Commanders vs Eagles Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Jan 2026

NFL Betting Preview: Commanders vs Eagles

The Washington Commanders face the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, January 4.

The Eagles are available at odds of -120 when it comes to backing them against the spread. The -3.5 line could be covered with ease against the Commanders and this looks like a value bet.

Washington Commanders have lost in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at Northwest Stadium, they were turned over 30-23 by Dallas Cowboys. The Commanders finished with 328 total yards, breaking down to 190 passing and 138 rushing yards. The offense managed 17 first downs and found the end zone on two occasions.

Philadelphia Eagles won last time out by a 13-12 scoreline. On the road against Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium, they made it three wins on the spin. The Eagles totaled 190 yards, split between 108 passing and 82 rushing yards. They scored once through the air and picked up 11 first downs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Eagles have beaten the Commanders in the last two meetings. They won 55-23 at Lincoln Financial Field and triumphed 29-18 at Northwest Stadium. The Eagles have triumphed in eight of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

Quarterbacks

Josh Johnson

178.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Tanner McKee

219.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Commanders vs Eagles Prediction & Picks

Take in the full Commanders vs Eagles betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

The Eagles at -3.5 could be the best bet to have on the spread. Odds of -120 are available and our pick would mean a solid win for the favorites in this NFL matchup.

The NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest stats to support every prediction.

Key Commanders vs Eagles stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Eagles in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Eagles in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Commanders in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Commanders in 5 of their last 8 games on the road this season.
• The +3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Commanders in 2 consecutive games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Eagles in 2 consecutive games against Commanders.

Eagles -3.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 54.6% likelihood of this pick winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

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Our Game Prediction

Eagles -3.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 2, 22:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Josh Johnson Under 173.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Josh Johnson (Commanders) to finish with fewer than 173.5 passing yards are -114. He could struggle to reach the QB Passing Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.

Latest Josh Johnson Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 178.5

-112

Under 178.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Commanders 13 - 23 Eagles

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a huge potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Eagles to achieve a 23-13 victory at monster odds.

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Commanders vs Eagles Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Philadelphia Eagles are regarded as having a 64% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -175. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Washington Commanders are trading at +146.

The current spread is 3.5 and total points is 38.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those that want to back Under 38.5 can find odds of -108 available.

The top NFL sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to this popular league. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Commanders

+146

Eagles

-175

Point Spread

Commanders +3.5

-115

Eagles -3.5

-105

Total Points

Under 38.5

-108

Over 38.5

-112

Passing Yards

Tanner McKee (Eagles)

Over 219.5

-112

Under 219.5

-112

Josh Johnson (Commanders)

Over 178.5

-112

Under 178.5

-112

Eagles Hold Three Straight Wins Over Commanders at Lincoln Financial Field

The Eagles have gone 8-2 across their last 10 home games, putting up 27.90 points per contest and giving up 17.50.

The Commanders have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 road games, scoring 21.10 points per matchup and conceding 29.70.

The last Lincoln Financial Field meeting saw the Eagles beat the Commanders 55-23. Across 7 head-to-head meetings at Lincoln Financial Field, the Eagles have come away with five wins, while the Commanders have two.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O44.5	U44.5
Eagles Home Stats		6-4	45.50	26.50	19.00	3	7
Commanders Away Stats		3-7	47.30	19.00	28.30	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O44.5 = Games Over 44.5 Points
• U44.5 = Games Under 44.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Commanders Stats

Philadelphia Eagles Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 47.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 44.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.60 pts and allowed 28.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.00 pts and allowed 28.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 35.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 43.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 44.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.00 pts and allowed 16.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 25.00 pts and allowed 18.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 300.40 Yds. Allowed 397.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 124.80 Yds. Allowed 152.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 175.60 Yds. Allowed 245.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 3.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.70. Allowed 23.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.40. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 48.40 Yds. Gained 57.10 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 316.30 Yds. Allowed 301.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 123.50 Yds. Allowed 122.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 192.80 Yds. Allowed 178.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.20. Allowed 18.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.00. Committed by opponents 4.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 63.50 Yds. Gained 38.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 306.30 Yds. Allowed 379.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 122.30 Yds. Allowed 150.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 184.00 Yds. Allowed 228.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 3.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.60. Allowed 22.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.90. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.90 Yds. Gained 65.90 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 325.40 Yds. Allowed 299.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 133.80 Yds. Allowed 114.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 191.60 Yds. Allowed 184.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.00 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.30. Allowed 18.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.50. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.10. Committed by opponents 5.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 63.20 Yds. Gained 48.90 Yds

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