Atlanta Hawks
Miami Heat
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Hawks vs Heat

The Atlanta Hawks go head-to-head with the Miami Heat in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Heat Look the Value Bet

There’s a strong case for backing the Heat on the spread when they play the Hawks. The line looks really appealing considering you can get -108 when it comes to the favorites at -4.5.

7 Triumphs for Heat in Previous 10 H2H Matchups

Atlanta Hawks have now lost back-to-back games. On the road in their previous appearance, Indiana Pacers won 129-124 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Jalen Johnson delivered a dominant triple-double performance, recording 33 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists.

Miami Heat won their last game, beating Chicago Bulls at home. It was a 134-91 win at Kaseya Center. Pelle Larsson scored 20 points, while Bam Adebayo finished with 20 and Kel'el Ware 17.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Heat won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 126-111 victory was registered against the Hawks at State Farm Arena. The Heat have triumphed in their previous four meetings against the Hawks. On the head-to-head front, it has been 7 wins out of 10.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks logo Hawks 42 33 0.56 118.3 116.4 1.9 22-16 20-17 8-6 23-22 8-2 1W
Heat logo Heat 39 35 0.527 120.3 117.7 2.6 23-14 16-21 7-7 23-21 4-6 1L
View Full Standings
Atlanta Hawks – Last 10 Games

4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. The Hawks are averaging 112.6 points, 42.9 rebounds, 28.5 assists, 9.4 steals and 4.2 blocks while shooting 44.7% from the field and 78.5% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 118.2 points and 49.1 rebounds per matchup.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 19.4 points and 3.8 (42.7%) 3-pointers made, while Jalen Johnson averages 10.3 rebounds and 6.3 assists.

Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have won 6 and lost 4 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 122.4 points, 51.2 rebounds, 30.2 assists, 9.0 steals and 3.7 blocks per game while shooting 44.3% from the field and 78.5% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 117.9 points and 46.5 rebounds.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 22.1 points, 10.7 rebounds and 2.6 (37.7%) 3-pointers made, while Jaime Jaquez Jr. has an average of 4.4 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Atlanta Hawks lineup: Jalen Johnson, Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Zaccharie Risacher, Christian Koloko.

Miami Heat lineup: Simone Fontecchio, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Davion Mitchell.

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Get set for Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re confident of backing Heat to cover the -4.5 spread in this NBA matchup. This is a more than generous line and the favorites look a value pick at -108.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our basketball predictions.

Key Hawks vs Heat stats:

  • The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Hawks in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
  • The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Hawks in 2 consecutive games.
  • The -4.5 line has been covered by Heat in 4 consecutive games against Hawks.

Heat -4.5 Probability

If you go by the top NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.8% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be a good way to go. Back the Heat against the spread in a combination with other selections.

Unlock top value before betting. Our guide lists the latest offers and welcome bonuses you won’t want to miss.

Our Game Prediction
Heat -4.5 @ -108 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 2, 23:55). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 23:55, 02 February 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 19.5 Points -106 BetMGM logo

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Hawks) has scored Over 19.5 points in 4 straight games. This statistic guides us towards Player Points where we’re able to back him at odds of -106 to cover the line.

Latest Nickeil Alexander-Walker Player Prop Odds


Jalen Johnson Under 23.5 Points -120 BetMGM logo

Jalen Johnson (Hawks) has averaged 20.78 points in the past 9 games. His Player Points might once again fall below the line, with this bet offering plenty of appeal and you can back -120.

Latest Jalen Johnson Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Heat -1
Totals Under 236.5
Player Points Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 19.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Heat -1 on the spread, combined with Under 236.5 and Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Hawks) to score Over 19.5 points.

The same game parlay option is great for basketball bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Hawks Hawks logo 112 - 121 Heat logo Heat

We’re going for the Heat to achieve a 121-112 win and the good news is that there are massive odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Heat Have the Shortest Odds to Win

Miami Heat have the shortest price to win this NBA game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 54% probability due to their -116 Moneyline betting odds. Atlanta Hawks are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at -102.

1 is where the spread lies, with total points being 236.5 right now. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you’re going for Under 236.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

NBA fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the top basketball sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Betting Lines & Odds
Jalen Johnson Favorite to Get Most Points

Jalen Johnson is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get -114 that he scores Over 23.5 points or -120 that he goes Under.

Player Points
Jalen Johnson (Hawks)
Over 23.5
-114
Under 23.5
-120
BetMGM Logo
Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Hawks)
Over 19.5
-106
Under 19.5
-128
BetMGM Logo
Player Assists
Jalen Johnson (Hawks)
Over 7.5
-112
Under 7.5
-122
BetMGM Logo
Dyson Daniels (Hawks)
Over 6.5
-122
Under 6.5
-112
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 5.5
-143
Under 5.5
+107
BetMGM Logo
Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 4.5
-118
Under 4.5
-115
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Jalen Johnson (Hawks)
Over 10.5
-122
Under 10.5
-112
BetMGM Logo
Dyson Daniels (Hawks)
Over 6.5
-137
Under 6.5
-100
BetMGM Logo
Jaime Jaquez Jr (Heat)
Over 5.5
-100
Under 5.5
-135
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live team, score and player props to see if you can find an angle.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Kaseya Center
Kaseya Center
Heat Have Won Six of Their Last Ten Home Games

The Heat are 6-4 in their last 10 home games, scoring 126.80 points per contest and conceding 117.90.

The Hawks have five wins and five losses in the last 10 road games, averaging 114.40 points scored and 116.40 points allowed.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O239.5 U239.5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Home Stats 6-4 244.70 126.80 117.90 7 3
Atlanta Hawks logo Atlanta Hawks Away Stats 5-5 230.80 114.40 116.40 4 6
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O239.5 = Games Over 239.5 Points
  • U239.5 = Games Under 239.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Atlanta Hawks logo Atlanta Hawks Stats
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Atlanta Hawks Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Jalen Johnson 46 35.56 1063 366 23.1 8.0 1.7 10.5 0.5 1.3
Dyson Daniels 49 34.03 569 309 11.6 6.3 0.2 6.7 0.4 1.9
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 49 33 996 169 20.3 3.4 3.1 3.5 0.6 1.1

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Tyler Herro 11 31.69 241 30 21.9 2.7 2.2 4.7 0.5 1.0
Andrew Wiggins 47 31.2 734 134 15.6 2.9 1.8 4.9 1.0 1.2
Bam Adebayo 43 31.14 781 120 18.2 2.8 1.7 9.8 0.7 1.0

Injuries & Suspensions

Atlanta Hawks Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
0 Simone Fontecchio
9 Pelle Larsson
13 Bam Adebayo
15 Myron Gardner
45 Davion Mitchell
Atlanta Hawks logo Atlanta Hawks Confirmed Lineup
1 Jalen Johnson
5 Dyson Daniels
7 Nickeil Alexander-Walker
10 Zaccharie Risacher
35 Christian Koloko

Previous Atlanta Hawks Lineups

31 Jan NBA
Hawks 124-129 Pacers
29 Jan NBA
Rockets 104-86 Hawks
28 Jan NBA
Hawks 117-106 Celtics
26 Jan NBA
Pacers 116-132 Hawks
23 Jan NBA
Suns 103-110 Hawks
21 Jan NBA
Hawks 124-122 Grizzlies
19 Jan NBA
Bucks 112-110 Hawks
17 Jan NBA
Celtics 132-106 Hawks
15 Jan NBA
Hawks 101-117 Trail Blazers
13 Jan NBA
Hawks 116-141 Lakers

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

01 Feb NBA
Bulls 91-134 Heat
31 Jan NBA
Bulls 125-118 Heat
29 Jan NBA
Heat 116-113 Bulls
28 Jan NBA
Magic 133-124 Heat
25 Jan NBA
Heat 111-102 Suns
24 Jan NBA
Heat 147-116 Jazz
22 Jan NBA
Heat 110-127 Trail Blazers
20 Jan NBA
Heat 130-117 Kings
19 Jan NBA
Heat 112-135 Warriors
17 Jan NBA
Thunder 120-122 Heat

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 49 24 0.671 114.1 106.9 7.2 26-11 23-13 9-5 30-14 7-3 2W
Knicks 48 26 0.649 117 110.5 6.5 27-9 21-17 12-3 31-16 7-3 1L
Raptors 41 32 0.562 114 112.3 1.7 20-16 21-16 4-10 29-16 5-5 1W
76ers 41 33 0.554 116.2 116.5 -0.3 21-17 20-16 9-7 24-23 7-3 2W
Nets 17 57 0.23 106.2 115.7 -9.5 9-26 8-31 3-12 12-32 0-10 10L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 54 20 0.73 117.5 109.5 8 29-9 25-11 10-4 34-12 8-2 2W
Cavaliers 46 28 0.622 119.4 115.1 4.3 24-14 22-14 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Bucks 29 44 0.397 110.4 116.7 -6.3 16-20 13-24 9-6 20-27 2-8 3L
Bulls 29 45 0.392 116.4 121 -4.6 18-20 11-25 4-11 17-29 3-7 3L
Pacers 16 58 0.216 111.9 120.6 -8.7 10-27 6-31 3-10 12-33 1-9 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 42 33 0.56 118.3 116.4 1.9 22-16 20-17 8-6 23-22 8-2 1W
Magic 39 34 0.534 115.7 114.8 0.9 23-15 16-19 9-7 24-23 4-6 1W
Hornets 39 35 0.527 116.3 111.7 4.6 19-18 20-17 11-5 23-23 7-3 1L
Heat 39 35 0.527 120.3 117.7 2.6 23-14 16-21 7-7 23-21 4-6 1L
Wizards 17 56 0.233 113 124 -11 11-26 6-30 2-12 11-34 1-9 1L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 58 16 0.784 118.8 107.7 11.1 30-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 1W
Nuggets 47 28 0.627 121.3 116.9 4.4 23-13 24-15 8-5 29-16 8-2 5W
Timberwolves 45 29 0.608 117.9 114.4 3.5 25-14 20-15 9-7 28-21 5-5 1L
Trail Blazers 37 38 0.493 115.2 116.5 -1.3 20-17 17-21 7-8 25-21 6-4 1L
Jazz 21 53 0.284 117.5 125.3 -7.8 13-25 8-28 1-13 11-34 2-8 4L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 48 26 0.649 116.6 114.9 1.7 24-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 2W
Suns 40 33 0.548 112.4 111.2 1.2 23-15 17-18 10-6 25-21 4-6 1L
Clippers 38 36 0.514 113.8 112.5 1.3 21-15 17-21 8-6 22-23 6-4 4W
Warriors 36 38 0.486 115.2 114.9 0.3 21-15 15-23 6-6 23-22 4-6 3W
Kings 19 56 0.253 110.9 121.2 -10.3 13-25 6-31 3-10 12-35 4-6 3L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 56 18 0.757 119.4 111.2 8.2 28-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 8W
Rockets 44 29 0.603 114.1 110.2 3.9 25-10 19-19 8-6 24-22 5-5 1W
Grizzlies 25 49 0.338 115.1 119.2 -4.1 14-23 11-26 6-9 19-29 2-8 1W
Pelicans 25 50 0.333 115.3 119.3 -4 16-22 9-28 7-8 16-30 5-5 4L
Mavericks 24 50 0.324 113.9 118.9 -5 14-23 10-27 4-11 13-33 3-7 1W
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 54 20 0.73 117.5 109.5 8 29-9 25-11 10-4 34-12 8-2 2W
Celtics 49 24 0.671 114.1 106.9 7.2 26-11 23-13 9-5 30-14 7-3 2W
Knicks 48 26 0.649 117 110.5 6.5 27-9 21-17 12-3 31-16 7-3 1L
Cavaliers 46 28 0.622 119.4 115.1 4.3 24-14 22-14 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Raptors 41 32 0.562 114 112.3 1.7 20-16 21-16 4-10 29-16 5-5 1W
Hawks 42 33 0.56 118.3 116.4 1.9 22-16 20-17 8-6 23-22 8-2 1W
76ers 41 33 0.554 116.2 116.5 -0.3 21-17 20-16 9-7 24-23 7-3 2W
Magic 39 34 0.534 115.7 114.8 0.9 23-15 16-19 9-7 24-23 4-6 1W
Heat 39 35 0.527 120.3 117.7 2.6 23-14 16-21 7-7 23-21 4-6 1L
Hornets 39 35 0.527 116.3 111.7 4.6 19-18 20-17 11-5 23-23 7-3 1L
Bucks 29 44 0.397 110.4 116.7 -6.3 16-20 13-24 9-6 20-27 2-8 3L
Bulls 29 45 0.392 116.4 121 -4.6 18-20 11-25 4-11 17-29 3-7 3L
Wizards 17 56 0.233 113 124 -11 11-26 6-30 2-12 11-34 1-9 1L
Nets 17 57 0.23 106.2 115.7 -9.5 9-26 8-31 3-12 12-32 0-10 10L
Pacers 16 58 0.216 111.9 120.6 -8.7 10-27 6-31 3-10 12-33 1-9 2L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 58 16 0.784 118.8 107.7 11.1 30-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 1W
Spurs 56 18 0.757 119.4 111.2 8.2 28-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 8W
Lakers 48 26 0.649 116.6 114.9 1.7 24-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 2W
Nuggets 47 28 0.627 121.3 116.9 4.4 23-13 24-15 8-5 29-16 8-2 5W
Timberwolves 45 29 0.608 117.9 114.4 3.5 25-14 20-15 9-7 28-21 5-5 1L
Rockets 44 29 0.603 114.1 110.2 3.9 25-10 19-19 8-6 24-22 5-5 1W
Suns 40 33 0.548 112.4 111.2 1.2 23-15 17-18 10-6 25-21 4-6 1L
Clippers 38 36 0.514 113.8 112.5 1.3 21-15 17-21 8-6 22-23 6-4 4W
Trail Blazers 37 38 0.493 115.2 116.5 -1.3 20-17 17-21 7-8 25-21 6-4 1L
Warriors 36 38 0.486 115.2 114.9 0.3 21-15 15-23 6-6 23-22 4-6 3W
Grizzlies 25 49 0.338 115.1 119.2 -4.1 14-23 11-26 6-9 19-29 2-8 1W
Pelicans 25 50 0.333 115.3 119.3 -4 16-22 9-28 7-8 16-30 5-5 4L
Mavericks 24 50 0.324 113.9 118.9 -5 14-23 10-27 4-11 13-33 3-7 1W
Jazz 21 53 0.284 117.5 125.3 -7.8 13-25 8-28 1-13 11-34 2-8 4L
Kings 19 56 0.253 110.9 121.2 -10.3 13-25 6-31 3-10 12-35 4-6 3L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 58 16 0.784 118.8 107.7 11.1 30-7 28-9 11-3 37-9 9-1 1W
Spurs 56 18 0.757 119.4 111.2 8.2 28-7 28-11 12-3 32-14 9-1 8W
Pistons 54 20 0.73 117.5 109.5 8 29-9 25-11 10-4 34-12 8-2 2W
Celtics 49 24 0.671 114.1 106.9 7.2 26-11 23-13 9-5 30-14 7-3 2W
Lakers 48 26 0.649 116.6 114.9 1.7 24-12 24-14 8-7 30-16 9-1 2W
Knicks 48 26 0.649 117 110.5 6.5 27-9 21-17 12-3 31-16 7-3 1L
Nuggets 47 28 0.627 121.3 116.9 4.4 23-13 24-15 8-5 29-16 8-2 5W
Cavaliers 46 28 0.622 119.4 115.1 4.3 24-14 22-14 10-5 30-18 7-3 1W
Timberwolves 45 29 0.608 117.9 114.4 3.5 25-14 20-15 9-7 28-21 5-5 1L
Rockets 44 29 0.603 114.1 110.2 3.9 25-10 19-19 8-6 24-22 5-5 1W
Raptors 41 32 0.562 114 112.3 1.7 20-16 21-16 4-10 29-16 5-5 1W
Hawks 42 33 0.56 118.3 116.4 1.9 22-16 20-17 8-6 23-22 8-2 1W
76ers 41 33 0.554 116.2 116.5 -0.3 21-17 20-16 9-7 24-23 7-3 2W
Suns 40 33 0.548 112.4 111.2 1.2 23-15 17-18 10-6 25-21 4-6 1L
Magic 39 34 0.534 115.7 114.8 0.9 23-15 16-19 9-7 24-23 4-6 1W
Hornets 39 35 0.527 116.3 111.7 4.6 19-18 20-17 11-5 23-23 7-3 1L
Heat 39 35 0.527 120.3 117.7 2.6 23-14 16-21 7-7 23-21 4-6 1L
Clippers 38 36 0.514 113.8 112.5 1.3 21-15 17-21 8-6 22-23 6-4 4W
Trail Blazers 37 38 0.493 115.2 116.5 -1.3 20-17 17-21 7-8 25-21 6-4 1L
Warriors 36 38 0.486 115.2 114.9 0.3 21-15 15-23 6-6 23-22 4-6 3W
Bucks 29 44 0.397 110.4 116.7 -6.3 16-20 13-24 9-6 20-27 2-8 3L
Bulls 29 45 0.392 116.4 121 -4.6 18-20 11-25 4-11 17-29 3-7 3L
Grizzlies 25 49 0.338 115.1 119.2 -4.1 14-23 11-26 6-9 19-29 2-8 1W
Pelicans 25 50 0.333 115.3 119.3 -4 16-22 9-28 7-8 16-30 5-5 4L
Mavericks 24 50 0.324 113.9 118.9 -5 14-23 10-27 4-11 13-33 3-7 1W
Jazz 21 53 0.284 117.5 125.3 -7.8 13-25 8-28 1-13 11-34 2-8 4L
Kings 19 56 0.253 110.9 121.2 -10.3 13-25 6-31 3-10 12-35 4-6 3L
Wizards 17 56 0.233 113 124 -11 11-26 6-30 2-12 11-34 1-9 1L
Nets 17 57 0.23 106.2 115.7 -9.5 9-26 8-31 3-12 12-32 0-10 10L
Pacers 16 58 0.216 111.9 120.6 -8.7 10-27 6-31 3-10 12-33 1-9 2L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak