Arkansas State vs SMU Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Nov 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Arkansas State vs SMU

The Arkansas State Red Wolves face the SMU Mustangs, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Friday, November 21.

We’re going for a modest total when Arkansas State and SMU take to the court. Under 172.5 points could be on the money and our prediction is currently available at -106.

Arkansas State Red Wolves were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 85-72 reverse against Saint Mary's Gaels.

SMU Mustangs won their last game, beating Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at home. It was a 106-60 win.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arkansas State	20-12	2655	2471	184	11-5	9-7	1L
SMU	20-13	2779	2561	218	17-3	3-10	1L

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Arkansas State vs SMU Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Arkansas State vs SMU betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -106 that there are Under 172.5 points in this college matchup.

The basketball picks at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant stats to confidently recommend every college hoops pick.

Key Arkansas State vs SMU stats:

• The 172.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 AR State games.
• The 172.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 AR State games.
• The 172.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 AR State games on the road.
• The 172.5 line hasn’t been covered in 19 of the last 20 SMU games.
• The 172.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 SMU games.
• The 172.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 SMU games.

Under 172.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.5% likelihood of this pick delivering a return. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

Betting Under can be done at various odds thanks to the sportsbooks allowing bettors to move the line. Choose the selection which can yield a profitable return.

Don’t miss out. Check our expert guide for the most rewarding betting offers, including top free bets and bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Under 172.5 Points @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 21, 01:55). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Arkansas State 74 - 94 SMU

There’s a huge payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with the Mustangs to claim a 94-74 win which will hopefully go close.

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Arkansas State vs SMU Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You might not get rich backing SMU at -1667. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 94% chance of winning this college game. Arkansas State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +890.

14.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 172.5 right now. Basketball fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 172.5 at -114.

The top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most college games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

AR State

+890

SMU

-1667

Point Spread

AR State +14.5

-102

SMU -14.5

-120

Total Points

Under 172.5

-114

Over 172.5

-106

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Points, Assists, Steals and Rebounds. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to college basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arkansas State Stats

SMU Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +16.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +16.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -16.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -16.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 156.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 172.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 172.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.50 pts and allowed 79.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 78.20 pts and allowed 78.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 151.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 156.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 172.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 172.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.20 pts and allowed 70.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 83.50 pts and allowed 72.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	32-2	2798	2147	651	21-0	11-2	11W
Virginia	29-5	2742	2326	416	19-1	10-4	1L
Miami	25-8	2704	2349	355	16-4	9-4	1L
North Carolina	24-8	2553	2282	271	19-1	5-7	2L
Clemson	24-10	2521	2269	252	16-3	8-7	1L
Louisville	23-10	2797	2382	415	16-2	7-8	1L
California	21-11	2492	2344	148	17-4	4-7	2L
Stanford	20-12	2431	2326	105	12-7	8-5	1L
NC State	20-13	2762	2525	237	13-7	7-6	1L
SMU	20-13	2779	2561	218	17-3	3-10	1L
Virginia Tech	19-13	2521	2396	125	15-4	4-9	2L
Florida State	18-15	2652	2572	80	12-8	6-7	1L
Wake Forest	17-16	2602	2543	59	12-6	5-10	1L
Syracuse	15-17	2400	2376	24	12-6	3-11	6L
Notre Dame	13-18	2308	2335	-27	11-7	2-11	2L
Pittsburgh	13-20	2327	2370	-43	8-10	5-10	1L
Boston College	11-20	2090	2191	-101	10-10	1-10	1W
Georgia Tech	11-20	2287	2400	-113	10-10	1-10	12L

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Troy	22-11	2649	2412	237	12-4	10-7	4W
South Alabama	21-11	2387	2234	153	12-5	9-6	2L
Arkansas State	20-12	2655	2471	184	11-5	9-7	1L
Appalachian State	19-13	2305	2114	191	12-5	7-8	2L
Marshall	19-13	2596	2497	99	13-5	6-8	2L
Texas State	19-13	2365	2271	94	16-3	3-10	1L
Coastal Carolina	19-13	2346	2323	23	8-6	11-7	1L
Georgia Southern	21-16	2994	2949	45	10-6	11-10	1L
James Madison	18-15	2460	2437	23	13-4	5-11	1L
Southern Miss	19-16	2615	2585	30	13-3	6-13	1L
Old Dominion	12-21	2514	2570	-56	8-6	4-15	1L
Louisiana	11-22	2101	2332	-231	8-8	3-14	1L
Georgia State	10-22	2253	2391	-138	7-8	3-14	4L
UL Monroe	4-28	2318	2685	-367	3-12	1-16	8L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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