Arkansas State vs Texas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Dec 2025

College Basketball Betting Preview: Arkansas State vs Texas State

The Arkansas State Red Wolves battle the Texas State Bobcats, with tip-off scheduled for 20:30 on Wednesday, December 17.

There’s some excellent value on the spread and we like Texas State at +3.5. We’re happy to take them with this advantage against Arkansas State at -102.

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Arkansas State Red Wolves suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 77-76 scoreline occurred on the road against Rice Owls.

Texas State Bobcats won their last game which was at home. It was a 86-83 triumph against Southern Jaguars.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arkansas State beat Texas State when the teams last met. It was a 85-74 scoreline. Arkansas State have four straight victories against Texas State. They have won 5 of the 10 previous head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arkansas State	7-4	884	873	11	4-0	3-4	1L
Texas State	7-5	895	803	92	7-1	0-4	1W

View Full Standings

Arkansas State vs Texas State Prediction & Picks

Make the most of Arkansas State vs Texas State with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

Considering the +3.5 that is available for Texas State, our pick is that they will cover the spread in this college contest. The underdogs can stay in the game and -102 is on offer.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when making basketball predictions. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our college hoops picks.

Key Arkansas State vs Texas State stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Texas State in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Texas State in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by AR State in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by AR State in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Texas State in 6 of their last 10 games against AR State.

Texas State +3.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 50.5% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

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Our Game Prediction

Texas State +3.5 @ -102 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Arkansas State 77 - 80 Texas State

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close game and we’ll have a play on Texas State enjoying a 80-77 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

Arkansas State vs Texas State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Arkansas State as -147 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 60% likely to win. Texas State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +124.

The spread is calculated to be 4.5, while total points comes in at 150.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. If you're keen on Over 150.5, this selection is available at -108.

The best betting apps provide a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball matchups. Be sure to explore all the available options before placing your bet.

Moneyline

AR State

-147

Texas State

+124

Point Spread

AR State -4.5

-102

Texas State +4.5

-118

Total Points

Under 150.5

-112

Over 150.5

-108

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arkansas State Stats

Texas State Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 158.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 159.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 149.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 149.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.50 pts and allowed 78.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.50 pts and allowed 83.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 139.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 147.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 149.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 149.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.30 pts and allowed 66.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.50 pts and allowed 65.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Sun Belt	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
South Alabama	8-3	813	747	66	4-1	4-2	2L
Marshall	7-4	874	851	23	5-1	2-3	2W
Arkansas State	7-4	884	873	11	4-0	3-4	1L
James Madison	7-4	826	816	10	6-0	1-4	2W
Georgia Southern	8-5	1074	1023	51	5-1	3-4	5W
Troy	7-5	1068	960	108	2-2	5-3	2W
Appalachian State	7-5	898	804	94	5-1	2-4	3W
Texas State	7-5	895	803	92	7-1	0-4	1W
Southern Miss	6-5	846	796	50	5-0	1-5	1L
Coastal Carolina	6-5	826	787	39	3-0	3-5	1L
Old Dominion	3-8	814	859	-45	3-0	0-8	5L
UL Monroe	3-8	797	895	-98	3-2	0-6	1L
Georgia State	2-9	718	842	-124	2-2	0-7	1W
Louisiana	1-10	618	782	-164	1-3	0-7	9L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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