Arkansas State vs SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Arkansas State vs SMU

The Arkansas State Red Wolves face the SMU Mustangs, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Friday, November 21.

We’re going for a modest total when Arkansas State and SMU take to the court. Under 172.5 points could be on the money and our prediction is currently available at -106.

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Arkansas State Red Wolves were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 85-72 reverse against Saint Mary's Gaels.

SMU Mustangs won their last game, beating Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at home. It was a 106-60 win.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
SMU	5-0	460	370	90	5-0	0-0	5W
Arkansas State	3-2	407	412	-5	1-0	2-2	1L

View Full Standings

Arkansas State vs SMU Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Arkansas State vs SMU betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -106 that there are Under 172.5 points in this college matchup.

The basketball picks at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant stats to confidently recommend every college hoops pick.

Key Arkansas State vs SMU stats:

• The 172.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 AR State games.
• The 172.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 AR State games.
• The 172.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 AR State games on the road.
• The 172.5 line hasn’t been covered in 19 of the last 20 SMU games.
• The 172.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 SMU games.
• The 172.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 SMU games.

Under 172.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.5% likelihood of this pick delivering a return. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

Betting Under can be done at various odds thanks to the sportsbooks allowing bettors to move the line. Choose the selection which can yield a profitable return.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 172.5 Points @ -106 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Arkansas State 74 - 94 SMU

There’s a huge payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with the Mustangs to claim a 94-74 win which will hopefully go close.

Arkansas State vs SMU Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

You might not get rich backing SMU at -2500. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 96% chance of winning this college game. Arkansas State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +1160.

16.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 172.5 right now. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 172.5 at -106.

The top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most college games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

AR State

+1160

SMU

-2500

Point Spread

AR State +16.5

-110

SMU -16.5

-110

Total Points

Under 172.5

-106

Over 172.5

-114

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Points, Assists, Steals and Rebounds. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arkansas State Stats

SMU Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +16.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +16.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -16.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -16.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 156.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 172.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 172.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.50 pts and allowed 79.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 78.20 pts and allowed 78.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 151.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 156.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 172.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 172.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.20 pts and allowed 70.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.50 pts and allowed 72.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	5-0	462	301	161	4-0	1-0	5W
NC State	4-0	403	279	124	4-0	0-0	4W
North Carolina	5-0	440	316	124	5-0	0-0	5W
Virginia	4-0	363	246	117	4-0	0-0	4W
Syracuse	4-0	326	213	113	3-0	1-0	4W
Virginia Tech	5-0	461	364	97	5-0	0-0	5W
SMU	5-0	460	370	90	5-0	0-0	5W
Stanford	4-0	350	281	69	4-0	0-0	4W
Louisville	4-0	412	284	128	4-0	0-0	4W
California	4-1	420	348	72	4-0	0-1	1W
Georgia Tech	4-1	355	315	40	4-0	0-1	1W
Clemson	4-1	423	293	130	4-0	0-1	1W
Notre Dame	4-1	418	338	80	4-0	0-1	1W
Miami	4-1	456	345	111	4-0	0-1	1W
Florida State	3-1	372	291	81	3-0	0-1	1W
Pittsburgh	4-2	430	383	47	4-0	0-2	1L
Wake Forest	3-2	445	383	62	3-0	0-2	1L
Boston College	3-2	352	313	39	2-1	1-1	2W

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
South Alabama	6-0	460	385	75	3-0	3-0	6W
Marshall	4-1	435	408	27	2-0	2-1	1W
Texas State	4-2	453	402	51	4-0	0-2	3W
Appalachian State	3-2	372	334	38	2-0	1-2	1W
Georgia Southern	3-2	441	423	18	2-0	1-2	1L
Arkansas State	3-2	407	412	-5	1-0	2-2	1L
Troy	4-3	650	596	54	1-0	3-3	1L
Coastal Carolina	2-2	331	260	71	2-0	0-2	1L
James Madison	3-3	457	456	1	3-0	0-3	1W
Southern Miss	2-3	403	359	44	2-0	0-3	1W
Old Dominion	2-3	367	392	-25	2-0	0-3	2L
Georgia State	1-4	326	339	-13	1-1	0-3	1L
UL Monroe	1-4	362	394	-32	1-1	0-3	2L
Louisiana	1-4	312	374	-62	1-1	0-3	3L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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