Toluca vs América Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 May 2025

We’re Siding With Toluca

We're counting down to the second leg of the Liga MX Clausura Final when Toluca meet América at Estadio Nemesio Díez. The first leg ended in a goalless draw.

We’re happy to side with Toluca 0.0 on the Asian Handicap when they take on América. At odds of -163, we get a return if the hosts win and there’s the insurance of money back if the game is drawn.

No Goals When Teams Last Met

Deportivo Toluca and América played out a 0-0 draw at Estadio Azteca in the first leg. América dominated possession with 58% of the ball, while Toluca won the shots on target 3-1.

In the past 10 H2H meetings, there has been four draws. América have won four games and Toluca two.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Toluca	3	2	0	1	10	7	3	10:7	6
6	América	3	1	2	0	5	3	2	5:3	5

View Full Table

Deportivo Toluca have 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts. Antonio Mohamed's team have averaged 49.2% possession and 3.8 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.2 goals from 3.2 shots on goal, 8.6 attempts and 4.7 corners.

Top scorer Paulinho has found the net 6 times, Alexis Vega 4, with Jesus Gallardo and Jesus Angulo both scoring 2. The top assist makers are Alexis Vega, Marcel Ruiz and Jesus Gallardo, all of whom have 4 on the board.

Club América have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 4.1 shots on goal, 8.8 attempts and 1.2 goals. Las Águilas average 54.5% possession, 4.5 corners taken and 4.0 corners against them, while 0.4 goals have been conceded from 6.5 attempts and 2.4 shots on goal.

Victor Davila has top scored with 3, while Alex Zendejas, Alvaro Fidalgo and Brian Rodriguez are next on 2. Kevin Alvarez and Alex Zendejas are the top assist makers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Toluca confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Luis Garcia (GK), Bruno Mendez, Luan Garcia, Federico Pereira, Diego Barbosa, Jesus Gallardo, Franco Romero, Jesus Angulo, Marcel Ruiz, Paulinho, Alexis Vega.

América confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Luis Malagon (GK), Israel Reyes, Ramon Juarez, Sebastian Caceres, Kevin Alvarez, Cristian Borja, Erick Sanchez, Jonathan dos Santos, Alvaro Fidalgo, Alex Zendejas, Henry Martin.

Toluca vs América Prediction & Betting Tips

Toluca at 0.0 look like an attractive bet on the Asian Handicap for this Liga MX final. Backing the hosts at -163 means a nice return if they win and we think that there’s a strong chance of this happening.

Sportsgambler.com boast football expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our predictions and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.

Key Toluca vs América league stats:

• The -0.25 line has been covered by Toluca in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line has been covered by Toluca in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.25 line has been covered by Toluca in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.25 line hasn’t been covered by América in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Toluca 0.0 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 61.9% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of Toluca.

Our Match Prediction

Toluca Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -163 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 1 - 0 América

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Toluca to win by a 1-0 scoreline. At odds of +750, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jesus Angulo to Score +410

Jesus Angulo (Toluca) has racked up two goals in his past five Liga MX home games. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +410 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Jesus Angulo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+480

First

+950

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Corners Prediction

América Under 4.5 Corners -138

América have had under 4.5 corners in five consecutive games, while Toluca have had an average of 3.80 corners against them in their last 5 matches. The América Team Corners line looks too big and we’re happy to go under this number at odds of -138.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

8.50 3.80 4.70

Home

8.70 4.20 4.50

Away

9.50 5.20 4.30

América

Total

8.50 4.50 4.00

Home

9.00 4.60 4.40

Away

9.10 4.80 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-120

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

América Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Most Corners

1

+105

X

+540

2

-105

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Toluca vs América Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tight Affair in the Eyes of the Bookies

Club América are chalked up at betting odds of +180 to defeat Deportivo Toluca, with their opponents operating at +175 with the bookmakers. If you want to back the draw, it’s available at +190 for this Liga MX clash.

There’s excitement when having a Half-Time Result wager and the chance to back the draw at +110. Toluca and América are both available at +225 for this market.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -143 on the Both Teams to Score market.

Hundreds of markets for every Liga MX match await you, with the best football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+175

X

+190

2

+180

Half-Time Result

1

+225

X

+110

2

+225

Double Chance

1X

-250

12

-250

X2

-250

Draw No Bet

1

-120

2

-120

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp 0.0

-114

2 Hcp 0.0

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-133

Over 2.5

+105

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

+105

João Paulo "Paulinho" Fernandes Heads First Goalscorer Market

Those interested in favourite João Paulo "Paulinho" Fernandes to find the net first are able to get +410. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +180.

João Paulo "Paulinho" Fernandes (Toluca)

First

+180

Anytime

+410

Henry Martín (América)

First

+190

Anytime

+410

Rodrigo Aguirre (América)

First

+255

Anytime

+540

Paul Brian Rodríguez (América)

First

+295

Anytime

+575

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+335

Anytime

+700

Víctor Dávila (América)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Javairô Dilrosun (América)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

+440

Anytime

+900

Diego Valdés (América)

First

+440

Anytime

+900

Jesus Angulo (Toluca)

First

+480

Anytime

+950

Edgar López (Toluca)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Álex Zendejas (América)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Hélio Júnio "Helinho" Nunes de Castro (Toluca)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Antonio Álvarez (América)

First

+540

Anytime

+1050

Erick Sanchez (América)

First

+540

Anytime

+1050

Aarón Arredondo (América)

First

+550

Anytime

+1050

Álvaro Fidalgo (América)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Dagoberto Espinoza (América)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Juan Pablo Domínguez (Toluca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Miguel Ramírez (América)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Jonathan dos Santos (América)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Cristian Calderón (América)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Israel Reyes (América)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Kevin (1999) Alvarez (América)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Toluca vs América Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Toluca vs América team news.

The Liga MX squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Toluca Team Page América Team Page