Belmont vs Murray State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Belmont vs Murray State

The Belmont Bruins go up against the Murray State Racers, with tip-off scheduled for 18:00 on Sunday, February 15.

When Belmont clash with Murray State, we’re not sure that the total points will go over the line. Based on this prediction, you can land -110 for Under 170.5 and this looks worth taking.

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Belmont Bruins won their previous game, beating Northern Iowa Panthers at home. It was a 91-86 win.

Murray State Racers won their last game 74-72. This was a road victory against Indiana State Sycamores.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last matchup between Belmont and Murray State saw the former win. It was a 103-86 scoreline. It’s been five wins on the bounce for Belmont when playing Murray State. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Belmont	23-4	2259	1962	297	13-2	10-2	1W
Murray State	19-8	2291	2139	152	13-2	6-6	1W

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Belmont vs Murray State Prediction & Picks

Our Belmont vs Murray State tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast and bet builder picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

Under 170.5 points could be on the money for this college game. Our pick is based on a low-scoring contest and the odds of -110 looks like a value bet.

Injuries are always factored in by the handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our basketball predictions are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date college hoops stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Key Belmont vs Murray State stats:

• The 170.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Belmont games on the road.
• The 170.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Belmont games on the road.
• The 170.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Murray State games at home.
• The 170.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Murray State games at home.
• The 170.5 line hasn’t been covered in 17 of the last 20 Murray State games at home.

Under 170.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% chance of this pick winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This college basketball wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

The top sportsbooks will allow you to shoot for bigger odds on your Under wager. By moving the line and going for a lower Total, there’s the chance to get more juice.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 170.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Belmont 83 - 80 Murray State

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close game and we’ll have a play on Belmont enjoying a 83-80 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

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Belmont vs Murray State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The betting odds about Murray State winning is -127, with Belmont priced up at +105 to achieve victory. According to the sportsbooks, the probability of the road team winning this college game is 49%.

There is a spread of 1.5 and total points has a line of 168.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s the chance to back Under 168.5 at -110.

The good news is that you’ll find a strong selection of game lines and team props for most college contests. The best basketball betting sites provide a wide range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Belmont

+105

Murray State

-127

Point Spread

Belmont +1.5

-110

Murray State -1.5

-110

Total Points

Under 168.5

-110

Over 168.5

-110

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to Turnovers, Steals, Blocks and Points, while there are lots of other options.

There are always opportunities to enjoy college basketball micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find player and team props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Belmont Stats

Murray State Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 151.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 170.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 170.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.60 pts and allowed 78.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 78.90 pts and allowed 72.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 163.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 153.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 170.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 170.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 80.00 pts and allowed 83.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 79.90 pts and allowed 73.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Missouri Valley	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Belmont	23-4	2259	1962	297	13-2	10-2	1W
Murray State	19-8	2291	2139	152	13-2	6-6	1W
Bradley	17-9	2012	1895	117	14-3	3-6	1W
Illinois State	17-9	2006	1755	251	13-3	4-6	1W
Northern Iowa	16-10	1780	1590	190	11-3	5-7	1L
UIC	14-12	1944	1827	117	8-5	6-7	1W
Valparaiso	12-13	1752	1783	-31	9-4	3-9	1L
Southern Illinois	12-14	1941	1849	92	7-6	5-8	2W
Drake	12-15	2087	2029	58	7-10	5-5	5L
Indiana State	10-16	1953	1947	6	7-6	3-10	2L
Evansville	6-20	1752	1949	-197	4-10	2-10	1L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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