Toluca vs América Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Nov 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Toluca vs América

Toluca go head-to-head with América at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Saturday 8 November. Our betting preview features expert Liga MX predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Toluca can’t be ignored when they meet América, especially as betting odds of +105 are available for this prediction. Head to the Full-Time Result market to back this value selection.

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Deportivo Toluca drew on the road in their last game. A 0-0 scoreline was played out against Atlas at Estadio Jalisco. Los Diablos Rojos had 50% possession and seven shots on target.

Club América claimed a home win in their previous game. A 2-0 victory occurred against Club León at Estadio de la Ciudad de los Deportes. Andre Jardine's team recorded eight shots on goal and had 46% possession, while Allan Saint-Maximin and Rodrigo Aguirre found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca have landed victories in their last two encounters against América. A 3-1 win on their travels at Dignity Health Sports Park came after a 2-0 home success at Estadio Nemesio Diez. América have landed four victories, Toluca have three wins and there’s been three draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Toluca	17	11	4	2	43	18	25	43:18	37
4	América	17	10	4	3	33	18	15	33:18	34

View Full Table

Deportivo Toluca have 7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.8 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. Antonio Mohamed's men have averaged 53.6% possession and 5.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.9 goals from 3.0 shots on goal, 8.4 attempts and 4.0 corners.

Paulinho is the top goalscorer with 9, Alexis Vega has 4, with Jesus Gallardo and two other players on 3. Leading assistor is Alexis Vega with 6.

Club América have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.0 goals from 12.6 attempts and 6.2 shots on goal. Las Águilas average 54.9% possession, 8.2 corners in their favour and 2.4 corners against, while conceding 1.0 goals from 4.6 attempts and 2.6 shots on goal.

The leading scorers have been Brian Rodriguez and Alex Zendejas with 4, while Rodrigo Aguirre has 3. Look no further than Alex Zendejas for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Toluca confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Everardo Del Villar, Diego Barbosa, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruiz, Jesus Gallardo, Helinho, Paulinho, Nicolas Castro.

América confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis Malagon (GK), Kevin Alvarez, Sebastian Caceres, Ramon Juarez, Cristian Borja, Erick Sanchez, Israel Reyes, Alexis Gutierrez, Alvaro Fidalgo, Allan Saint-Maximin, Brian Rodriguez.

Toluca vs América Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Toluca vs América betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, corners betting edge, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

We believe there’s a strong case for siding with Toluca. That’s because we think they could prove too strong in this Liga MX encounter and odds of +105 are highly attractive.

Our job is to consult the latest Liga MX team news in order to produce the best football predictions. Then we crack on with the job of analysing the stats that are going to be the most effective.

Key Toluca vs América league stats:

• Toluca have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Toluca have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• Toluca have won the last 2 games between these teams.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 48.8% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you think the odds for Toluca to triumph are a touch too skinny, then why not boost your price by combining this pick with both teams to find the net on the Result & BTTS market.

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Our Match Prediction

Toluca To Win @ +105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 2 - 1 América

We’re taking a chance on Toluca to achieve a 2-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +700 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rodrigo Aguirre Over 0.5 Shots On Target -152

Rodrigo Aguirre (América) can be wagered to have a minimum of one shot on goal at -152. He looks like an attractive wager on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop bet selection.

Latest Rodrigo Aguirre Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-111

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Jesús Gallardo to Score +550

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca) has racked up two goals in his past four Liga MX home matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +550 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Jesús Gallardo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+575

First

+1700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-417

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -115

All of the past four Toluca home matches have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line not covered, with the same thing happening in the previous three  América away games. We’re expecting the teams to fall short of the line, with this Total Corners wager available at -115.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

9.40 5.40 4.00

Home

7.90 5.00 2.90

Away

9.90 4.90 5.00

América

Total

10.60 8.20 2.40

Home

10.30 7.50 2.80

Away

8.20 4.70 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-115

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

América Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-133

X

+600

2

+140

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Toluca vs América Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookmakers have Deportivo Toluca as +116 favourites for this Liga MX encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that they are 46% likely to triumph. The market implies that Club América are the most unlikely to win at +185.

If Toluca and América play out a draw, then an Asian Handicap -0.25 on the former means a half stake refund. However, a victory for the favourites would mean a full payout at -109.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -192 for the BTTS Yes option.

The best football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Liga MX games. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+116

X

+285

2

+185

Half-Time Result

1

+163

X

+143

2

+220

Double Chance

1X

-286

12

-476

X2

-172

Draw No Bet

1

-164

2

+110

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-109

2 Hcp +0.25

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+130

Over 2.5

-179

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-192

No

+135

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" is the market leader at +370 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

+120

Anytime

+370

Rodrigo Aguirre (América)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Patricio Salas (América)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

Paul Brian Rodríguez (América)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+370

Anytime

+1050

Álex Zendejas (América)

First

+370

Anytime

+1100

Javairô Dilrosun (América)

First

+400

Anytime

+1150

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Allan Saint-Maximin (América)

First

+460

Anytime

+1300

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

First

+510

Anytime

+1400

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

First

+540

Anytime

+1600

Erick Sanchez (América)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1700

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1700

Aarón Arredondo (América)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Jonathan dos Santos (América)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Rodrigo Aguirre (América)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-111

Patricio Salas (América)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-156

Paul Brian Rodríguez (América)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-182

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 1.5

+106

Under 1.5

-189

Robert Morales (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-208

Álex Zendejas (América)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-213

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-222

Javairô Dilrosun (América)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-270

Allan Saint-Maximin (América)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-303

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-417

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-417

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-435

Santiago Simón (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-417

Erick Sanchez (América)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-370

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-435

Aarón Arredondo (América)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-556

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-625

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-625

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-909

Jonathan dos Santos (América)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-714

Toluca have not tasted defeat at Estadio Nemesio Diez in six straight matches. Los Diablos Rojos have recorded seven victories, two draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 3.00 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

América have collected four draws, three wins and three defeats in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Toluca won 2-0 when they last played América at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The previous 10 H2H games at Estadio Nemesio Diez have ended in six Toluca victories, two draws and two América wins.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toluca Home Stats		7-2-1	4.20	3.00	1.20	8	2	7	3
América Away Stats		3-4-3	2.90	1.50	1.40	5	5	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Toluca vs América Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Toluca vs América team news before betting. Get the predicted and confirmed Liga MX lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Toluca Team Page América Team Page

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