Steelers vs Browns Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Dec 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Steelers vs Browns

The Pittsburgh Steelers battle the Cleveland Browns at Huntington Bank Field, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, December 28.

The Browns and the Steelers should be able to accumulate enough points for our pick to win. We’re predicting Over 34.5 and odds of -104 are available for this outcome.

Pittsburgh Steelers have triumphed in their previous three games. The latest was on the road where Detroit Lions were beaten 29-24 at Ford Field. The Steelers put up 481 total yards, made up of 251 through the air and 230 on the ground. The offense moved the chains 23 times and scored 3 touchdowns, one coming through the air and 2 on the ground.

Cleveland Browns were beaten 23-20 at Huntington Bank Field in their last game. This loss at home to Buffalo Bills was their fourth straight defeat. The Browns totaled 294 yards, split between 134 passing and 160 rushing yards. They produced 22 first downs and found the end zone twice, combining a passing score with one on the ground.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Steelers have claimed consecutive wins over the Browns. Both wins were achieved at Acrisure Stadium, with a 27-14 followed by a 23-9 scoreline. The Steelers have triumphed in six of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

Quarterbacks

Aaron Rodgers

183.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Shedeur Sanders

177.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Steelers vs Browns Prediction & Picks

Our Steelers vs Browns tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

Over 34.5 points seems like a realistic outcome for this NFL matchup. We’re taking odds of -104 considering that the total line looks to be too low here.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making NFL picks. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our predictions.

Key Steelers vs Browns stats:

• The 34.5 line has been covered in the last 15 Steelers games on the road.
• The 34.5 line has been covered in 18 of the last 20 Steelers games.
• The 34.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Browns games at home.
• The 34.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Browns games at home.
• The 34.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Browns games at home.

Over 34.5 Probability

The top betting sites imply that our pick has a 51% prospect of winning. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

There’s a chance to secure larger odds when you bet on the Totals. The sportsbooks allow you to move the line for an Over pick until you’re happy with the potential return.

Start strong with your bet. Explore our curated list of betting offers, free bets, sign-up promos and welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Over 34.5 Points @ -104 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 26, 19:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aaron Rodgers Over 187.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Aaron Rodgers (Steelers) to accumulate over 187.5 passing yards are -114. The line for him on the Overs looks attractive and bettors can get plenty of juice from this QB Passing Yards wager.

Latest Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+3300

First

+10000

Passing Yards

Over 183.5

-112

Under 183.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Steelers 24 - 17 Browns

Let’s roll the dice and try the Steelers to enjoy a 24-17 winning scoreline here. There are massive odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of wager to enjoy.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Steelers vs Browns Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have Pittsburgh Steelers at -130 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the market leaders are 56% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Cleveland Browns are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +110.

There is a spread of 2.5 and total points has a line of 40.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. The Over 40.5 selection is available to back at -110.

There’s a wide variety of game lines and team props available and we recommend checking out the best NFL betting sites to find the markets that align with your take on the matchup.

Moneyline

Steelers

-130

Browns

+110

Point Spread

Steelers -2.5

-110

Browns +2.5

-110

Total Points

Under 40.5

-110

Over 40.5

-110

The First TD Scorer favorite is Kenneth Gainwell at +650. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last touchdown.

Touchdown

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+175

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+170

Dylan Sampson (Browns)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+250

Raheim Sanders (Browns)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+290

Harold Fannin Jr. (Browns)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+350

Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Steelers)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+420

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+440

Jerry Jeudy (Browns)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+430

Darnell Washington (Steelers)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+490

Adam Thielen (Steelers)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+470

Jonnu Smith (Steelers)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+500

Isaiah Bond (Browns)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+850

Shedeur Sanders (Browns)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+850

Cedric Tillman (Browns)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+950

Roman Wilson (Steelers)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+900

Scott Miller (Steelers)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+1000

Malachi Corley (Browns)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+950

Connor Heyward (Steelers)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+1000

Kaleb Johnson (Steelers)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+1000

Trayveon Williams (Browns)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1200

Brenden Bates (Browns)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1700

Blake Whiteheart (Browns)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1700

Gage Larvadain (Browns)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Jamari Thrash (Browns)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Ben Skowronek (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Sal Cannella (Browns)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Receiving Yards

Harold Fannin Jr. (Browns)

Over 50.5

-112

Under 50.5

-112

Jerry Jeudy (Browns)

Over 29.5

-112

Under 29.5

-112

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

Over 28.5

-112

Under 28.5

-112

Darnell Washington (Steelers)

Over 25.5

-112

Under 25.5

-112

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-112

Adam Thielen (Steelers)

Over 19.5

-112

Under 19.5

-112

Dylan Sampson (Browns)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-112

Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Steelers)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-112

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-112

Cedric Tillman (Browns)

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-112

Isaiah Bond (Browns)

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 55.5

-112

Under 55.5

-112

Dylan Sampson (Browns)

Over 41.5

-112

Under 41.5

-112

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

Over 35.5

-112

Under 35.5

-112

Raheim Sanders (Browns)

Over 21.5

-112

Under 21.5

-112

Shedeur Sanders (Browns)

Over 13.5

-112

Under 13.5

-112

Passing Yards

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

Over 183.5

-112

Under 183.5

-112

Shedeur Sanders (Browns)

Over 177.5

-112

Under 177.5

-112

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to NFL micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Browns Home Record Stands at Four Straight Losses

The Browns have suffered four defeats in a row at Huntington Bank Field. They have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 home games, scoring 16.70 points per contest and conceding 19.60.

The Steelers have gone 4-6 across their last 10 games games on the road, scoring 22.40 points per contest and conceding 27.00.

The Browns beat the Steelers 24-19 in their most recent meeting at Huntington Bank Field. In the last 6 head-to-head games at Huntington Bank Field, the Browns have won five, while the Steelers have one victory.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O38.5	U38.5
Browns Home Stats		4-6	35.00	17.00	18.00	4	6
Steelers Away Stats		4-6	44.50	20.30	24.20	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O38.5 = Games Over 38.5 Points
• U38.5 = Games Under 38.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Pittsburgh Steelers Stats

Cleveland Browns Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 39.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 38.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 38.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 18.20 pts and allowed 21.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.30 pts and allowed 24.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 38.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 36.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 38.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 38.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.10 pts and allowed 21.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 18.40 pts and allowed 18.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 306.70 Yds. Allowed 338.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 103.80 Yds. Allowed 126.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 202.90 Yds. Allowed 212.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.30. Allowed 18.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.30. Committed by opponents 6.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.50 Yds. Gained 48.90 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 268.10 Yds. Allowed 311.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 93.20 Yds. Allowed 126.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 174.90 Yds. Allowed 184.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 14.70. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 0.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 51.10 Yds. Gained 48.90 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 304.10 Yds. Allowed 370.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 103.80 Yds. Allowed 140.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 200.30 Yds. Allowed 230.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.60. Allowed 21.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.00. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.00 Yds. Gained 47.00 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 274.30 Yds. Allowed 247.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 106.40 Yds. Allowed 102.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 167.90 Yds. Allowed 144.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.60. Allowed 15.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 7.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 54.70 Yds. Gained 51.50 Yds

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