AEK vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Nov 2026
AEK vs Real Madrid Predictions
There’s a strong case for AEK +1.75 at odds of -106 against Real Madrid. We think that the home team can keep the scoreline respectable and our Asian Handicap stake is split between +1.5 and +2.0 which allows for a generous return.
This AEK vs Real Madrid betting analysis delivers a full overview of our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
AEK vs Real Madrid Preview
Greek Super League outfit AEK host Spanish La Liga team Real Madrid at Allwyn Arena, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Wednesday 4 November.
AEK Athens were defeated in their last game. Away from home in the Super League, they suffered a 2-0 loss against Panathinaikos at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium. The Double-Headed Eagle boasted 60% possession and had two shots on target.
Real Madrid won their previous game by a 3-0 La Liga scoreline. It was on the road against Racing Club Santander at Estadio El Sardinero. Jose Mourinho's men had seven shots on goal and recorded 54% possession, while Kylian Mbappe, Jude Bellingham and Yan Diomande found the net.
In their last Champions League matches, AEK lost 5-1 away to Manchester City, while Real hosted RB Leipzig and landed a 4-1 victory.
| Champions League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Madrid |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 29 | AEK |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3:8 | 3 |
AEK Athens have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 16.1 attempts. Marko Nikolic's side have averaged 55.2% possession and 5.0 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.3 goals from 3.2 shots on goal, 10.9 attempts and 4.2 corners.
Top goalscorer Barnabas Varga has found the net 4 times, with Harold Moukoudi, Aboubakary Koita, Zini and Luka Jovic scoring 2 each. Leading assistor is Lovro Majer with 3, while goalkeeper Alberto Brignoli has one clean sheet.
Real have 9 victories and 1 defeat, averaging 15.6 attempts, 6.8 shots on goal and 2.8 goals. Los Merengues average 49.0% possession, 493.1 passes, 5.9 corners awarded and 4.2 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 5.4 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts.
Kylian Mbappe has landed 11 goals, Yan Diomande 4, with Jude Bellingham and two others scoring 2. Arda Guler has had 5 assists in the previous 10 games, while Thibaut Courtois has 2 clean sheets to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
AEK predicted lineup (4-1-3-2): Alberto Brignoli (GK), Lazaros Rota, Harold Moukoudi, Filipe Relvas, Stavros Pilios, Kervin Arriaga, Lovro Majer, Razvan Marin, Joao Mario, Barnabas Varga, Luka Jovic.
Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Denzel Dumfries, Antonio Ruediger, Dean Huijsen, Alvaro Carreras, Bernardo Silva, Eduardo Camavinga, Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham, Brahim Diaz, Kylian Mbappe.
Main Match Prediction
We’re sweet on AEK +1.75 when it comes to this Champions League game. The hosts should perform well and the odds of -106 are attractive for a team who can prove competitive.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (domestic league and Champions League matches):
It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming Champions League action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.
The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 51.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
There’s the opportunity to sell goals and that means moving the line until you’re happy with the bet. It means a riskier wager but a bigger potential return from the available odds.
Make smarter wagers by browsing today’s best betting offers, complete with promos, free bets, and welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
We’ve picked out a correct score of 1-0 being landed by Real Madrid. You can secure odds of +1000 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.
Player Prop Picks
Arda Guler (Real Madrid) has bagged a minimum of one shot on goal in four straight matches. Out of the prop bets currently on offer, we’re opting for the -152 when it comes to this Shots on Target wager.
Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid) can be wagered to find the net at +350. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In the past 5 Real Madrid away games, there’s been 4 occasions where they’ve not covered the 6.5 corners line, with AEK conceding under 6.5 corners in ten consecutive home matches. The number of Real corners could be lower than the line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -114.
AEK
Real Madrid
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi is compiled of the following: AEK with the +1.75 Asian Handicap, No on the BTTS market combined with Arda Guler (Real Madrid) to finish with a minimum of one shot on target.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. Should a bettor get all selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
AEK vs Real Madrid Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Bettors might not get rich backing Real Madrid at -400 to triumph in this Champions League clash although these odds suggest a 80% probability that the favourites end up triumphing. AEK are the +950 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Real at -164 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for AEK at +600. The draw is the third option at +210.
Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -159.
The top football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Champions League games, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.
Kylian Mbappé is available at -312 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +195 to find the net first.
Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
AEK Stats
Real Madrid Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 0.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 2.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 55.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
AEK vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News
AEK Predicted Lineup 4-1-3-2
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
AEK Predicted Lineup 4-1-3-2
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous AEK Lineups
Previous Real Madrid Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
AEK Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Marko Nikolic
Real Madrid Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Man City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Brugge | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Sh. Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Inter Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 20 | Man United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 | LASK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 29 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Prague | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 6 |
| 2 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Como | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 7 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 4 |
| 8 | Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 9 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Man United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 11 | Roma | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 |
| 12 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 13 | Man City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 3 |
| 14 | Club Brugge | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 15 | Sh. Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 16 | Villarreal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 17 | Atlético Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 18 | Sporting | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 19 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 20 | Sabah FK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 22 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 23 | AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 24 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 25 | Inter Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 26 | Napoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 27 | Fenerbahce | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 28 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 29 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 30 | Slavia Prague | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 31 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | Lille | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 0 |
| 33 | LASK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | 0 |
| 34 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 35 | Porto | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Olympiacos | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 22 |
| 3 | PAOK | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 4 | AEK | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:5 | 17 |
| 5 | Aris | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:17 | 16 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 7 | Kifisia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 9 | Iraklis | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 11 | Levadiakos | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Asteras Tripolis | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:17 | 6 |
| 13 | Atromitos | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Volos | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:16 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | AEK | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:0 | 12 |
| 3 | PAOK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 4 | OFI Crete | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Aris | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Olympiacos | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 7 | Kalamata | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 8 | Panetolikos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 9 | Kifisia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 10 | Asteras Tripolis | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 11 | Atromitos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 12 | Iraklis | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Volos | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Deportivo | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 | Alavés | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Málaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8:21 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 24:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17:3 | 15 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Getafe | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 6 | Athletic Club | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Racing Club | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 8 | Alavés | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Deportivo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 15 | Levante | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 16 | Villarreal | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 17 | Espanyol | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 18 | Málaga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Valencia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | 2 |
| 20 | Elche | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 1 |
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