveland Browns Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 34.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 34.5 on the Road: Covered in the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.60 pts and allowed 24.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.40 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 40.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 35.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 34.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 34.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.30 pts and allowed 23.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 16.00 pts and allowed 19.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 312.60 Yds. Allowed 367.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 110.50 Yds. Allowed 115.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 202.10 Yds. Allowed 251.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.50. Allowed 21.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 6.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 53.00 Yds. Gained 49.50 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 255.30 Yds. Allowed 265.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 97.40 Yds. Allowed 118.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 157.90 Yds. Allowed 147.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.90. Allowed 16.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.10. Committed by opponents 7.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.70 Yds. Gained 56.80 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 299.30 Yds. Allowed 393.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 98.90 Yds. Allowed 153.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 200.40 Yds. Allowed 240.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.40. Allowed 23.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.10. Committed by opponents 5.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.60 Yds. Gained 45.80 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 276.40 Yds. Allowed 241.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 110.70 Yds. Allowed 100.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 165.70 Yds. Allowed 141.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.20. Allowed 14.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.80. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 7.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 54.70 Yds. Gained 54.20 Yds

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