Baylor vs Kansas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Baylor vs Kansas State

The Baylor Bears square off against the Kansas State Wildcats, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Tuesday, February 17.

Play the Unders at -105 when Baylor and K-State take to the court. The 161.5 points line looks plenty big enough and we’re not sure the pair will combine to get this total.

Baylor Bears were beaten 82-71 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Louisville Cardinals.

Kansas State Wildcats lost on the road in their last game. Houston Cougars won 78-64.

Head-to-Head Statistics

We’ve seen Baylor beat K-State in their last two matchups. Both wins came at home by 70-62 and 70-56 scorelines. Baylor have won seven of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Baylor	16-16	2642	2469	173	12-8	4-8	1L
Kansas State	12-20	2546	2619	-73	11-8	1-12	2L

View Full Standings

Baylor vs Kansas State Prediction & Picks

Join us as we dissect the best Baylor vs Kansas State betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -105 that there are Under 161.5 points in this college matchup.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making basketball predictions. Up-to-date college hoops team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Baylor vs Kansas State stats:

• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Baylor games on the road.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Baylor games on the road.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Baylor games on the road.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 K-State games at home.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 K-State games at home.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 K-State games at home.
• The 161.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Under 161.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball wager.

If you’re going Under with your bet, then you can take the option to include this selection in a Bet Builder and get potentially bigger odds. Combine it with other picks.

Unlock top value before betting. Our guide lists the latest offers and welcome bonuses you won’t want to miss.

Our Game Prediction

Under 161.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 17, 01:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: David Castillo Under 2.5 Assists -185

David Castillo (K-State) is available at -185 to record Under 2.5 assists. The line looks too high and we can be confident that he falls short when it comes to Player Assists.

Latest David Castillo Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 13.5

-130

Under 13.5

-100

Assists

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-185

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

---

Tounde Yessoufou Under 1.5 Assists -103

Tounde Yessoufou (Baylor) is available at -103 to register Under 1.5 assists. We’re happy to take him to fall short of the Player Assists total and go for the Unders option.

Latest Tounde Yessoufou Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 20.5

-118

Under 20.5

-110

Assists

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-103

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+115

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Baylor 82 - 74 Kansas State

A 82-74 win for Baylor is clearly a risky bet although this could be an exciting correct score option where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

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Baylor vs Kansas State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Baylor have the shortest price to win this college game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 65% probability due to their -189 Moneyline betting odds. Kansas State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +155.

The spread is calculated to be 3.5, while total points comes in at 159.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those that want to back Under 159.5 can find odds of -112 available.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college hoops matchup, visit the top basketball betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Baylor

-189

K-State

+155

Point Spread

Baylor -3.5

-110

K-State +3.5

-110

Total Points

Under 159.5

-112

Over 159.5

-108

The favorite to land the most baskets is P.J. Haggerty. Odds of -112 can be found for him scoring Over 23.5 points and there is -115 for him to go Under.

P.J. Haggerty (K-State)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-115

Tounde Yessoufou (Baylor)

Over 20.5

-118

Under 20.5

-110

David Castillo (K-State)

Over 13.5

-130

Under 13.5

-100

Nate Johnson (K-State)

Over 13.5

-103

Under 13.5

-125

Obi Agbim (Baylor)

Over 12.5

-112

Under 12.5

-115

Khamari McGriff (K-State)

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-108

Taj Manning (K-State)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-100

Nate Johnson (K-State)

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+122

P.J. Haggerty (K-State)

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+118

Obi Agbim (Baylor)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-114

David Castillo (K-State)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-185

Tounde Yessoufou (Baylor)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-103

Taj Manning (K-State)

Over 7.5

-103

Under 7.5

-125

P.J. Haggerty (K-State)

Over 5.5

-108

Under 5.5

-120

Tounde Yessoufou (Baylor)

Over 5.5

-149

Under 5.5

+115

Nate Johnson (K-State)

Over 5.5

+122

Under 5.5

-159

Khamari McGriff (K-State)

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+122

David Castillo (K-State)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

Obi Agbim (Baylor)

Over 2.5

-169

Under 2.5

+130

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Baylor Stats

Kansas State Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 145.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 161.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.90 pts and allowed 78.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 71.10 pts and allowed 74.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 159.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 161.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 161.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 70.60 pts and allowed 82.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 78.70 pts and allowed 80.30 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big 12	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arizona	32-2	2929	2339	590	21-1	11-1	9W
Houston	28-6	2623	2137	486	20-2	8-4	1L
Iowa State	27-7	2781	2215	566	19-1	8-6	1L
Kansas	23-10	2496	2290	206	17-2	6-8	1L
Texas Tech	22-10	2573	2324	249	16-4	6-6	3L
BYU	23-11	2853	2561	292	17-4	6-7	1L
TCU	22-11	2584	2378	206	16-5	6-6	1L
UCF	21-11	2591	2511	80	15-5	6-6	1L
Oklahoma State	19-14	2781	2736	45	14-5	5-9	1L
West Virginia	18-14	2214	2072	142	15-6	3-8	1L
Cincinnati	18-15	2413	2230	183	16-4	2-11	1L
Colorado	17-15	2559	2542	17	15-7	2-8	2L
Arizona State	17-16	2519	2585	-66	13-6	4-10	1L
Baylor	16-16	2642	2469	173	12-8	4-8	1L
Kansas State	12-20	2546	2619	-73	11-8	1-12	2L
Utah	10-22	2379	2531	-152	9-9	1-13	6L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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