Tunisia vs Japan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Jun 2026
Tunisia vs Japan Predictions
Japan can be taken at -1 on the Asian Handicap. There are odds of -128, with money back if they beat Tunisia by a single goal and a full return if there’s a winning margin of two or more goals.
Continue below for our full Tunisia vs Japan betting breakdown, where you can read the complete analysis of our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.
Tunisia vs Japan Preview
Tunisia and Japan meet in this FIFA World Cup Group F game at Monterrey Stadium (Estadio BBVA), with kick-off set for 01:00 on Sunday 21 June.
Monterrey Stadium is an open-air venue where mostly cloudy conditions, with a chance of light rain, and a temperature of 24°C (75°F) are expected at kick-off.
Tunisia suffered a heavy defeat in their opening tournament fixture, losing 5-1 to Sweden at Monterrey Stadium. Herve Renard's side enjoyed 60% possession but managed just two shots on target, with Omar Rekik scoring their only goal.
Japan opened their World Cup campaign with a 2-2 draw against the Netherlands at Dallas Stadium. The Samurai Blue recorded 40% possession and three shots on target, with Keito Nakamura and Daichi Kamada both finding the net.
H2H: Japan Dominant in Previous Meetings
The teams have met five times previously, with Japan winning four matches and Tunisia one. Their most recent meeting came in a friendly in 2023, when Japan recorded a 2-0 victory at Noevir Stadium in Kobe.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Japan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 4 | Tunisia |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 2:12 | 0 |
Confirmed Lineups
Tunisia confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Aymen Dahmen (GK), Dylan Bronn, Montassar Talbi, Omar Rekik, Yan Valery, Anis Ben Slimane, Ellyes Skhiri, Ali Abdi, Elias Saad, Hannibal Mejbri, Sebastian Tounekti.
Japan confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Zion Suzuki (GK), Takehiro Tomiyasu, Ko Itakura, Hiroki Ito, Ritsu Doan, Kaishu Sano, Ao Tanaka, Keito Nakamura, Junya Ito, Daichi Kamada, Ayase Ueda.
Main Match Prediction
Backing Japan -1 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward, especially as there is lots of juice in the betting odds of -128. We’re expecting this Group F game to go in their favour.
We are betting against Tunisia once again. We are not impressed by their squad or starting XI and Japan's attacking talent should prove too much for them. Daizen Maeda, Ayase Ueda and Daichi Kamada give the Samurai Blue plenty of firepower against a Tunisia side that conceded five goals to Sweden in their opening match.
That defensive display was particularly concerning given that Sweden scored only four goals across six World Cup qualifying matches, which further strengthens the case for backing Japan on the Asian Handicap here.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the World Cup team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.
The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 56.2% prospect of winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this bet.
Those wanting an alternative to Asian Handicap can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on Japan and their performance.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’re betting on Japan to secure a 3-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +800 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.
Player Prop Picks
Mohamed Elias Achouri (Tunisia) can be wagered at +138 to have a minimum of one shot on goal. He looks like a value bet on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop pick.
Ayase Ueda (Japan) can be backed to score at +143. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
There’s everything to like about this same-game multi including Japan with the -1 Asian Handicap, three or more goals along with Mohamed Elias Achouri (Tunisia) to have one or more shots on target.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Tunisia vs Japan Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the bookmakers affording them a 69% chance of winning, Japan might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are -222 when it comes to this World Cup encounter. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Tunisia are trading at +700.
If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Japan are -104 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Tunisia are +575 and the draw is priced at +135.
The Over 2.5 / Under 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. If you’re expecting at least one team to keep a clean sheet, you might be interested in the -147 about Both Teams to Score No.
The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any World Cup match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Ayase Ueda is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +310. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at -100.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Tunisia Stats
Japan Stats
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
Tunisia vs Japan Lineups & Team News
Before making your bets, take a look at the Tunisia vs Japan team news. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed World Cup lineups plus current injury reports.
Tunisia Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Japan Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Tunisia Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Japan Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Tunisia Substitutes
- 1Abdelmouhib Chamakh
- 5Adem Arous
- 7Elias Achouri
- 9Hazem Mastouri
- 11Ismael Gharbi
- 12Mortadha Ben Ouanes
- 13Rani Khedira
- 14Khalil Ayari
- 15Hadj Mahmoud
- 18Rayan Elloumi
- 19Firas Chaouat
- 21Amine Ben Hamida
- 22Sabri Ben Hessen
- 23Moutaz Neffati
- 24Raed Chikhaoui
Japan Substitutes
- 2Yukinari Sugawara
- 3Shogo Taniguchi
- 5Yuto Nagatomo
- 9Keisuke Goto
- 11Daizen Maeda
- 12Keisuke Osako
- 16Tsuyoshi Watanabe
- 17Yuito Suzuki
- 19Koki Ogawa
- 20Ayumu Seko
- 23Tomoki Hayakawa
- 25Junnosuke Suzuki
- 26Kento Shiogai
Previous Tunisia Lineups
Previous Japan Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Tunisia Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Herve Renard
Japan Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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