Arkansas vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Arkansas vs Mississippi State

The Arkansas Razorbacks battle the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with tip-off scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, February 7.

Our prediction is that Mississippi State can outperform their odds against Arkansas. It leads us to a wager on the spread lines considering that +6.5 has been chalked up at -120.

Arkansas Razorbacks lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 85-77 at home to Kentucky Wildcats.

Mississippi State Bulldogs lost on the road in their last game. Missouri Tigers won 84-79.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arkansas won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 93-92 victory was registered against Mississippi State. Mississippi State have triumphed in seven of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arkansas	26-8	3058	2723	335	20-3	6-5	5W
Mississippi State	13-19	2484	2618	-134	9-10	4-9	6L

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Arkansas vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Arkansas vs Mississippi State betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s a great opportunity to back Mississippi State against the spread considering they should perform well in this college showdown. Snap up the -120 when it comes to them covering the +6.5.

The basketball picks at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant stats to confidently recommend every college hoops pick.

Key Arkansas vs Mississippi State stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by MS State in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by MS State in 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by MS State in 2 consecutive games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Arkansas in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Arkansas in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Arkansas in 3 consecutive games.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by MS State in 3 consecutive games against Arkansas.

MS State +6.5 Probability

If you go by the best sportsbooks, our pick has a 54.6% chance of landing a return. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Bigger prices can be secured for bettors who are prepared to move the line. The odds increase according to how much risk you are prepared to have with your wager.

Get more from your bets with our detailed guide, featuring the best free bets and generous welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Mississippi State +6.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 6, 16:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Arkansas 80 - 76 MS State

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll bet on the Hogs to secure a 80-76 win at huge odds and this correct score selection should hopefully be a fun one.

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Arkansas vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Arkansas have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 74% probability due to their -278 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +220 about Mississippi State.

The spread currently stands at 5.5 and the total points line is 164.5. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. Those who wager Under 164.5 can get -110.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The best betting apps have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Arkansas

-278

MS State

+220

Point Spread

Arkansas -5.5

-115

MS State +5.5

-105

Total Points

Under 164.5

-110

Over 164.5

-110

Should you be more interested in a specific individual who is competing, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out player lines that focus on performance rather than the game result.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arkansas Stats

Mississippi State Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 168.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 161.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 161.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 87.80 pts and allowed 80.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 81.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 155.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 149.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 161.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.70 pts and allowed 79.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 75.40 pts and allowed 73.70 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	26-7	2864	2376	488	18-3	8-4	1L
Arkansas	26-8	3058	2723	335	20-3	6-5	5W
Vanderbilt	26-8	2936	2557	379	15-3	11-5	1L
Alabama	23-9	2935	2671	264	15-6	8-3	1L
Georgia	22-10	2874	2533	341	15-6	7-4	1L
Tennessee	22-11	2622	2289	333	16-5	6-6	1L
Texas A&M	21-11	2807	2546	261	14-5	7-6	1L
Missouri	20-12	2549	2411	138	15-4	5-8	3L
Kentucky	21-13	2746	2510	236	16-6	5-7	1L
Texas	18-14	2681	2458	223	13-7	5-7	3L
Oklahoma	19-15	2813	2621	192	13-5	6-10	1L
Auburn	17-16	2730	2620	110	14-6	3-10	1L
LSU	15-17	2606	2512	94	10-9	5-8	4L
Ole Miss	15-20	2656	2664	-8	9-9	6-11	1L
Mississippi State	13-19	2484	2618	-134	9-10	4-9	6L
South Carolina	13-19	2398	2447	-49	11-8	2-11	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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