Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Tuesday

NBA Betting Preview: Hawks vs Heat

The Atlanta Hawks go head-to-head with the Miami Heat in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

There’s a strong case for backing the Heat on the spread when they play the Hawks. The line looks really appealing considering you can get -108 when it comes to the favorites at -4.5.

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Atlanta Hawks have now lost back-to-back games. On the road in their previous appearance, Indiana Pacers won 129-124 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Jalen Johnson delivered a dominant triple-double performance, recording 33 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists.

Miami Heat won their last game, beating Chicago Bulls at home. It was a 134-91 win at Kaseya Center. Pelle Larsson scored 20 points, while Bam Adebayo finished with 20 and Kel'el Ware 17.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 126-111 victory was registered against the Hawks at State Farm Arena. The Heat have triumphed in their previous four meetings against the Hawks. On the head-to-head front, it has been 7 wins out of 10.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	27	24	0.529	120	117.8	2.2	16-9	11-15	3-4	14-14	6-4	1W
Hawks	24	27	0.471	117.2	118.3	-1.1	9-14	15-13	4-3	12-18	4-6	2L

View Full Standings

4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. The Hawks are averaging 112.6 points, 42.9 rebounds, 28.5 assists, 9.4 steals and 4.2 blocks while shooting 44.7% from the field and 78.5% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 118.2 points and 49.1 rebounds per matchup.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 19.4 points and 3.8 (42.7%) 3-pointers made, while Jalen Johnson averages 10.3 rebounds and 6.3 assists.

The Heat have won 6 and lost 4 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 122.4 points, 51.2 rebounds, 30.2 assists, 9.0 steals and 3.7 blocks per game while shooting 44.3% from the field and 78.5% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 117.9 points and 46.5 rebounds.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 22.1 points, 10.7 rebounds and 2.6 (37.7%) 3-pointers made, while Jaime Jaquez Jr. has an average of 4.4 assists.

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Get set for Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re confident of backing Heat to cover the -4.5 spread in this NBA matchup. This is a more than generous line and the favorites look a value pick at -108.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball predictions.

Key Hawks vs Heat stats:

• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Hawks in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Hawks in 2 consecutive games.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Heat in 4 consecutive games against Hawks.

Heat -4.5 Probability

If you go by the top NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.8% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be a good way to go. Back the Heat against the spread in a combination with other selections.

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Our Game Prediction

Heat -4.5 @ -108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (23:55, 02 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dyson Daniels Over 6.5 Assists -145

Dyson Daniels (Hawks) has had Over 6.5 assists in 4 straight games. He therefore looks capable of covering the line when it comes our Player Assists bet, with odds of -145 available.

Latest Dyson Daniels Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-101

Under 12.5

-127

Assists

Over 6.5

-145

Under 6.5

+110

Rebounds

Over 7.5

+114

Under 7.5

-149

---

Jalen Johnson Under 24.5 Points -114

Jalen Johnson (Hawks) has averaged 20.78 points in the past 9 games. It’s anticipated that he might once again fall short of the mark and this Player Points wager is available at -114.

Latest Jalen Johnson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 24.5

-112

Under 24.5

-114

Assists

Over 7.5

+109

Under 7.5

-145

Rebounds

Over 11.5

-110

Under 11.5

-119

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Hawks 112 - 121 Heat

We’re going for the Heat to achieve a 121-112 win and the good news is that there are massive odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.

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Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Miami Heat have the shortest price to win this NBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 64% probability due to their -179 Moneyline betting odds. Atlanta Hawks are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +150.

4.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 239.5 right now. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 239.5, this outcome can be backed at -112.

NBA fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Hawks

+150

Heat

-179

Point Spread

Hawks +4.5

-112

Heat -4.5

-108

Total Points

Under 239.5

-112

Over 239.5

-108

Jalen Johnson is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -112 that he scores Over 24.5 points or -114 that he goes Under.

Jalen Johnson (Hawks)

Over 24.5

-112

Under 24.5

-114

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Hawks)

Over 20.5

-123

Under 20.5

-104

C.J. McCollum (Hawks)

Over 16.5

-118

Under 16.5

-108

Dyson Daniels (Hawks)

Over 12.5

-101

Under 12.5

-127

Zaccharie Risacher (Hawks)

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

+101

Jalen Johnson (Hawks)

Over 7.5

+109

Under 7.5

-145

Dyson Daniels (Hawks)

Over 6.5

-145

Under 6.5

+110

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Hawks)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-147

C.J. McCollum (Hawks)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-118

Jalen Johnson (Hawks)

Over 11.5

-110

Under 11.5

-119

Dyson Daniels (Hawks)

Over 7.5

+114

Under 7.5

-149

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Hawks)

Over 3.5

-109

Under 3.5

-120

C.J. McCollum (Hawks)

Over 3.5

-122

Under 3.5

-108

Zaccharie Risacher (Hawks)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-114

The Heat are 6-4 in their last 10 home games, scoring 126.80 points per contest and conceding 117.90.

The Hawks have five wins and five losses in the last 10 road games, averaging 114.40 points scored and 116.40 points allowed.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O239.5	U239.5
Miami Heat Home Stats		6-4	244.70	126.80	117.90	7	3
Atlanta Hawks Away Stats		5-5	230.80	114.40	116.40	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O239.5 = Games Over 239.5 Points
• U239.5 = Games Under 239.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Atlanta Hawks Stats

Miami Heat Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 230.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 230.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 239.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 239.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 112.60 pts and allowed 118.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 114.40 pts and allowed 116.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 240.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 244.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 239.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 239.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 122.40 pts and allowed 117.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 126.80 pts and allowed 117.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.10 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.60 (36%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.60 (78.49%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.9, Offensive 10.90, Defensive 32.00
• Assists: 28.50
• Blocks: 4.20
• Steals: 9.40
• Turnovers : 12.70
• Personal Fouls: 18.80

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.70 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.80 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 14.60 (73.37%)
• Rebounds: Total 40.8, Offensive 8.90, Defensive 31.90
• Assists: 29.60
• Blocks: 3.10
• Steals: 10.80
• Turnovers : 11.40
• Personal Fouls: 20.20

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.20 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.50 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.50 (78.54%)
• Rebounds: Total 51.2, Offensive 15.40, Defensive 35.80
• Assists: 30.20
• Blocks: 3.70
• Steals: 9.00
• Turnovers : 12.90
• Personal Fouls: 18.50

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.70 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.60 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.60 (80.17%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.6, Offensive 13.00, Defensive 32.60
• Assists: 31.00
• Blocks: 4.00
• Steals: 10.40
• Turnovers : 12.30
• Personal Fouls: 19.80

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	31	18	0.633	117.6	112.1	5.5	20-6	11-12	8-3	21-11	6-4	6W
Celtics	31	18	0.633	116.1	109.1	7	16-8	15-10	7-4	22-12	7-3	2W
Raptors	30	21	0.588	113.6	112.2	1.4	14-11	16-10	4-9	22-14	6-4	1W
76ers	28	21	0.571	116.9	115.7	1.2	15-13	13-8	8-5	19-17	6-4	4W
Nets	13	35	0.271	107.1	114.7	-7.6	6-17	7-18	3-9	9-20	2-8	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	36	12	0.75	117.3	109.7	7.6	20-5	16-7	8-3	23-6	8-2	2W
Cavaliers	30	21	0.588	119.3	116.2	3.1	17-11	13-10	7-3	19-13	8-2	1W
Bulls	24	26	0.48	117.2	119.9	-2.7	15-11	9-15	3-8	16-18	5-5	1L
Bucks	18	29	0.383	111.1	115.6	-4.5	9-12	9-17	5-4	14-17	2-8	5L
Pacers	13	37	0.26	110.7	118.4	-7.7	10-17	3-20	3-8	9-24	4-6	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	27	24	0.529	120	117.8	2.2	16-9	11-15	3-4	14-14	6-4	1W
Magic	25	23	0.521	115.5	115.6	-0.1	15-9	10-14	6-5	17-17	4-6	1L
Hawks	24	27	0.471	117.2	118.3	-1.1	9-14	15-13	4-3	12-18	4-6	2L
Hornets	23	28	0.451	116	114.2	1.8	11-13	12-15	6-4	14-19	8-2	7W
Wizards	13	35	0.271	112.3	122.5	-10.2	9-16	4-19	2-5	8-19	3-7	1W

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	39	11	0.78	120.3	108	12.3	21-5	18-6	8-3	30-7	6-4	1W
Nuggets	33	17	0.66	119.9	115.7	4.2	14-10	19-7	4-2	19-9	6-4	1L
Timberwolves	31	20	0.608	119.5	114.5	5	17-8	14-12	5-5	18-15	4-6	1L
Trail Blazers	23	27	0.46	115.1	117.9	-2.8	13-12	10-15	4-4	18-14	4-6	5L
Jazz	15	35	0.3	118	127	-9	10-17	5-18	1-8	9-24	1-9	6L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	29	19	0.604	116.1	116.3	-0.2	12-8	17-11	4-6	20-12	5-5	1L
Suns	30	20	0.6	113.8	111.4	2.4	17-7	13-13	8-5	20-14	6-4	1L
Warriors	27	23	0.54	116.7	114	2.7	17-8	10-15	5-3	17-14	6-4	1L
Clippers	23	26	0.469	112.7	112.9	-0.2	13-10	10-16	6-4	13-15	7-3	1L
Kings	12	39	0.235	110.2	120.4	-10.2	9-16	3-23	2-7	8-25	1-9	9L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	33	16	0.673	116.9	111.9	5	17-6	16-10	8-3	19-13	6-4	1W
Rockets	31	17	0.646	116	110	6	17-4	14-13	6-5	17-15	8-2	3W
Grizzlies	19	29	0.396	115	116.8	-1.8	11-15	8-14	5-6	15-17	3-7	1W
Mavericks	19	30	0.388	114.1	116.6	-2.5	14-14	5-16	3-7	11-21	5-5	4L
Pelicans	13	39	0.25	114	120.6	-6.6	8-19	5-20	6-7	7-26	4-6	2L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	36	12	0.75	117.3	109.7	7.6	20-5	16-7	8-3	23-6	8-2	2W
Knicks	31	18	0.633	117.6	112.1	5.5	20-6	11-12	8-3	21-11	6-4	6W
Celtics	31	18	0.633	116.1	109.1	7	16-8	15-10	7-4	22-12	7-3	2W
Raptors	30	21	0.588	113.6	112.2	1.4	14-11	16-10	4-9	22-14	6-4	1W
Cavaliers	30	21	0.588	119.3	116.2	3.1	17-11	13-10	7-3	19-13	8-2	1W
76ers	28	21	0.571	116.9	115.7	1.2	15-13	13-8	8-5	19-17	6-4	4W
Heat	27	24	0.529	120	117.8	2.2	16-9	11-15	3-4	14-14	6-4	1W
Magic	25	23	0.521	115.5	115.6	-0.1	15-9	10-14	6-5	17-17	4-6	1L
Bulls	24	26	0.48	117.2	119.9	-2.7	15-11	9-15	3-8	16-18	5-5	1L
Hawks	24	27	0.471	117.2	118.3	-1.1	9-14	15-13	4-3	12-18	4-6	2L
Hornets	23	28	0.451	116	114.2	1.8	11-13	12-15	6-4	14-19	8-2	7W
Bucks	18	29	0.383	111.1	115.6	-4.5	9-12	9-17	5-4	14-17	2-8	5L
Nets	13	35	0.271	107.1	114.7	-7.6	6-17	7-18	3-9	9-20	2-8	1L
Wizards	13	35	0.271	112.3	122.5	-10.2	9-16	4-19	2-5	8-19	3-7	1W
Pacers	13	37	0.26	110.7	118.4	-7.7	10-17	3-20	3-8	9-24	4-6	1L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	39	11	0.78	120.3	108	12.3	21-5	18-6	8-3	30-7	6-4	1W
Spurs	33	16	0.673	116.9	111.9	5	17-6	16-10	8-3	19-13	6-4	1W
Nuggets	33	17	0.66	119.9	115.7	4.2	14-10	19-7	4-2	19-9	6-4	1L
Rockets	31	17	0.646	116	110	6	17-4	14-13	6-5	17-15	8-2	3W
Timberwolves	31	20	0.608	119.5	114.5	5	17-8	14-12	5-5	18-15	4-6	1L
Lakers	29	19	0.604	116.1	116.3	-0.2	12-8	17-11	4-6	20-12	5-5	1L
Suns	30	20	0.6	113.8	111.4	2.4	17-7	13-13	8-5	20-14	6-4	1L
Warriors	27	23	0.54	116.7	114	2.7	17-8	10-15	5-3	17-14	6-4	1L
Clippers	23	26	0.469	112.7	112.9	-0.2	13-10	10-16	6-4	13-15	7-3	1L
Trail Blazers	23	27	0.46	115.1	117.9	-2.8	13-12	10-15	4-4	18-14	4-6	5L
Grizzlies	19	29	0.396	115	116.8	-1.8	11-15	8-14	5-6	15-17	3-7	1W
Mavericks	19	30	0.388	114.1	116.6	-2.5	14-14	5-16	3-7	11-21	5-5	4L
Jazz	15	35	0.3	118	127	-9	10-17	5-18	1-8	9-24	1-9	6L
Pelicans	13	39	0.25	114	120.6	-6.6	8-19	5-20	6-7	7-26	4-6	2L
Kings	12	39	0.235	110.2	120.4	-10.2	9-16	3-23	2-7	8-25	1-9	9L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	39	11	0.78	120.3	108	12.3	21-5	18-6	8-3	30-7	6-4	1W
Pistons	36	12	0.75	117.3	109.7	7.6	20-5	16-7	8-3	23-6	8-2	2W
Spurs	33	16	0.673	116.9	111.9	5	17-6	16-10	8-3	19-13	6-4	1W
Nuggets	33	17	0.66	119.9	115.7	4.2	14-10	19-7	4-2	19-9	6-4	1L
Rockets	31	17	0.646	116	110	6	17-4	14-13	6-5	17-15	8-2	3W
Celtics	31	18	0.633	116.1	109.1	7	16-8	15-10	7-4	22-12	7-3	2W
Knicks	31	18	0.633	117.6	112.1	5.5	20-6	11-12	8-3	21-11	6-4	6W
Timberwolves	31	20	0.608	119.5	114.5	5	17-8	14-12	5-5	18-15	4-6	1L
Lakers	29	19	0.604	116.1	116.3	-0.2	12-8	17-11	4-6	20-12	5-5	1L
Suns	30	20	0.6	113.8	111.4	2.4	17-7	13-13	8-5	20-14	6-4	1L
Cavaliers	30	21	0.588	119.3	116.2	3.1	17-11	13-10	7-3	19-13	8-2	1W
Raptors	30	21	0.588	113.6	112.2	1.4	14-11	16-10	4-9	22-14	6-4	1W
76ers	28	21	0.571	116.9	115.7	1.2	15-13	13-8	8-5	19-17	6-4	4W
Warriors	27	23	0.54	116.7	114	2.7	17-8	10-15	5-3	17-14	6-4	1L
Heat	27	24	0.529	120	117.8	2.2	16-9	11-15	3-4	14-14	6-4	1W
Magic	25	23	0.521	115.5	115.6	-0.1	15-9	10-14	6-5	17-17	4-6	1L
Bulls	24	26	0.48	117.2	119.9	-2.7	15-11	9-15	3-8	16-18	5-5	1L
Hawks	24	27	0.471	117.2	118.3	-1.1	9-14	15-13	4-3	12-18	4-6	2L
Clippers	23	26	0.469	112.7	112.9	-0.2	13-10	10-16	6-4	13-15	7-3	1L
Trail Blazers	23	27	0.46	115.1	117.9	-2.8	13-12	10-15	4-4	18-14	4-6	5L
Hornets	23	28	0.451	116	114.2	1.8	11-13	12-15	6-4	14-19	8-2	7W
Grizzlies	19	29	0.396	115	116.8	-1.8	11-15	8-14	5-6	15-17	3-7	1W
Mavericks	19	30	0.388	114.1	116.6	-2.5	14-14	5-16	3-7	11-21	5-5	4L
Bucks	18	29	0.383	111.1	115.6	-4.5	9-12	9-17	5-4	14-17	2-8	5L
Jazz	15	35	0.3	118	127	-9	10-17	5-18	1-8	9-24	1-9	6L
Nets	13	35	0.271	107.1	114.7	-7.6	6-17	7-18	3-9	9-20	2-8	1L
Wizards	13	35	0.271	112.3	122.5	-10.2	9-16	4-19	2-5	8-19	3-7	1W
Pacers	13	37	0.26	110.7	118.4	-7.7	10-17	3-20	3-8	9-24	4-6	1L
Pelicans	13	39	0.25	114	120.6	-6.6	8-19	5-20	6-7	7-26	4-6	2L
Kings	12	39	0.235	110.2	120.4	-10.2	9-16	3-23	2-7	8-25	1-9	9L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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