Arkansas vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Arkansas vs Mississippi State

The Arkansas Razorbacks battle the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with tip-off scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, February 7.

Our prediction is that Mississippi State can outperform their odds against Arkansas. It leads us to a wager on the spread lines considering that +6.5 has been chalked up at -120.

Like our spread prediction? Get the latest BetMGM promo code and see how the site stacks up in our expert review before deciding where to put your money.

Arkansas Razorbacks lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 85-77 at home to Kentucky Wildcats.

Mississippi State Bulldogs lost on the road in their last game. Missouri Tigers won 84-79.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arkansas won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 93-92 victory was registered against Mississippi State. Mississippi State have triumphed in seven of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arkansas	16-6	1952	1707	245	13-3	3-3	1L
Mississippi State	11-11	1712	1720	-8	8-6	3-5	1L

View Full Standings

Arkansas vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Arkansas vs Mississippi State betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s a great opportunity to back Mississippi State against the spread considering they should perform well in this college showdown. Snap up the -120 when it comes to them covering the +6.5.

The basketball picks at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant stats to confidently recommend every college hoops pick.

Key Arkansas vs Mississippi State stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by MS State in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by MS State in 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by MS State in 2 consecutive games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Arkansas in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Arkansas in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Arkansas in 3 consecutive games.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by MS State in 3 consecutive games against Arkansas.

MS State +6.5 Probability

If you go by the best sportsbooks, our pick has a 54.6% chance of landing a return. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Bigger prices can be secured for bettors who are prepared to move the line. The odds increase according to how much risk you are prepared to have with your wager.

Get more from your bets with our detailed guide, featuring the best free bets and generous welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Mississippi State +6.5 @ -120 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (16:56, 06 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Arkansas 80 - 76 MS State

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll bet on the Hogs to secure a 80-76 win at huge odds and this correct score selection should hopefully be a fun one.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Arkansas vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Arkansas have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 74% probability due to their -278 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +225 about Mississippi State.

The spread currently stands at 6.5 and the total points line is 162.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. Those who wager Under 162.5 can get -105.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The best betting apps have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Arkansas

-278

MS State

+225

Point Spread

Arkansas -6.5

-102

MS State +6.5

-120

Total Points

Under 162.5

-105

Over 162.5

-115

Should you be more interested in a specific individual who is competing, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out player lines that focus on performance rather than the game result.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arkansas Stats

Mississippi State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 168.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 161.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 161.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 87.80 pts and allowed 80.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 81.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 155.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 149.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 161.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.70 pts and allowed 79.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.40 pts and allowed 73.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Vanderbilt	19-3	1953	1603	350	12-1	7-2	3W
Texas A&M	17-5	2024	1710	314	12-1	5-4	1L
Florida	16-6	1898	1570	328	13-2	3-4	2W
Tennessee	16-6	1809	1531	278	13-3	3-3	4W
Arkansas	16-6	1952	1707	245	13-3	3-3	1L
Georgia	16-6	2031	1708	323	12-4	4-2	3L
Kentucky	16-7	1884	1641	243	13-4	3-3	2W
Alabama	15-7	2016	1826	190	11-5	4-2	1W
Missouri	15-7	1769	1629	140	13-1	2-6	1W
Auburn	14-8	1856	1708	148	11-3	3-5	1L
LSU	14-8	1822	1636	186	10-4	4-4	1W
Texas	14-9	1966	1723	243	11-4	3-5	2W
Ole Miss	11-11	1631	1580	51	9-3	2-8	4L
Mississippi State	11-11	1712	1720	-8	8-6	3-5	1L
South Carolina	11-12	1777	1731	46	10-5	1-7	4L
Oklahoma	11-12	1900	1774	126	9-4	2-8	9L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

Top Basketball Pages