Commanders vs Eagles Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Jan 2026

NFL Betting Preview: Commanders vs Eagles

The Washington Commanders face the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, January 4.

The Eagles are available at odds of -120 when it comes to backing them against the spread. The -3.5 line could be covered with ease against the Commanders and this looks like a value bet.

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Washington Commanders have lost in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at Northwest Stadium, they were turned over 30-23 by Dallas Cowboys. The Commanders finished with 328 total yards, breaking down to 190 passing and 138 rushing yards. The offense managed 17 first downs and found the end zone on two occasions.

Philadelphia Eagles won last time out by a 13-12 scoreline. On the road against Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium, they made it three wins on the spin. The Eagles totaled 190 yards, split between 108 passing and 82 rushing yards. They scored once through the air and picked up 11 first downs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Eagles have beaten the Commanders in the last two meetings. They won 55-23 at Lincoln Financial Field and triumphed 29-18 at Northwest Stadium. The Eagles have triumphed in eight of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

Quarterbacks

Josh Johnson

173.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Tanner McKee

226.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Commanders vs Eagles Prediction & Picks

Take in the full Commanders vs Eagles betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

The Eagles at -3.5 could be the best bet to have on the spread. Odds of -120 are available and our pick would mean a solid win for the favorites in this NFL matchup.

The NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest stats to support every prediction.

Key Commanders vs Eagles stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Eagles in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Eagles in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Commanders in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Commanders in 5 of their last 8 games on the road this season.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Commanders in 2 consecutive games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Eagles in 2 consecutive games against Commanders.

Eagles -3.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 54.6% likelihood of this pick winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

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Our Game Prediction

Eagles -3.5 @ -120 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Josh Johnson Under 173.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Josh Johnson (Commanders) to finish with fewer than 173.5 passing yards are -114. He could struggle to reach the QB Passing Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.

Latest Josh Johnson Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 173.5

-114

Under 173.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Commanders 13 - 23 Eagles

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a huge potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Eagles to achieve a 23-13 victory at monster odds.

Commanders vs Eagles Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Philadelphia Eagles are regarded as having a 67% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -200. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Washington Commanders are trading at +168.

The current spread is 3.5 and total points is 39.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those that want to back Under 39.5 can find odds of -115 available.

The top NFL sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to this popular league. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Commanders

+168

Eagles

-200

Point Spread

Commanders +3.5

-102

Eagles -3.5

-120

Total Points

Under 39.5

-115

Over 39.5

-105

Passing Yards

Tanner McKee (Eagles)

Over 226.5

-114

Under 226.5

-114

Josh Johnson (Commanders)

Over 173.5

-114

Under 173.5

-114

Eagles Hold Three Straight Wins Over Commanders at Lincoln Financial Field

The Eagles have gone 8-2 across their last 10 home games, putting up 27.90 points per contest and giving up 17.50.

The Commanders have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 road games, scoring 21.10 points per matchup and conceding 29.70.

The last Lincoln Financial Field meeting saw the Eagles beat the Commanders 55-23. Across 7 head-to-head meetings at Lincoln Financial Field, the Eagles have come away with five wins, while the Commanders have two.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O39.5	U39.5
Eagles Home Stats		8-2	45.40	27.90	17.50	5	5
Commanders Away Stats		3-7	50.80	21.10	29.70	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O39.5 = Games Over 39.5 Points
• U39.5 = Games Under 39.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Commanders Stats

Philadelphia Eagles Stats

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 50.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 39.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 39.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.40 pts and allowed 30.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.10 pts and allowed 29.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 37.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 48.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 39.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 39.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.00 pts and allowed 15.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 29.70 pts and allowed 18.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 307.10 Yds. Allowed 408.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 124.10 Yds. Allowed 159.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 183.00 Yds. Allowed 248.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 3.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.00. Allowed 24.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 0.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.10. Committed by opponents 6.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.30 Yds. Gained 52.70 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 333.70 Yds. Allowed 301.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 133.60 Yds. Allowed 116.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 200.10 Yds. Allowed 184.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.10. Allowed 17.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.70. Committed by opponents 5.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.80 Yds. Gained 43.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 327.00 Yds. Allowed 400.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 126.20 Yds. Allowed 162.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 200.80 Yds. Allowed 237.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 3.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.80. Allowed 23.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 6.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 48.50 Yds. Gained 56.60 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 344.90 Yds. Allowed 311.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 163.20 Yds. Allowed 113.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 181.70 Yds. Allowed 197.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.70 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.00. Allowed 17.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.40. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 5.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 50.50 Yds. Gained 53.20 Yds

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