São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Nov 2024
Back São Paulo to Beat Galo
It could be beneficial to back São Paulo when they clash with Atlético Mineiro. There’s loads of value in the -125 that the home team get the job done and we’re therefore going to play the Full-Time Result market.
Teams Played Out Goalless Draw Last Time
São Paulo drew on the road in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Red Bull Bragantino. Luis Zubeldia's men had most of the ball recording 55% possession and two shots on target, while Lucas Moura registered the goal.
Atlético Mineiro played out a 0-0 draw against Botafogo in their previous game, with this being at home. Galo didn’t have a lot of the ball with 30% possession and no shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last clash between Atlético and São Paulo ended all square. This head-to-head was a 0-0 draw. Looking back to the previous 10 H2H meetings, there has been four draws. Atlético have won five games and São Paulo one.
Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | ![]() |
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 18:19 | 22 |
13 | ![]() |
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16:16 | 20 |
5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. São Paulo have had 59.5% possession and 4.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.9 corners.
Lucas Moura leads the way with 5 goals, while Luciano Neves and Andre have 3 and 2 respectively. Leading assistor is Wellington Rato with 3.
Atlético Mineiro – Last 10 League GamesAtlético have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, averaging 3.5 shots on goal, 8.8 attempts and 1.0 goals. Gabriel Milito's team average 51.8% possession, 3.4 corners taken and 5.7 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 10.5 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.
Hulk has top scored with 3, while Eduardo Vargas, Fausto Vera and Deyverson are next on 2. Brahian Palacios has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Rafael (GK), Igor Vinicius, Ruan Tressoldi, Alan Franco, Rafinha, Luiz Gustavo, Alisson, Lucas Moura, Luciano Neves, Ferreira, Andre.
Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Everson (GK), Renzo Saravia, Lyanco, Rodrigo Andres Battaglia, Junior Alonso, Alan Franco, Fausto Vera, Bernard, Igor Gomes, Hulk, Paulinho.
São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips
São Paulo are priced at -125 to secure a victory and we think these odds look too big. We’re expecting the hosts to land a Série A win and a nice potential return could be on the cards.
We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.
Key São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:
São Paulo to Win Probability
According to the odds, there’s a 55.6% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
A Bet Builder provides you with the opportunity to combine São Paulo to win with other picks. For every additional selection that you make, the odds are increased until you’re happy with the bet.

Correct Score Prediction
We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-0 being landed by São Paulo. You can secure odds of +575 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.
São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Odds
With the bookies giving them a 50% probability of winning, São Paulo might become a popular accumulator pick at their current betting odds. That is reflected in their -100 price of winning this Serie A clash. Atlético Mineiro are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and they can be backed at +333.3.
If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option.
Head over to the Bet Builder and you’ll find all the popular football betting site markets available. Série A selections can then be combined together in a same-game accumulator which you can cheer on.







- Copa do Brasil: 13/09 2024 Atlético MG 0 São Paulo 0
- Copa do Brasil: 29/08 2024 São Paulo 0 Atlético MG 1
- Série A: 12/07 2024 Atlético MG 2 São Paulo 1
- Série A: 03/12 2023 Atlético MG 2 São Paulo 1
- Série A: 06/08 2023 São Paulo 0 Atlético MG 2
- Série A: 02/11 2022 São Paulo 2 Atlético MG 2
- Série A: 10/07 2022 Atlético MG 0 São Paulo 0
- Série A: 26/09 2021 São Paulo 0 Atlético MG 0
- Série A: 13/06 2021 Atlético MG 1 São Paulo 0
- Série A: 17/12 2020 São Paulo 3 Atlético MG 0


- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 5.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 59.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 51.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for São Paulo this season are Lucas Moura (10), Luciano Neves (10), Andre (6)
- Top Assistors for São Paulo this season are Lucas Moura (5), Wellington Rato (5), Jonathan Calleri (4)
São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News
If you’re looking for São Paulo vs Atlético team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.
The Série A squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Atlético Mineiro Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
São Paulo Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Atlético Mineiro Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
São Paulo Substitutes
- 4Santiago Longo
- 5Robert Arboleda
- 11Rodrigo Nestor
- 15Michel Araujo
- 20Marcos Antonio
- 21Damian Bobadilla
- 27Wellington Rato
- 32Nahuel Ferraresi
- 33Erick
- 36Patryck
- 39William Gomes
- 93Jandrei
Atlético Mineiro Substitutes
- 3Bruno Fuchs
- 4Mauricio Lemos
- 5Otavio
- 9Deyverson
- 11Eduardo Vargas
- 14Alan Kardec
- 15Federico Zaracho
- 25Mariano
- 27Paulo Monteiro
- 30Brahian Palacios
- 31Matheus Mendes
- 45Alisson Santana
Previous São Paulo Lineups
Previous Atlético Mineiro Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Flamengo | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 28 |
5 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 27 |
6 | Botafogo | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 26 |
7 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 24:14 | 25 |
8 | São Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | 22 |
9 | Ceará | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 21 |
10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | 21 |
11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | 21 |
12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | 20 |
13 | Atlético MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 20 |
14 | Grêmio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | 20 |
15 | Vitória | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | 17 |
16 | Vasco da Gama | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:20 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9:25 | 5 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Flamengo | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21:1 | 23 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:6 | 22 |
3 | Bahia | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13:5 | 20 |
4 | Botafogo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:5 | 15 |
5 | Mirassol | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 15 |
6 | São Paulo | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 15 |
7 | Grêmio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 15 |
8 | Corinthians | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
9 | Internacional | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 14 |
10 | Palmeiras | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 14 |
11 | Bragantino | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 14 |
12 | Ceará | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | 13 |
13 | Fluminense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 13 |
14 | Atlético MG | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 12 |
15 | Vitória | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 12 |
16 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:10 | 11 |
17 | Vasco da Gama | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
18 | Juventude | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
19 | Santos | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 8 |
20 | Sport Recife | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | 3 |

















